Exploring Minnesota's Odds and Weather Impact in MLB

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00:00the 2 15 start from ST louis. It's over. It's Palante. Take a look at this

00:04total. Open up at eight. We're now seeing 8.5 now tom on the board and a

00:08favorite at minus 1 26 at the opening number at Fandle for Minnesota has

00:12dropped a little bit more of a pick them here. Minus 1 15 minus 1 25. Now

00:17the key ingredient today could be tom. We love weather windy with chances of

00:21heavy rain and also 70 degree temperatures. But that wind tom blowing

00:27out in ST louis today. How about that?

00:30Yeah, a little bit of a delay. Possible always important and it's always

00:33important to note when the rain comes, which will obviously touch on it as

00:37you know, circumstantially throughout the year. But if rain's coming in the

00:40middle of game, we can look to picture under because if we get an hour delay,

00:43pictures don't come back at times. That's not having today. Just a side

00:46point. But I am on the twins money line. Part of me just doesn't expect teams

00:51to get swept. I like to bet on teams that I think early is good to bounce

00:54back after a couple losses. Minnesota yet to win the season. I'm on their

00:57money line. Bailey over is a good picture. He may not be amazing, but he's

01:01good enough. Last year we're looking at a 26.9% striker, which is certainly

01:05solid. The fly balls are an issue. The home runs at 1.36 last year are an

01:09issue with the wind blowing out, does put things in question when you have a

01:1250% fly ball rate. The hard contact rate wasn't too bad last year at 30%.

01:16So I'm on the twins to win. I think Bailey over is a solid picture. You can

01:20rack up the strikeouts. I'm also as we spoke about on the previous show, I'm

01:24not convinced about the Cardinals. I think there were a bad team. I don't

01:27think you're gonna be winning multiple games in a row too often this year. So

01:30I'll be looking at a very close to even money line price about Bailey over

01:34coming away with not coming with the wind, but the twins coming with wind,

01:37not him specifically. And by the way, maybe not a household pitching names

01:41per se, unless you're a handicap or a fan of the team. You take a look last

01:43year at over 3.83 X fifth number, which isn't bad. Palante 3.89. You also take

01:49a look at Palante last year. 509 batters. He's face time is ISIL

01:53against 0 98 and a weighted on base percentage of 2 95. That is phenomenal.

01:57Then you flip it over to oversight there and you say to yourself, well,

01:59what did he do last year? A 1 83 ISIL combined through 710 batters, which

02:03isn't bad. It's slightly elevated, but a 2 85 waited on base percentage. We'll

02:07see what we get today out in ST louis. But for me, I go through my notes and I

02:11just keep on turning the page gone. I don't know if I would get involved

02:13because the weather's coming in some rainy chances. Now the wind could help

02:17the offense as we know, and maybe it's a longer bullpen day. But if it

02:19follows where both of these pictures going up against these lineups, maybe

02:22you start to get a little bit of unders. But as I say that there's a

02:26little chance that I'm going to sell you something on this game that says

02:30Donnie, that doesn't make any sense. Yeah, why? Because I got to sell myself

02:33on it along with selling the good people out there as well. Keep moving

02:36down the list. Boston and Texas 9 67 9 68 on the rotation to 35 start fits

02:42going up against the ground. Look at this number overnight. Tom minus 205 as

02:46a favor towards texas. Now down to that 1 80 range depending on where

02:49you're shopping at in the total that opened up at 8.5 now drops to eight

02:53boston and texas. The Grimes on the mound and away we go.

02:57If the Grimes on the mound, obviously it's a big storyline, not just for the

03:00Rangers, but for MLB overall. Like we we see the Grimes name up there when it

03:05comes to the A. L. Cy Young, his line is sitting at 6.5 and minus 1 34. We

03:09have seen that's his strikeout prop. That is we have seen the Red Sox

03:13strike out a lot to start the season. If you're interested into Grom, you

03:18could certainly take the 6.5. I'm very cautious, especially with the picture

03:21coming back from injury picture that we have not seen put up a sustainable

03:25strikeout rate just because he also has been healthy. So I'm very cautious on

03:29the Grom. I have no place in this game. If you want to take plays on the

03:33Rangers side and listen, I may end up on plays. What is this a to whatever

03:36start? I mean, may end up on some Rangers RBI props just because I'm not

03:40convinced that Fitz is a good picture. I know his name is up there. If we have

03:43the rookie of the year odds for the A. L. Like I think Fitz is on that list

03:47somewhere. But again, he's an unproven young pitcher. And when you have a

03:51Corey Seager, you have an Adoles Garcia, Marcus Simeon on the other side,

03:55white lane for like we have some real power on the Rangers and they could

03:58certainly get through there. Yeah, Fitz is up there for a rookie year. So like

04:02he's not an unknown name, but I'd rather decide with the bats than trust

04:05either of the pictures when I have big question marks about both of them.

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