Assessing Milton's devastation; Next tropical concern brewing

AccuWeather

AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno and Jon Porter assess the total damage and economic loss left behind by Hurricane Milton then look ahead to tropical concerns arising in the Caribbean for the next threat.

Transcript

00:00Some of the estimates and yesterday we came up with an estimate from the damage from Milton

00:06We did and all of these think about all these

00:10Personal tragedies that the survivor spoke about in that sound clip there so many people have lost

00:17So much and we're thinking about all the people that have been impacted in that

00:20Very profound way beyond all those personal impacts when you sum up the economic damage

00:26We're talking about a preliminary estimate of a hundred and sixty to a hundred eighty billion dollars in total damage and economic loss

00:32This is another huge number with one of Florida's most destructive hurricanes

00:38Yeah, take a look at the billion dollars disasters here. So that puts Milton in

00:43conversation with Helene in

00:45And deputy as well. Yeah, it's not good company

00:49You know here that was always like to put we always like to put the individual storms into context

00:54So you can see how it compares to other disasters and you see Milton's 160 to 180 billion dollars in total damage and economic loss

01:01A bit underneath Ian, of course, which is a major storm with that catastrophic storm surge across, Florida

01:08and then of course Helene 225 and 250 billion dollars a lot of this there was not a

01:15Flood disaster in the southern Appalachians as there was with Helene

01:18But still lots of wind damage lots of storm surge damage and all that heavy flooding rainfall

01:24Means that Milton goes down in the record books as yet another major hurricane hit and damage producer in, Florida

01:30You know when the season before the season started we were so concerned about

01:34Hurricanes that would have the ability to be a strengthening hurricanes as they went toward the coast and we've seen that with a number of

01:41Hurricanes this year and it's it's getting awfully expensive the damage we've seen this year

01:46It is escalating fast and we were concerned about that with this season and take a look at what's just happened in the last three weeks

01:54Helene and Milton combined add up

01:59Billion dollars in total damage economic loss

02:02That's almost half a trillion or another way to look at that is 2% of the United States gross domestic product

02:09You know

02:09There are some economists that are forecasting some growth of about 1 or 2 percent in US GDP this year

02:15Because of lot of these losses that may not happen or it may be challenged

02:23Here quickly and we we don't have a lot of time so we'll go over this quickly here, but

02:27Already, we're sounding the alarm

02:29Listen, you know me. I'm an avid person on X formerly Twitter

02:34I've already getting tons of questions how in the world can you say this so early?

02:39Well, there's our moderate risk John. Let's go to what I always refer to as basic meteorology

02:46That's right an area of high pressure

02:48Building high pressure delivering cool air here into the eastern part of the United States

02:53It's got a flood in but look underneath that area of high pressure. That's pattern recognition for trouble

02:59Yeah, because what happens is you'll get a frontal boundary down there

03:01You'll probably get some showers and thunderstorms and then the easterly flow tries to bring in tropical moisture in so the question is is okay

03:09You have showers and thunderstorms there doesn't mean you're gonna get development

03:13The one limiting factor this time of the year is wind shear, right?

03:18Sure is and so we typically look at where those unfavorable winds changing with in the atmosphere might be and we see none of it

03:26Limited wind shear. So all those things put together that's pattern recognition in our minds that goes

03:32This is an area that we're gonna have to watch for tropical storm development

03:35Now the question is John. All right, you get tropical development. Where is it gonna go now?

03:41obviously, it's very early in the game and certainly where it develops will make a

03:48Big impact on where it's going because it's a large area. It could be in the Northwest Caribbean

03:53It could be down in the Southwest Caribbean

03:55We're also tracking a dip in the jet stream across the Rockies

03:58But there are some things that we can let people know about now, right?

04:02It looks like there'll be two potential paths something that forms further south is more likely to go into Central America

04:07something that forms further in the Northwest Caribbean Sea is

04:10likely to get drawn up into the Gulf of Mexico and

04:13Odds would favor that heading back toward Florida right that type of situation because it looks like there's gonna be

04:19Protection for much of the central and western Gulf Coast and climatology when you look at storms in October

04:25Where do they go? They don't go into the central Gulf Coast. They don't go to Texas. They typically go toward, Florida

04:31So we're early in the game here, but like we do with Helene like we did with Milton

04:36We want to give people extra time because once this develops landfall could be quick

04:42That's how you weather chief meteorologist Jonathan Porter Accuweather early continues after this

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