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Miami vs. USF Football Game Preview: Betting Insights
SportsGrid
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9/26/2024
Category
🥇
Sports
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00:00
It's not the story for Miami.
00:04
The conference favorites to win the ACC title at plus 125.
00:09
Not a conference game, Kev, but an in-state showdown against a good USF team, at least
00:14
when it comes to covering the spreads as an underdog.
00:18
Under Alex Golish, who is now the head coach in his second year in Tampa, they are 7-2
00:23
against the spread as an underdog since the start of last year.
00:26
They covered against Alabama earlier this season.
00:29
That was a one-point game in the fourth quarter, despite Alabama ultimately winning 42-13,
00:34
whatever it ended up being, they did cover as a 30.5-point underdog.
00:40
This one, close to three scores in favor of the Canes.
00:44
How competitive of a football game are we in store for?
00:47
It's a 17-point number.
00:49
I think the side's tricky.
00:50
I do think one of the important parts of this cap is figuring out what in the world happened
00:54
in that fourth quarter.
00:55
A 14-13 game, the fourth quarter's final score was 28-3, made it 42-16, as you said.
01:01
What happened was Alabama's home run hitters just started ripping off home runs, and sometimes
01:06
they were kind of getting softballs pitched to them with short fields as well.
01:10
I went under 65 in this game because we saw South Florida contain Bama for moments, but
01:17
also Miami's defense is great.
01:21
I know it's early, but it's great.
01:23
South Florida cannot throw the football.
01:25
I know Byron Brown is explosive on the ground.
01:27
Good.
01:28
Tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick.
01:30
I'm under 65 here.
01:31
It's a good look.
01:32
They're averaging 268 rushing yards per game.
01:34
Byron Brown, 5.5 yards per carry.
01:37
He's going to put pressure on that Miami defense.
01:39
You know, when this line opened up at the start of the week, and I'm talking Sunday
01:42
night, that's when I break down all the numbers, 17.5, I said, you know, potential look-ahead
01:46
spot for Miami.
01:48
They have Vatek on Friday night.
01:49
Could that be a factor?
01:51
And obviously USF is not going to fear Miami after going into Tuscaloosa and trailing that
01:56
game in the fourth quarter by only two points, right?
01:58
So I think that's the factor.
02:00
From a physicality perspective, you're going to get USF's best shot.
02:04
If Cam Ward and that offense can jump up early, it could be lights out.
02:07
Cam Ward's done a fantastic job, 72% completion percentage, 11 touchdowns, one interception,
02:13
has distributed the football to every wide receiver.
02:16
He's looking and seeing the field clearly.
02:18
That should continue.
02:20
But I still like the points here with USF.
02:22
A little kryptonite has crept into the market here in regards to, you know, some mushers
02:26
liking it.
02:27
But you know what?
02:28
I'll still take the points with USF.
02:30
The algo's starting to adjust and those wheels are spinning.
02:35
Not only is Miami the ACC favorite, Cam Ward enters week four as the new Heisman Trophy
02:40
favorite as well, 1,035 yards this year.
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