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Skenes Eyes Bounce Back Start on Tuesday Against St. Louis
SportsGrid
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7/1/2025
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
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00:00
Skeen's on the bump, trying to bounce back from arguably the worst performance of his short but successful MLB career.
00:07
Last week, he gave up four earned in an inning for the first time in his career.
00:12
Pittsburgh, a hefty home favorite today against St. Louis, minus 168.
00:17
Now that updated Moneyline price, total seven and a half.
00:20
How do you break down the matchup between the Buccos and the Redbirds?
00:23
Yeah, a game I liked yesterday, too, to go over the total, Ben.
00:25
It was only eight and a half.
00:26
I told you before the game, Pittsburgh would play seven.
00:28
They'd say, oh, I just need two runs out of St. Louis.
00:30
That's fine.
00:31
Yeah, St. Louis didn't even score yesterday.
00:32
They were horrific at the plate.
00:34
And you know what they get today?
00:35
It's Paul Skeen's on the mound.
00:36
And also, Paul Skeen's fresh off a start where he wasn't that good.
00:39
So looking for a bounce back.
00:40
But if you take a look at Skeen's last 45 days, impeccable, man.
00:43
Even with those four, I think, earned runs he gave up over that last start here, a 1.58 ERA, which is spectacular.
00:50
And you take a look at some of those analytical numbers, a 74 X fit minus number, whole fit right in.
00:55
Good hitting conditions, though, by the way, in Pittsburgh today out at PNC.
00:58
77-degree temperatures, light wind blowing out to left field, which should help.
01:02
Palante on the mound, also not a bad pitcher.
01:04
His last 45 days, an 89 X fit minus number.
01:09
So if I look at last night, and the Pittsburgh bats are hot.
01:11
Sometimes you just want to ride them.
01:13
They do win this baseball game.
01:14
But it is a heavy favorite.
01:16
But I also look and say, I don't know if we're going to get a total.
01:19
Because I think Skeen's will hold it down against that lineup for the Cardinals.
01:22
And maybe coming back down to earth for the Pirates is scoring four runs in this game.
01:27
That's seven and a half.
01:28
I'm not sure we get to eight runs.
01:29
But you know what?
01:30
I probably would even look towards a first five-inning run line.
01:33
Pittsburgh's staying hot on offense.
01:35
They can scrape out two or three runs, possibly against Palante.
01:38
I just think Skeen's has a chance for a really good bounce-back performance here and taking it the distance.
01:42
Meaning seven innings pitched, maybe nine or ten strikeouts, and two to three runs maximum.
01:48
Which would mean maybe a three to one, two to one victory here at the end of five innings.
01:51
I like the Pittsburgh Pirates' first five innings run line in this game for the win.
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