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Analyzing Player Props in the Receiving and Betting Market
SportsGrid
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1/27/2025
Category
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Sports
Transcript
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00:00
Let's get back to some of the player props for this.
00:03
Let's turn to the receiving market.
00:05
Let's touch on tight ends to start.
00:07
If we did, we can jump there because, again, Kelsey is a player that everyone's going to be
00:12
interested in.
00:13
He was 67.5 today, his prop.
00:15
It's down to 65.5.
00:18
Dallas Goddard, obviously, on the other side, 45.5.
00:21
The receiving, or I should say the receptions for Dallas Goddard is interesting.
00:25
It's 3.5.
00:27
It is heavily juiced to the over at 168.
00:31
Now, that is, of course, just over on Fane Duel.
00:35
Let's check over on DK real quick.
00:38
Now, Dallas Goddard is already up to 4.5 with plus 105 on the over on DK.
00:44
So, that is noteworthy.
00:46
AJ Brown is 5.5 receptions on DK, and he is sitting at 4.5 on Fane Duel.
00:55
Again, it's minus 168 juiced to the over.
00:59
So, we are seeing some discrepancies in the market, of course, and obviously,
01:02
the juice would indicate that, you know, it's trending in the way of moving to a 5.5.
01:09
So, the question becomes is if AJ Brown were to not hit 4.5 or, you know, over 4.5,
01:14
have five receptions for the Eagles, what does that mean?
01:18
Does that mean Devonta Smith's having a huge game?
01:22
Taequann Barkley having a huge game on the ground?
01:24
So, you can try and find some correlations between some of these bets.
01:27
Again, this is also depending on what you are expecting for this game.
01:31
I assume a lot of people have Eagles futures, Chiefs futures, all these sorts of things.
01:37
And there's different ways to, you know, bet the game.
01:39
You already have a Chiefs future.
01:41
Do you want to be betting on a ton of Eagles props because if the players are doing well,
01:45
what does that mean for the Chiefs, you know, ticket overall,
01:47
which may be worth X amount more money?
01:50
So, these are all the questions, you know, a lot of people have been asking themselves,
01:52
myself included, over the next two weeks.
01:54
I have a future set.
01:57
If I'm betting on things that is counterintuitive to that future,
02:00
I'm essentially going to be eating into some of that profit.
02:03
And unless everything wins, then everything wins, then we're all green.
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