‘Marce’ intensifies into severe tropical storm; Signal No. 1 raised

Manila Bulletin

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Tropical Storm “Marce” (international name: Yinxing) has intensified into a severe tropical storm, prompting the issuance of Wind Signal No. 1 in five areas across northern Luzon on Monday evening, Nov. 4.  Marce now has maximum sustained winds of 100 kilometers per hour (kph) near its center and gusts reaching 125 kph.  READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/4/marce-intensifies-into-severe-tropical-storm-signal-no-1-raised

Transcript

00:00So, based on our latest bulletin, the center of this typhoon, Marseille, is in the ocean, or the eastern ocean of our country.

00:09So, at 4 a.m., its location is 735 kilometers east of Valer, Aurora,

00:15and it has strong winds that reach up to 110 kilometers per hour near the center.

00:21There are storms that reach up to 135 kilometers per hour.

00:25And it moves fast in the direction of north-westward at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour.

00:33If we see here in our latest satellite image, the storms that Marseille brings are mostly concentrated or closer to the center of this typhoon.

00:43But because we expect that Marseille will continue to approach our land,

00:49it is possible that it will be rainy season, especially in the areas of Bicol Region, Quezon, Cagayan Valley, Apayao, and Calinga today.

00:58And we also expect that it will be possible that it will rain heavily

01:02because we see that the center of this typhoon will be near the area of Northern Luzon,

01:07possible by today or the next 36 hours.

01:10So, let's find out later which specific areas are likely to experience heavy rainfall after this typhoon Marseille.

01:20Let's also find out what is included in our latest forecast track as of 5 a.m.

01:26We can see that the central track of the typhoon or the possible movement of this typhoon Marseille in the coming days.

01:33There is also the forecast intensity or the possible category of this typhoon

01:38or the possible strength of this typhoon while the area inside our PAR continues to move.

01:45There is also the area shaded in white, that is the forecast probability cone

01:50or those are the possible areas that this typhoon Marseille may pass in the coming days.

01:57And the area shaded in yellow, that is the radius of the typhoon.

02:01That is where the strong wind brought by this typhoon Marseille is located.

02:06If we can see in our latest forecast track or forecast intensity,

02:10this typhoon Marseille may grow stronger today and reach the typhoon category

02:15until it leaves our Philippine area of responsibility.

02:20And according to our latest forecast track, we can see in the central track

02:24that we have a possible landfall scenario in the area of Babuyan Islands

02:28and also in the northern or if not in Babuyan Islands, in the northern part of the mainland of Cagayan.

02:34But because we can see that the area of Northern Luzon is still within our forecast probability cone,

02:42the track of this typhoon Marseille may go lower

02:47and the landfall scenario is also possible in the part of Cagayan and also in Isabela.

02:53So, we are just monitoring that this typhoon will go lower in the coming days.

02:59A possible exit of the typhoon is in the coming Friday or Saturday of the early morning.

03:05And if we can see here in our latest forecast track,

03:09it will go generally north-westward in the next 24 hours

03:15and it will gradually slow down starting tomorrow,

03:18especially here in the coastal areas of Northern Luzon.

03:22So, we saw the satellite image earlier.

03:25We have rain bands circling near the center of the typhoon.

03:29So, we hope that starting tomorrow until the coming Friday,

03:33we will be able to experience rain, especially in the areas closest to the center of this typhoon,

03:39especially in the areas of Northern Luzon.

03:41So, let's prepare for that because we will also experience rain for a few days.

03:46And according to our forecast track, the radius of this typhoon is a bit wide.

03:52So, it will gradually approach our Philippine landmass

03:56and some parts of Northern Luzon will be submerged here in the radius of the typhoon.

04:01And because it is also wide, while it is close to the land of Northern Luzon,

04:07we may also experience a tropical cyclone wind signal

04:10or it will also be affected by strong winds in the area of Central Luzon.

04:15So, for now, over the next 36 hours,

04:17we will be able to experience strong winds in the area of Northern Luzon

04:22and the highest tropical cyclone wind signal that we can expect in the next few days is signal number 4.

04:29For now, the highest is 5 AM in the coastal areas of Batanes,

04:34along with Babuyan Islands,

04:36also in the eastern portion of Isabela, northern portion of Apayao,

04:41and northern portion of Ilocos Norte, the area that is highlighted or shaded by light blue,

04:46with the highest tropical cyclone wind signal number 1.

04:50So, for the next 36 hours, we expect in the mentioned areas,

04:55the possibility that we will experience strong winds brought by this typhoon Marseille.

05:03When it comes to rain, we can see that the strong rain brought by this typhoon Marseille

05:09is mostly concentrated near the center of the typhoon.

05:12So, for the next few days, we expect that the strong rainfall will be felt in the area of Northern Luzon.

05:20As early as today, it is possible that the total 24-hour accumulated rainfall that we will experience today in Cagayan

05:27can range from 50 to 100 millimeters, so those are moderate to heavy rains.

05:34And starting tomorrow, the rainfall in Cagayan area will gradually increase.

05:39The rainfall or heavy to intense rainfall can reach 200 millimeters.

05:46Meanwhile, moderate to heavy or 50 to 100 millimeters when it comes to Batanes and Apayao.

05:53When it comes to Thursday, because we saw in our latest tropical cyclone or our forecast track,

06:00that the center of this typhoon Marseille will be near the area of Northern Luzon,

06:06it is possible to experience intense to torrential rainfall or more than 200 millimeters of total rainfall in Cagayan area.

06:14Heavy to intense in Apayao, Ilocos Norte, and Batanes.

06:18And moderate to heavy in Isabela, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Calinga, and Mountain Province.

06:24In the areas that we mentioned, especially in Cagayan area,

06:27it is also possible to experience heavy to intense rainfall,

06:30possibly flooding or landslides.

06:34That is why our countrymen are prepared and careful.

06:39When it comes to strong winds, besides the areas where the Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 is located,

06:47it is also possible to experience strong winds in some parts of Luzon.

06:52Today, it is possible in Ilocos Sur, Aurora, Quezon, and Camarines Norte.

06:57Tomorrow, it is also possible to experience strong winds in Ilocos Region, Quezon, Camarines Provinces, and Catanduanes.

07:06And when it comes to Thursday, it is still possible in Ilocos Region.

07:13In terms of the sea, as of 5 p.m., we have already raised the gale warning in the coastal areas of Batanes.

07:20Cagayan, Babuyan Islands, and Caragatan or Dagat Baybayin of Isabela.

07:26The waves there are possible to reach up to 5 meters high.

07:30That is why it is dangerous to cross, especially for our countrymen who have small sea vehicles.

07:35We also expect moderate to rough seas here in the coastal areas of Luzon.

07:50For more UN videos visit www.un.org

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