The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) warned on Thursday, Nov. 14 that Severe Tropical Storm “Pepito” (international name: Man-yi) could intensify into a super typhoon before making landfall over Central Luzon this weekend.
This comes as Typhoon “Ofel” (international name: Usagi) continues to batter extreme Northern Luzon and remains inside the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR).
00:00At around 8 o'clock last night, the Philippine Area of Responsibility entered Baguio, which has an international name of Mani, and we gave it a domestic name of Pepito.
00:13The latest location of Baguio-Pepito is 945 kilometers away from the eastern Visayas.
00:22This is a severe tropical storm with strong winds near the center reaching 100 kilometers per hour and an opening of 125 kilometers per hour.
00:33It continues to move at a speed of 35 kilometers per hour.
00:38For now, there is no direct effect in our country, but we expect that as early as tomorrow, it will rain heavily in Kabikulan and eastern Visayas.
00:51This is our latest track and intensity forecast for Baguio-Pepito.
00:56The Philippine Area of Responsibility has just entered.
00:59We can see the generally westward movement of the storm.
01:04Westward until tomorrow, but as of Saturday and over the weekend, it will be generally north-westward.
01:14While Baguio-Pepito is still in the ocean, we can see that it continues to intensify.
01:21This could be a typhoon, possibly tomorrow morning, and further intensification after that, a possible super typhoon category on Saturday afternoon or Saturday night.
01:36Prior to landfall, Baguio-Pepito will landfall at its peak intensity.
01:45We also need to provide the confidence cone of Baguio.
01:49Our possible landfall, since our forecast period is still far, is possible on the eastern coast of Central Luzon or eastern coast of eastern Visayas.
02:01These are the areas within our confidence cone.
02:04If there are significant changes in our track forecast, it will reflect on the succeeding issuance of our tropical cyclone bulletins for Baguio-Pepito.
02:14A large part of Luzon and Visayas, we are prepared for strong winds and heavy rains brought by the upcoming Baguio-Pepito.
02:25In anticipation for Baguio-Pepito to continue to approach our country,
02:31as of 11 p.m. today, we experienced a tropical cyclone with signal number 1.
02:37This has a lead time of 36 hours.
02:40This means that within the next 36 hours, it is possible for us to experience strong winds.
02:48As of 11 p.m., we have signal number 1 here in the area of Catanduanes,
02:52the eastern portion of Camarines Sur, the eastern portion of Albay,
02:57the eastern and southern portions of Sorsogon,
03:01in the area of Visayas, here in the northern portion of Samar,
03:03the northern portion of eastern Samar, and in the northeastern portion of Samar.
03:08In these areas, since these are the areas closest to the center of Baguio,
03:15we are prepared for possible winds,
03:18possible damages to infrastructure in the coming days brought by Baguio-Pepito.
03:23In the case of heavy rainfall,
03:26since Baguio-Ofel, where we are still,
03:29this heavy penitence rains that is amounting to 100 to 200 millimeters of rainfall
03:36here in the area of Cagayan, including Babuyan Island,
03:39this moderate to heavy rains will continue in the areas of Ilocos Norte, Apayaw, and Abra.
03:45So this area of Cagayan, the province of Cagayan, including Babuyan Island,
03:49we are still prepared for possible winds of flooding and landslides.
03:54The rainfall brought by Baguio-Ofel will gradually decrease,
03:58so this moderate to heavy rains will continue in the area of Batanes,
04:02but in anticipation of the upcoming Baguio-Pepito,
04:05we will start experiencing heavy rainfall.
04:09These are the areas of Southern Luzon and Eastern Visayas.
04:12So these are the areas of Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas,
04:16we expect heavy rainfall.
04:18So for more details, we expect heavy to intense rains.
04:21These are the areas shaded in orange in the provinces of Sorsogon, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar.
