Miami vs. USF Football Game Preview: Betting Insights

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00:00It's not the story for Miami.

00:04The conference favorites to win the ACC title at plus 125.

00:09Not a conference game, Kev, but an in-state showdown against a good USF team, at least

00:14when it comes to covering the spreads as an underdog.

00:18Under Alex Golish, who is now the head coach in his second year in Tampa, they are 7-2

00:23against the spread as an underdog since the start of last year.

00:26They covered against Alabama earlier this season.

00:29That was a one-point game in the fourth quarter, despite Alabama ultimately winning 42-13,

00:34whatever it ended up being, they did cover as a 30.5-point underdog.

00:40This one, close to three scores in favor of the Canes.

00:44How competitive of a football game are we in store for?

00:47It's a 17-point number.

00:49I think the side's tricky.

00:50I do think one of the important parts of this cap is figuring out what in the world happened

00:54in that fourth quarter.

00:55A 14-13 game, the fourth quarter's final score was 28-3, made it 42-16, as you said.

01:01What happened was Alabama's home run hitters just started ripping off home runs, and sometimes

01:06they were kind of getting softballs pitched to them with short fields as well.

01:10I went under 65 in this game because we saw South Florida contain Bama for moments, but

01:17also Miami's defense is great.

01:21I know it's early, but it's great.

01:23South Florida cannot throw the football.

01:25I know Byron Brown is explosive on the ground.

01:27Good.

01:28Tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick.

01:30I'm under 65 here.

01:31It's a good look.

01:32They're averaging 268 rushing yards per game.

01:34Byron Brown, 5.5 yards per carry.

01:37He's going to put pressure on that Miami defense.

01:39You know, when this line opened up at the start of the week, and I'm talking Sunday

01:42night, that's when I break down all the numbers, 17.5, I said, you know, potential look-ahead

01:46spot for Miami.

01:48They have Vatek on Friday night.

01:49Could that be a factor?

01:51And obviously USF is not going to fear Miami after going into Tuscaloosa and trailing that

01:56game in the fourth quarter by only two points, right?

01:58So I think that's the factor.

02:00From a physicality perspective, you're going to get USF's best shot.

02:04If Cam Ward and that offense can jump up early, it could be lights out.

02:07Cam Ward's done a fantastic job, 72% completion percentage, 11 touchdowns, one interception,

02:13has distributed the football to every wide receiver.

02:16He's looking and seeing the field clearly.

02:18That should continue.

02:20But I still like the points here with USF.

02:22A little kryptonite has crept into the market here in regards to, you know, some mushers

02:26liking it.

02:27But you know what?

02:28I'll still take the points with USF.

02:30The algo's starting to adjust and those wheels are spinning.

02:35Not only is Miami the ACC favorite, Cam Ward enters week four as the new Heisman Trophy

02:40favorite as well, 1,035 yards this year.

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