AJ Brown of the Eagles Adjusted Receiving Total: Game Preview

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00:00So AJ Brown, of course, leads the way for the Eagles.

00:0460-and-a-half is his receiving total.

00:06Terry McLaurin, who has been great for the Commanders, 62-and-a-half for him.

00:12AJ Brown was up at 87-and-a-half yards two weeks ago, or I guess that's last week,

00:18but two games ago against the Green Bay Packers.

00:20He hits the under on that and ends the game with 10 yards.

00:24AJ Brown was at 67 or 68 or so when it comes to today's game.

00:30And, of course, he hits the under on that.

00:33This line obviously has been adjusted a good amount,

00:37and now we see him sitting at only 60 receiving yards.

00:42This is obviously one of the lowest lines we've seen AJ Brown

00:45throughout the entire season as he has been the dominant pass catcher for the Eagles.

00:50I'm going to say that my first reaction to this game is

00:58Brown at 60, Devonta Smith at 47.

01:00I think one of them will go over because, ultimately,

01:04we know what the Eagles' game plan is going to be,

01:06and it's going to be something along the lines of what we saw today,

01:09which is, hey, let's get the ball to Saquon.

01:11Let's get the ball to Saquon 20-plus times on the ground.

01:14He's going to push past 100 yards.

01:15He may be involved in the passing game.

01:17He's going to have 120, 130 combined yards.

01:20You know, when it's all said and done, maybe more

01:22as he breaks off these long plays time and time again.

01:25And we're going to see the Eagles in a spot where

01:27they may not necessarily need to pass a ton,

01:30and one of the players in terms of their two dominant receivers,

01:34Brown and Smith, one of them will go over.

01:37So, you know, it comes down to deciding who you like.

01:40You know, Smith at 47 and a half, I certainly don't mind.

01:43But, man, AJ Brown, with a little bit of redemption,

01:46I kind of do like him over 16 and a half.

01:48Now, he had that long pass play, which he did haul in right at the corner pylon,

01:52which I'm not sure if it would have been a touchdown.

01:55It would have been a 35, 40-ish yard reception for him today

01:59and would have made his line a little bit different.

02:01So I don't mind buying into AJ Brown after two slow games

02:04when we're getting a massive discount on his yardage sitting at only 60 and a half.

02:10So I'll look to AJ Brown over 60 and a half yards.

02:13Terry McLaurin, absolutely, obviously, like I said, been fantastic for him.

02:17And Terry McLaurin, the five and a half receptions is interesting to me.

02:20As I've said time and time again, generally, not generally,

02:24yards are always easier compared to receptions.

02:26And we can dig into this more as we're coming up to a break right now.

02:29But we will get into the reception versus receiving yards situation

02:32when it comes to Terry McLaurin,

02:34because I believe he should be targeted at a very, very high volume.

02:37But we're going to break down what will be the best path to finding value.

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