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Wisconsin vs. Oregon: Epic Showdown in College Football
SportsGrid
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11/16/2024
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00:00
We welcome you back to college football today live right here on this Saturday on SportsGrid.
00:15
It is week number 13 of this college football season.
00:19
He is Joe Lisi.
00:20
He is Kevin Walsh.
00:21
I am Ben Stevens.
00:22
So as we get you set for this Saturday, we head now to Camp Randall, Madison, Wisconsin
00:28
in a Big Ten battle with the number one team in the country, Oregon on the road in Madison,
00:35
a line that earlier in the week, Joe, was above two touchdowns, 14 and a hook in favor
00:41
of Oregon.
00:42
It is now under that number of 14 at 13 and a half, but still nearly two TDs in favor
00:49
of the Ducks who have been dominant in Big Ten play as of late.
00:54
How competitive will this game look tonight in Madison?
00:57
I think it will be very competitive.
00:59
Couple of factors.
01:00
That big five circled for the wins for Wisconsin.
01:03
One more, they'll become bowl eligible.
01:06
Another factor, Luke Fickle has yet to win a marquee game in terms of his tenure in Madison.
01:12
This is a make it or break it spot.
01:13
I expect them to be up for this matchup.
01:16
They didn't get it done against Penn State.
01:18
This is another opportunity.
01:19
They didn't get it done against Alabama.
01:21
And what I find quite intriguing, they have an extra week of preparation as well, right?
01:25
We talk about similar teams.
01:27
Oregon lead 15, 15 and a half to Michigan on the road.
01:30
They're laying 13 and a half in terms of this matchup.
01:33
Night at Madison is a different factor.
01:36
I get that.
01:37
But, you know, I think Wisconsin's going to be up.
01:39
I think they can limit big plays from Dylan Gabriel.
01:41
They grinded out a victory over Maryland last week.
01:44
He throws for a buck 83 in three touchdowns.
01:47
We talked about, you know, the strength of Maryland's defense was in run support, limiting
01:53
opposing offenses to less than three yards per Gary.
01:56
Again, Oregon wins, but this is going to be a four-quarter game, I believe.
02:00
Give me the points with Wisconsin.
02:01
This is one of my better picks today.
02:03
I'm confused.
02:04
Luke Figgles is signing for the same year every year.
02:06
Hear me out.
02:07
Last year, they were 5-2.
02:08
They lost three in a row, and then their last two games were against Nebraska and Minnesota.
02:12
This year, 5-2.
02:13
They've lost two in a row.
02:14
Supposed to lose a third straight today, and then they're going to go to Nebraska and Minnesota.
02:17
I don't know.
02:18
So this is just written in the stars, and they're kind of already done on arrival.
02:21
The interesting thing about this number is it suggests that Wisconsin could hang around,
02:26
maybe put a scare into Oregon.
02:28
Yet, when Wisconsin plays good teams, there's no evidence they can hang.
02:33
Alabama ran them completely off the floor.
02:36
We saw USC hanging on them in a major way.
02:39
Penn State, actually, you know, the fourth best team in college football, was the closest
02:44
game that they've played, because then Iowa drilled them.
02:47
Sneaky, decent Hawkeye team, I actually think, because I'm just so unbiased, it hurts sometimes.
02:52
I looked at Dylan Gabriel to have a bounce-back game through passing yards.
02:55
263.5 is the number.
02:57
Last week was his first game under 200 yards.
03:00
Gabriel goes up against the Wisconsin team when they've played those, as I've mentioned,
03:04
legit passing offenses, and I kindly kept Drew Aller in the mix.
03:08
You're talking about 8.2 yards per pass attempt.
03:10
That's Millereau, that's Moss, and that's Aller, which means you're going to need around
03:14
32-33 attempts out of Gabriel, which is usually what you get from him during Big Ten competition
03:19
here.
03:20
That's what you can throw closer to 290, maybe even 300 yards on the road here against
03:25
Wisconsin.
03:26
I think the Ducks are in a good spot.
03:27
I would be very surprised if this is an upset alert in the fourth quarter.
03:31
So I've heard a couple of people look at this game and, like you, Joe, expect it to be competitive.
03:37
I'm still wondering how or why you get to that assessment.
03:40
Wisconsin, as an underdog, already five times this year, both 1-4 straight up and against
03:46
the spread.
03:47
The only win and cover for the Badgers was as a slight one-point underdog against a reeling
03:53
Rutgers team in Piscataway.
03:55
Meanwhile, Oregon has covered in a lot of Big Ten games, three of their last four after
04:01
not covering in their first two.
04:04
And I'm not entirely sure what Braden Locke and the Badgers are going to do, Joe, to this
04:09
Ducks defense that has improved greatly over the last month and a half.
04:12
Now, the ninth best scoring defense in the country, only allowing 16 points per game.
04:18
Also in the top ten when it comes to total defense as well, around 294 yards.
04:24
You think the number favors Wisconsin.
04:26
You bring up a great point.
04:27
Luke Fickle needs a marquee resume builder for his time, not just wins to end out the
04:32
year against Nebraska or in the rivalry game against Minnesota.
04:36
So Joe, if Wisconsin stays competitive, how?
04:38
I think they run the football.
04:40
Again, conservative type of attack.
04:43
They're holding opposing offenses to only basically 160, 170 passing yards for a game.
04:49
59% in terms of completion percentage.
04:52
Again, limit chunk plays, right?
04:54
They get beat this year on the ground as opposed to over the top.
04:57
Alabama had a significant speed advantage on the perimeter.
05:00
That was the game that Tyler Van Dyke went down.
05:03
So again, this is a game where you pull out all the stops.
05:05
Again, I don't know if they win this game, but in Madison with the crowd behind you,
05:10
the extra week of prep, you throw the kitchen sink at Oregon and you see if you cover.
05:14
I just, I can't help myself now think about how many times I've mentioned that about Florida
05:18
State and they just sit in there with one win.
05:21
Not the same situation.
05:22
It could work out for Fickle.
05:23
It could work out.
05:24
Third time for the Badgers as at least a two-touchdown dog.
05:26
They've lost both games by 17 points.
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