Unbeaten Detroit Lions Face Houston Texans at Home

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00:00I, oh my, the Detroit Lions just keep getting the job done.

00:057-1, unbeaten on the road.

00:08They won outside.

00:10No dome, no problem.

00:12Oh, their offense actually didn't look that good, but that's okay.

00:16That's not really the point with the Lions.

00:17It's all about the fact that they're in a 7-1 and that Donnie has some

00:21NFC futures on him, so he might as well be a Lions fan.

00:24So, Donnie, I'll allow you to start.

00:26They go to play the Houston Texans, who are unbeaten at home so far this season.

00:31They do so as 3.5-point favorites.

00:34What do you expect?

00:35Easy.

00:36Easy, Joe.

00:37Easy, Joe.

00:38Easy.

00:39Press the button there.

00:40Minus 3.5 should be 6.5.

00:41Alt it up, please, Joe.

00:42It says 9.5 in this game.

00:43Why?

00:44Because the Detroit Lions are coming for souls today.

00:45People, absolutely.

00:46But also, I love C.J. Stroup.

00:48Told you at the beginning of the season.

00:49Thought this team was going to win the division.

00:50I still think that's going to be the same.

00:52However, things do change.

00:53Nico Collins is going to come back today.

00:55Hamstring injury?

00:56Probably not.

00:57Take a look at Tank Dell.

00:58Oh, no, what's my back hurting today?

00:59Probably not in there.

01:00Will Anderson, hey, could use him to rush the pass rusher, rush the quarterback.

01:03He's not there either.

01:04Now, again, sometimes I'm facetious by saying it's easy, but there's no way, shape, or form.

01:08Look at me right here, that we're taking the Houston Texans, Detroit all the way by a touchdown.

01:13I like Houston in this matchup.

01:15I think it's a bounce-back spot.

01:16This is where we disagree.

01:17Now, the numbers suggest Detroit's playing and should win this game, right?

01:22They've won six straight.

01:23The numbers are dominant.

01:24They've won the sixth by an average margin, a victory cap of 18 points per game.

01:28To your point, they are 7-1 on the year, undefeated on the road, but on the flip side, you have Houston.

01:34That's 4-0 at home.

01:35They haven't covered numbers.

01:36They've looked a little bit inconsistent, but I think it's a bounce-back spot for C.J. Stroud in that offense.

01:42Look for Dalton Schultz to get involved.

01:44Look for Joe Mixon as well, not just in terms of the ground, but the receiving game as well.

01:49And I think they pull off the upset.

01:51Not going to be easy, but I believe Yamiko Ryans and C.J. Stroud, in this particular spot,

01:57with back-to-back role games, prime time, give me the Texans outright.

02:01I think it's a great spot to bet the Texans, and that's exactly what I'm going to do at 3-1 at home.

02:06At the end of the day, I know, first of all, I know this will never apply to you,

02:09because a team has to catch double digits for you to think that they could cover in a loss.

02:15Correct.

02:16I've never believed that, and I very much think Detroit could win this game by 3, quite frankly.

02:21The Texans are unbeaten so far at home.

02:23Now, they've not been dominant at home.

02:25They don't win these home games by—I think their biggest home win this season was by 6,

02:30laying 6 to the Chicago Bears on that Sunday night.

02:34But I do think getting Nico Collins back, because I think he's going to play Donnie off of the IR stint,

02:39is certainly a boost.

02:41Detroit is also kind of banged up coming into the game.

02:45A lot of defensive guys on this injury report, and they add Taylor Decker to the mix,

02:50where if all of a sudden that offensive line leaks a little bit,

02:52it could make up for the fact that Houston is going to be without Will Anderson in this game,

02:57which is certainly a blow.

02:59It's also just for me a bet on C.J. Stroud, who I think has proven to be one of your,

03:05let's call it 10 best quarterbacks in football, and is in line to have himself a really good game,

03:11because Stroud has now battled with some inconsistency the last few weeks.

03:15Some of it's been situational, but he's only thrown for over 200 yards once within his last four games.

03:21And again, at home, I expect better from C.J., his best target in Nico Collins in the offense here.

03:28I think the Texans can do certainly enough to stay within a field goal at home in a game against the Lions.

03:36Yeah, we'll see also, because Nico Collins, I think, is a game-time decision.

03:39So if you're taking a look at the Houston offense, which, again, coming into the season, I absolutely love.

03:42No Stephon Diggs, no Tank Dell, possibly no Nico Collins could be a formality.

03:46And also, if you are a game-time decision, what does that actually mean for your game play

03:49and your snap count at that point?

03:51Nico Collins is fantastic, a top-five wide receiver, which when he does get back healthy,

03:55that Texans offense is going to move.

03:57And also keep in mind, Jamison Williams back here for the Detroit Lions.

04:00Now you have that deep play threat on one side, Aminarah St. Brown on the other,

04:03tight ends, best offensive line in football, two dominant running backs,

04:06which, again, legitimate chances for them to score touchdowns.

04:09I just think Detroit is too much on offense tonight for the Houston Texans.

04:13That's why I'm picking them.

04:14Yeah, I like the over, too, though.

04:15If I'm back in Houston, I'm also backing the over.

04:18And to Donny's point, Jordan Love did throw in the second half of that matchup for 273.

04:23That was a wet track.

04:24We saw Jayden Reed over 110 yards in that matchup.

04:28So that could do well for Nico Collins, especially in this matchup in terms of the cornerbacks that he'll face.

04:35I think C.J. Stroud's going to chuck it.

04:37I think he throws it between 35 and 40 times in this matchup, maybe 45.

04:43I don't think Mixon will be as dominant on the ground against that front seven.

04:47They throw it more spread amount, and then you can run it in the second half.

04:50Real quick point on that, too.

04:51You know, sometimes I can get down on the underdog plays for me.

04:53If Mixon does not hit his number on the ground,

04:56and if Mixon does not score a touchdown not winning that game,

04:58I would be betting Joe Mixon as opposed to betting Houston for me.

05:01All right, we'll see if it plays out that way.

05:03I think Stroud has to step up in this spot.

05:05We'll see if he's able to do that.

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