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College Football Season Excitement Surges with Expanded Playoff
SportsGrid
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11/19/2024
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00:00
Bill Bender, our man from the
00:04
Sporting News, is with us now,
00:06
because there's a lot to dive
00:07
into. Bill, good to see you, as
00:09
always, my man. And I think the
00:11
first thing that I want to ask
00:13
you this first, because this was
00:14
the one thing that I've been
00:15
thinking about here in November
00:16
with college football, there was
00:17
so many people that tried to
00:19
tell me that the regular season
00:22
in college football is not going
00:23
to mean as much anymore going
00:25
from four teams to 12 teams,
00:27
that it's not going to be not
00:29
going to be as exciting in
00:30
November, there's going to be
00:32
Bill, they couldn't be more
00:33
wrong. Because there are so
00:35
many more games that years ago
00:37
we would have never been
00:40
highlighting or looking forward
00:42
to or saying mean a lot than we
00:44
do now. Because with three
00:46
weeks to go, Bill, this thing is
00:48
all over the place with this
00:50
committee and what the 12 teams
00:51
that are going to get in
00:52
specifically in the SEC.
00:55
Right. And the Power Four is
00:56
like four separate NFLs.
00:58
Basically, when you look at the
01:00
tiebreaker scenarios, and you
01:01
sort all that out, at least the
01:03
NFL, it's just to AFC, NFC, you
01:05
figure it out. Now, when you
01:07
dig in to the SEC tiebreaker
01:10
scenarios, you come up with a
01:11
couple conclusions. If Texas
01:13
beats Texas A&M takes care of
01:15
business against Kentucky this
01:16
weekend, which I think they
01:17
will, the Longhorns will have
01:19
one spot. If you have this
01:21
multi team tiebreaker, it could
01:24
work its way down to a
01:26
tiebreaker, which would be the
01:28
combined winning percentage of
01:30
their conference opponents. And
01:31
right now of those two lost
01:33
teams, the one that has one
01:35
that's 500 or better, is that
01:37
who? Alabama, of course. So for
01:39
all this, like, you know,
01:41
posturing and trying to figure
01:42
out all these doomsday
01:43
scenarios, we're probably going
01:45
to end up with Texas and
01:46
Alabama if those two teams take
01:48
care of their business in the
01:49
next two weeks.
01:50
Yeah, and I was saying in the
01:52
break before that LSU doomsday
01:55
scenario that was out there
01:56
last week was was pretty wild
01:58
because on paper bill, it kind
02:01
of looked plausible when you
02:03
first looked at and you went,
02:04
all right, you know, at the
02:05
favorite team. But as we've
02:07
kind of gone to learn this year,
02:08
especially even in the SEC, the
02:10
whole favorite team to win
02:13
definitely is not how this year
02:15
is going, especially in that
02:16
league. What did you think of
02:18
where the committee put the SEC
02:21
teams last week? And how much do
02:23
you think they'll switch it up
02:24
this week? Because they I think
02:25
they purposely left Georgia as
02:28
the last team out because they
02:29
knew they beat Tennessee this
02:30
week. They're going to rifle
02:32
them right back up a little bit
02:33
higher in the rankings. What did
02:35
you think of where they kind of
02:36
have those teams in the pecking
02:38
order right now?
02:39
I think they they honor head to
02:40
head all the time. That's
02:41
something to keep in mind as we
02:42
get in. Now I say this and I'm
02:44
going to sound like a hypocrite
02:45
in about five seconds.
02:46
Alabama, Alabama, Tennessee.
02:48
There it is. You stole it from
02:50
me. I was going to get there. So
02:52
I'll get there first. I'll say
02:54
they're going to honor Alabama
02:56
beating Georgia before they
02:57
honor Tennessee beating Alabama.
02:59
And I think they'll move Georgia
03:02
in tomorrow night. And I think
03:03
they'll move Tennessee out,
03:05
which is going to cause Tennessee
03:07
fans to lash out. And I think
03:09
they're going to find if they
03:10
can't lash out within their own
03:11
conference, they're going to
03:12
find the next closest thing. And
03:14
the next two closest things are
03:15
going to be Indiana. If the
03:17
Hoosiers lose by a bunch of
03:19
points in Columbus this weekend
03:20
and Notre Dame, who is
03:23
attaching their Notre Dame's
03:25
playing really well, by the way,
03:26
but they lost to Northern
03:27
Illinois and their two most
03:29
impressive victories might end
03:30
up being Navy and Army if they
03:32
take care of the Army game this
03:33
weekend. So I think that's where
03:35
Tennessee fans are going to try
03:36
to go because the way the
03:38
playoff picture is set up,
03:40
you're probably going to end up
03:41
with four big 10 teams and four
03:43
SEC teams. They're going to need
03:44
Indiana to lose by a lot for the
03:46
committee to consider knocking
03:48
them out with one loss in big
03:50
10 play.
03:52
Yeah, I was kind of going to go
03:53
there next and I'm going to
03:54
circle back to Notre Dame
03:56
because I do want to bring them
03:57
back up as well. Indiana, Ohio
03:59
State is clearly the marquee
04:00
game this week. Indiana has
04:03
rode this 10 and 0 mark. Have
04:04
they played anybody great? No,
04:07
they haven't. They finally got a
04:09
big test for Michigan last time
04:11
out before they went on their
04:12
bye. I think you said it
04:14
perfectly. If they could stay
04:17
within the spread 20, like what
04:22
is the number where Indiana has
04:23
to prove to that committee that
04:25
at 11 and one provided they beat
04:27
Purdue in the last game that
04:29
they are more deserving than any
04:31
of those other SEC teams who are
04:34
going to have two or three
04:34
losses or a second, which I
04:37
don't think is possible anyway,
04:38
a second big 12 or ACC team.
