Exploring Touchdown Odds and NFL Betting Strategies

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00:00Before we hit on Justin Jefferson, who is basically even money, a little, I mean, you

00:07say plus money, but it's really not plus 100.

00:09It's just, you're laying no Jews plus 100 to score a touchdown this week.

00:14Any interest?

00:17There's always interest, but generally, uh, I don't know how many games we have on Sunday

00:21and looking at the board here with a four, nine, 13, I'm going to find guys who are plus

00:26money.

00:27Yeah.

00:28I said, this is not really plus money.

00:29This is not a game of Jews.

00:30You're even here.

00:31I'll find odds.

00:32I like better here.

00:33Do I think he gets in the end zone?

00:34Yeah, I do.

00:35I think it's gonna be a high scoring game.

00:36I think it has to be.

00:37You're also Minnesota's going to get crushed here.

00:38I think this is a game that's probably gonna get over 50 points combined here.

00:41So I certainly like the over here.

00:42Do I think JJ gets in?

00:43Sure.

00:44Am I worried about the injury?

00:45No.

00:46We heard on what Wednesday?

00:47He said he, I'll be there.

00:48You know, you're going to, you can mark that in whatever he said, whatever words he used

00:51there.

00:52So do I like it?

00:53Sure.

00:54Am I betting it?

00:55No.

00:56Now, receptions for running backs are always an interesting dynamic and the Atlanta Falcons

01:01seem to be pounding the ball more with B. John Robinson.

01:04Although the receptions aren't coming in as much, George, four and a half, the over under

01:08on receptions minus 110, a little slant toward the under here at four and a half.

01:14What do you think?

01:15I mean, I just said, it's always a product of what the pass rush is going to be, right?

01:20Dump off stuff like that.

01:21He'll have a screen pass or two during the game that's designed for him here.

01:24I am interested in it.

01:26Yeah.

01:27That being said, you know, he's got it.

01:29You know, I think they, I think they will use him.

01:31He's got it.

01:32Well, he's five and four.

01:33He's got five game one, four game two.

01:34So he's right there.

01:35I think that's going to be a closer contest.

01:37I know the kids, he's going to run them out here.

01:40So I would lean once again, I'd lean yes, but I'm not going to pay that price.

01:45I'll have other props.

01:46I can find you.

01:47I'm going to get a better number at, uh, maybe a lower reception or plus money here.

01:51Yeah.

01:52So it's, it's the minus one 10 that bothers me more than anything.

01:54It's a high number.

01:55If it was three and a half minus one 10, I'm all over this four and a half minus one 10.

02:00Probably not going to take it.

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