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Gonzaga's Move to Pac-12: Strategic Shift or Misstep?
SportsGrid
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10/2/2024
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Sports
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00:00
Mike, of course, he joins us every week from the Sporting News.
00:06
You can catch him on Coast to Coast, also on Fox Sports and Big Ten Network during the
00:11
basketball season.
00:12
He's everywhere.
00:13
Mike, good to see you.
00:14
I have to do the Gonzaga story with you.
00:18
You wrote an article about that, frankly, they shouldn't leave.
00:24
Am I wrong for the Pac-12?
00:26
Meanwhile, today they joined the Pac-12 officially and they're going to take their talents, their
00:33
basketball prowess to the Pac-12, the newly created Pac-12.
00:38
Why don't we go back to where you were at the point of thinking that that was a bad
00:45
idea for them?
00:47
Well, it comes from the simple reality, Scott, is that they have built for themselves a perfect
00:56
formula.
00:57
Now, I realize that part of that perfect formula is head coach Mark Few and his presence on
01:03
the bench.
01:04
And he is 61 years old, so he won't coach there forever.
01:09
And at some point, there is going to be an adjustment in that part and hopefully not
01:15
for a while.
01:16
But at some point, there's going to be an adjustment in that part of the equation.
01:20
And one can say, well, this is setting themselves up for the future beyond Mark Few, which I
01:26
find to be rather counterintuitive, honestly, Mark, because if they're going to be worse,
01:34
if we presume they're going to be worse without Mark Few, then why would it be better to be
01:39
in a conference where they would be less competitive?
01:43
That doesn't make any sense.
01:44
If they're going to be as good or better, which are options that exist, then why would
01:51
you mess with a formula that has produced one of the three tied for the three longest
01:59
sweet 16 streaks in the modern history of the NCAA tournament and two national championship
02:05
game appearances and five number one seats since 2013?
02:10
I don't think there's a better formula out there for Gonzaga.
02:14
I certainly don't think that it involves playing with these Pac-12 schools, because what it
02:19
comes down to, Scott, is this simple reality.
02:23
These games will be more difficult for them than the games they have played in the West
02:29
Coast Conference.
02:30
But on the whole, not without exception, but on the whole, the games will be no more rewarding.
02:38
It's not going to help you if in a typical Washington State year, it's not going to help
02:44
you all that much more to beat Washington State than it does to beat Santa Clara or
02:51
Loyola Marymount.
02:52
It's just not going to help that much.
02:54
It's not going to move the needle for the selection committee in terms of bringing you
02:58
into the tournament or seeding you prominently.
03:01
So these teams that are going into this new conference, you know, some of them, you know,
03:10
I think have gotten certainly better at basketball, San Diego State being one of them.
03:15
You know, you'll have Boise State, Oregon State, you said Washington State.
03:20
And I don't disagree playing Pacific and Portland and San Francisco and Loyola Marymount and
03:27
St. Mary's.
03:28
I mean, St. Mary's was their main rival, right?
03:31
At the end of the day, that was the team that gave them the most problems in the WCC or
03:36
whatever it was, the West Coast Conference all these years.
03:40
That was their problem was St. Mary's.
03:42
But they always ended up beating St. Mary's and they always ended up winning that conference
03:47
and they always ended up winning the conference tournament.
03:50
For the most part, there are very few exceptions, as you said.
03:53
Right.
03:54
Like they clean house.
03:56
So I wouldn't disagree with you that it's almost a risky move to go try something completely
04:04
different than what the formula you're talking about that they had mastered.
04:09
Yeah, the counter to that is that they believe they will get more money.
04:15
Now, that's not guaranteed because we don't know and no one knows what the Pac-12 television
04:21
deal will be worth.
04:22
They can make representations and say, we expect it to be this, but until it's this,
04:27
we don't know what that will be.
04:29
And I do believe that there's a lot of programs that have changed conferences over the years,
04:37
Scott.
04:38
When they had other options, including fighting to make their previous homes, their homes
04:43
at the time, more relevant and more lucrative.
04:47
And they wound up with bigger checks and less success and fun.
04:51
I mean, how much fun is Boston College have?
