AccuWeather's 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

AccuWeather

AccuWeather's 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast is out. Lincoln Riddle spoke with our hurricane expert to find out what we can expect for the upcoming season.

Transcript

00:00The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1st.

00:06AccuWeather hurricane expert Alex DeSilva says another busy season could be loading in the Atlantic Basin.

00:1213 to 18 named storms. Of those, we expect 7 to 10 of those to become hurricanes.

00:18And of those 7 to 10, we're expecting 3 to 5 of those to attain major hurricane status.

00:25That's Category 3 or above.

00:28DeSilva says 3 to 6 direct impacts are expected in the United States.

00:32While all hurricane-prone areas are at risk for impacts, there are several areas his team is watching.

00:38Houston, all the way around the Big Bend of Florida, and then including the west coast of Florida as well.

00:44And then we also have to be concerned with the Carolina coastline, mainly the North Carolina coastline,

00:49the part that sticks out, the Outer Banks area.

00:52DeSilva says the bookends of the season may be busy depending on the status of La Niña,

00:57a weather pattern caused by cooler-than-normal ocean temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.

01:02A La Niña pattern is favorable for tropical development.

01:06DeSilva says the season may begin with La Niña-like conditions

01:10before transitioning to a neutral pattern midseason and then back to La Niña conditions to wrap up the season.

01:17In the presence of La Niña-like conditions and sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Basin forecast to be above normal,

01:24DeSilva says storm development could start early.

01:27We looked back at 12 years. 12 years, we call them analog years,

01:31that have a similar pattern to what we expect this hurricane season.

01:35Now, 10 of those 12 years had early season or even preseason development, so we're talking May or June.

01:43For more on AccuWeather's 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast, visit accuweather.com.

01:49For AccuWeather, I'm Lincoln Riddle.

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