Super Bowl LIX Betting Analysis: An Early Look at the Total

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00:00But Donnie I do want to examine this total 49 and a half you and I have both said

00:04It feels uneasy to try to bet in under and one of the main reasons

00:09Why is I think if you look at those team totals 25 and a half for Kansas City

00:1423 and a half for

00:17Philadelphia I

00:18Don't necessarily feel great about betting the under of either of those team totals despite the dominant defenses on the other side

00:26I think both teams get into the 20s if that is my thought

00:30I'm not giving myself a large edge or margin that I think this game stays under by could it be?

00:3827 21

00:402420 for sure. I'm still not walking away with an easy under where I did not sweat things out come Super Bowl Sunday

00:49You're right and also look at the components that we have and guess we just told you that they're two great defenses here

00:54But the two great offenses and with two weeks to prepare and then you might say, okay

00:57The defense gets equal footing is the offense because they each have the two weeks

01:01But also why are we look the Eagles hung?

01:0455 points yesterday in a game that we were looking at going like

01:07All right

01:07The Eagles offensive line is banged up and we don't think the quarterback can even move here so you can zero in on the running

01:13Back and we'll see what happens

01:14He scored seven rushing touchdowns negative two weeks to say Jalen hurts is all the way back and healthy

01:20Saquon Barclay is two weeks now to relax after only getting 50

01:23I say only 15 carries as opposed to what you thought would have been 25 carries and it's the same thing with Kansas City

01:29You look at the offensive line healthy tight end healthy wideouts healthy running backs healthy here

01:33This is gonna be a slate where you're not worried about the biggest players, which is so great from a handicapping perspective

01:38Let's just say you came to this game. Oh Saquon pulled up lane with a hamstring injury

01:42Oh, you gotta wait two weeks to talk about it

01:44How's it gonna do or late in the game Jalen hurts hurt the knee again? Is he gonna be fine?

01:48It's turf. Is he gonna wear a big bulky brace? We don't have any of that

01:51I guess from the Eagles perspective

01:52You're waiting to see on Landon Dickerson which went as the doc coming up with that knee injury is going to look at but you're

01:58Getting full gas on both sides in an environment. You should be able to score points and understand this too

02:03Let's just say Jaden Daniels had beaten the Philadelphia Eagles yesterday more than that. Oh, come on now

02:08He's gonna go up against my home's first time in a Super Bowl. They're not ready. We saw this two years ago

02:13Do you think Jalen hurts who was a young quarterback at the time said, you know what?

02:15I hope to be back and I'll learn from it. You know what? He's back

02:18Is he gonna be like boy the butterflies are so much I've never been in this spot before

02:21He's been there against the same team in a close game that they just lost

02:25So for me, it spells more points than not and also aggressive teams. We're not angling for field goals here

02:32You're angling for touchdowns. You're trading threes for sevens. That's a four point difference