04:54
How much have they had in general over the last 20 years?
04:59
Where's the fun?
05:00
They almost never sniffed the NCAA tournament in men's basketball.
05:03
They played in no prominent ball games in the out of the ACC and they get a bigger check.
05:10
Is that better?
05:11
I still wonder about that.
05:15
I keep hearing from Texas A&M fans.
05:16
They tell me every time that going to the SEC was the smart move for them.
05:20
They don't win there.
05:22
What they ended up doing is writing a $75 million check to get rid of a guy who was
05:26
a pretty, pretty good college football coach, Jimbo Fisher, whether he was the right coach
05:32
for A&M and the SEC.
05:34
That's for them to decide.
05:35
But he was a pretty good coach.
05:36
They paid him $75 million to not coach.
05:39
Yeah.
05:40
How about that's a great point.
05:42
And really, at the end of the day, in my opinion, the only time they ever mattered was when
05:47
Johnny Mansell was there.
05:49
They haven't mattered since.
05:52
But you had an interesting part of the article talking about some of the schools that have
05:57
done it, like Davidson, Butler.
05:59
The one that stood out to me was Butler because they've done it from the horizon to where
06:04
they are now.
06:06
And did you think it paid off for those schools, like going up in weight?
06:12
I don't think.
06:13
I mean, it paid off in terms of financially.
06:16
I'm sure they're making more money.
06:18
I don't have any doubt about that.
06:20
But Davidson, which was facing the likelihood that Bob McKillop, the great Bob McKillop,
06:26
would retire relatively soon after they changed leagues from the Southern Conference, where
06:33
they were the, they weren't, they didn't get every single bid every single year out of
06:38
the Southern Conference in the way that the Zags do in the WCC.
06:42
But they got a lot of them.
06:43
And since they moved to the Atlantic 10, it's been leaner.
06:47
They have had some success, but it's been leaner.
06:49
And now Bob has retired and his son, Matt, has taken over and is trying to build the
06:54
program back.
06:55
And it's a, it's a tougher slog in the, in the A-10.
06:58
It's the, A-10 is the best one bid league in college basketball.
07:01
I'm not sure I want to be in the best one bid league in college basketball.
07:05
I want to be in the lesser one because if I, if I'm great, I'm going to get that one
07:09
bid.
07:10
If I'm in the A-10 and I'm great, there are three or four other teams that could beat
07:13
me and take that bid.
07:15
So I don't know that it's been terrific for them.
07:18
For Butler, we have seen a relative decline in their performance since they, since they
07:24
joined the Big East.
07:25
They had some success early on.
07:27
And after Chris Holtman left, they've had, they've had some struggle to get back there.
07:32
They haven't been back since COVID.
07:35
They've been there four times.
07:37
But when they were back in the day, they went to the NCAA tournament 11 times.
07:43
Yeah, I think it does make a difference.
07:45
And I liked Butler basketball the way it was.
07:48
I thought they had a beautiful formula to watch the players that they were able to get
07:53
into and then mix in some Horizon League players, but really good ones.
07:58
And to be able to get to the championship game in 2010 and 2011, to be able to earn
08:03
fairly prominent seeds, a number five in one season.
08:08
I think that, that, that was, it was a great program.
08:12
I don't have a problem with them as a Big East program, but I thought that as a Horizon
08:16
League program, there was something extraordinary there.
08:19
Right.
08:20
When Krzyzewski retired, he was what, 75?
08:24
How long do you think Mark Few will coach at 61?
08:28
Hasn't he already named his replacement?
08:30
Like he did one of those Jim Boeheim moves.
08:33
Well that didn't stop Jim Boeheim from coaching until he was nearly 120.
08:37
Which is all the more ridiculous.
08:40
It was the dumbest thing I'd ever seen.
08:42
He named his successor 25 years before he left.
08:46
Yes.
08:47
I don't know what Mark wants.
08:50
There have been people who speculated that it was imminent, relatively imminent, I guess
08:54
I should say.
08:56
But you never know until you get to that point.
08:58
And Mark's still only 61.
08:59
So even if he coached another five years, he gets to 66, that's a fairly long time.
09:04
So I think we'll still see Mark in the game for a while.
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