04:40
Well, let me throw a score out
04:41
to you. I went and watched or
04:44
you remember this game a couple
04:45
of weeks ago. If Ohio State beat
04:46
Indiana the same way they beat
04:49
Iowa about a month ago, it was
04:51
35 to seven. It was close at
04:53
halftime and then Ohio State
04:54
pulled away. I still think
04:56
Indiana would be fine just
04:57
because I will competed for a
04:59
half and I kind of see that's
05:01
what's going to happen on
05:02
Saturday. I could see Indiana
05:04
hanging around with Curtis
05:05
Rourke. Will Howard and Rourke
05:07
are the two top most efficient
05:09
passers in the big 10. They're
05:10
not fancy, but they get the job
05:11
done. Curtis Rourke's had a
05:12
really fantastic season and I
05:14
could actually see this being a
05:16
little bit like an Ohio State
05:17
Michigan game where they go
05:19
back and forth. The defenses
05:20
control the tempo and if they
05:21
stop the run, one of those
05:23
quarterbacks will make a handful
05:24
of pass plays and that will be
05:25
that. But what they can't have
05:28
happened is what happened to
05:29
Michigan State a few years ago.
05:31
Remember they came into the
05:32
shoe, Mel Tucker team, and I
05:33
think they got, it was 49
05:35
nothing at halftime. If that
05:37
happens, those things we talked
05:39
about with Tennessee and the
05:40
other SEC schools would become
05:41
in play.
05:43
I mean, the book still has
05:45
Indiana minus 350 to make the
05:47
college football playoff. So
05:49
they think that the Vegas still
05:51
thinks that they can get in even
05:53
with a loss to a team that
05:54
that's their 12 and a half point
05:55
dogs do. That number has gone
05:56
from 10 and a half to 12 and a
05:58
half over the last couple of
05:59
days for Indiana. Notre Dame.
06:01
People used to cry all the time.
06:03
They don't play in a
06:04
conference. They shouldn't be
06:05
in. They have an advantage. They
06:06
don't play a conference
06:07
championship game. This is when
06:08
there was four teams, Bill. Now
06:10
that there's 12, I'm starting to
06:12
see it even more. I'm a Notre
06:14
Dame fan. I usually defend by
06:17
saying Notre Dame usually
06:19
schedules at least three or four
06:21
of their games pretty good, just
06:23
like everyone else. It's not
06:24
their fault this year that
06:26
Florida state and USC, I'll even
06:28
throw Louisville in there.
06:30
Aren't very good this year. I
06:31
don't, I don't think it's fair
06:32
to Notre Dame to do that to
06:33
them. They thought those were
06:35
going to be marquee games for
06:36
them. Yeah. Do you think they
06:37
planned on Florida state being
06:38
one in eight or one in nine? I
06:40
don't think so. And they, they
06:42
schedule USC, they schedule
06:43
across all the conferences.
06:44
They've taken advantage of that
06:47
ACC arrangement. And quite
06:48
frankly, the last month or so
06:50
they've played well, they're
06:52
really good on the defensive
06:53
side of the ball. You can't
06:54
throw on them that you have to
06:55
earn every yard. Um, and I, I
06:58
kind of look at them as one of
06:59
these top 10 defensive teams.
07:01
If you look across most playoff
07:03
projections, you're going to
07:04
find eight of the top 10
07:05
defenses in college football
07:07
there from a scoring standpoint.
07:08
So I think as we get into the
07:10
college football playoff, some
07:12
of these games might be fist
07:13
fights, you know, like 24, 20,
07:15
24, 17 type games. And in that
07:18
setting, Notre Dame could win a
07:20
game or two in the playoff. So
07:21
I'm going to defend them here as
07:23
long as they don't lose the
07:24
army, which is going to be an
07:25
interesting game when you're
07:26
going up nation's leading rush
07:28
offense and a tough defense for
07:30
the black Knights. I think it's
07:31
going to be a lot of fun, uh,
07:33
four horsemen memories, you
07:35
know, look that up, but I like
07:36
the Irish to win this week and
07:38
finish 11 and one and possibly
07:40
depending on how it shakes out,
07:42
uh, get a home game in the
07:44
first round. Yeah. Uh, that
07:46
game at Yankee stadium to
07:48
against army, uh, coming up
07:49
here on Saturday night. Uh, so
07:51
that should be very
07:51
interesting. I got about a
07:52
minute left though. Um, BYU
07:55
loses this week. Colorado's on
07:57
a big role right now, Colorado,
07:59
BYU, or does Arizona state who
08:01
people are leaving out? Uh, you
08:03
know, they're right in the mix
08:04
here with BYU this week. I like
08:06
the sun devils this weekend. I
08:08
do. I think they went at home.
08:09
BYU hasn't been there since
08:10
1997. Sam Levitt's a hot
08:13
quarterback, three touchdowns,
08:14
each of the last three weeks,
08:15
they can run the football,
08:16
pretty complete domination at
08:18
Kansas state over the weekend
08:19
as well. So man, if I had told
08:22
you last year, Arizona state,
08:23
Colorado pair of three and nine
08:25
teams are going to be in the
08:26
big 12 championship game. I
08:27
mean, how hard would you have
08:29
laughed me off this show? I
08:30
think it's getting closer to
08:31
becoming a reality. Uh, 20
08:33
seconds. Will Miami or SMU open
08:37
the door for Clemson in the
08:38
next two weeks? I think they
08:40
both win Miami SMU. That's my
08:42
ACC championship game. They
08:43
closed that store. If one were
08:45
to open it, I think it would be
08:46
Miami.
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