Exploring Jordan Love's Under Bet vs. Vikings Defense

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00:00So it's time now to dive into the over-unders for this week, and Joe, this is going to be

00:07a really interesting conversation.

00:08Let's get right to it.

00:10Jordan Love has a game against Minnesota, I believe it is in Minnesota, 245 and a half

00:16passing yards.

00:17You would think the elements would dictate as such, over or under what says you?

00:22Well, look, I think everyone's going to overreact to what you saw in the opening of the season

00:28where you had 389 passing yards against the Vikings and just want to smash this number.

00:33But this is going to be unpopular, I'm going to go under here.

00:36If you go back and look at last year, two against Minnesota, this was much more in line

00:40with this number, 229 passing yards last year.

00:43Now, again, that was beginning of the year, beginning of his career.

00:46But then week 17 last year, when they were really humping, 256.

00:50So I'm going to go under here.

00:51This Vikings defense is very good.

00:53I think this game is going to be a little bit different than what people might think

00:57of expectations.

00:58I think it's going to play a little bit tighter.

01:01I do like Darnold and Jefferson this game.

01:03I think that they have something to prove here against the Green Bay Packers.

01:07And I think Minnesota is a tough building.

01:09So I'm going to go ahead here and take the under with Jordan Love.

01:12I think everybody's running to the over.

01:14And I think Vegas with the low number is trying to tell us something and nobody wants to hear

01:18it.

01:19They've just seen value, value, value, and like flashing lights going, oh, yeah, 389

01:24last time.

01:25There's no way he's not going to go for 300.

01:26And maybe, maybe I'm wrong.

01:28Maybe Vegas is wrong.

01:29But they make a lot of hotels and they have a lot of property.

01:31So Vegas isn't wrong that much.

01:33So the fact that this number isn't 275 and a half, it's 245 and a half.

01:39They see something too.

01:41And also, let's not forget too, Christian Watson out for this game.

01:43So there's another piece missing.

01:45They become a very run heavy team here towards the second half.

01:48They really found a lot with that.

01:50So I think this might be, like I said, a little disappointing.

01:53People are rushing to the value, but I don't know if it's the right call.

01:56I'm going under.

01:58Really astute bettor's eye right there from Joe Pizzapia.

02:01Okay, let's go to a running back here, James Cook.

02:04The number is 61 and a half rushing yards over or under for the Buffalo Bills backfield

02:10standout.

02:11Well, we were over last week with James Cook.

02:15We said ladder bedded up to 100.

02:17He got us 100.

02:18Way to go.

02:19Good job.

02:20The week before, 105.

02:21Now, the week before that against the Rams, again, that game script totally got away from

02:25them.

02:26They lost 30 points.

02:27It was crazy.

02:28So they abandoned the run.

02:29I don't want to take too much out of that.

02:30The week before against San Francisco, though, 107.

02:33So the secret sauce here for the Buffalo Bills three last four weeks, you know, when they

02:37have won all those three games, basically, is James Cook rushing for 100 yards, 107,

02:43105, 100.

02:44New York Jets, that's the team you can run the football against.

02:48And I'm going over again, 61 and a half.

02:49I think this is a small number.

02:51I think this is another ladder bet opportunity.

02:54And I think people are just flat out missing this.

02:56And I don't understand why this one is so low.

03:02I understand there's sometimes fear in the marketplace, too, where, you know, you might

03:05have Josh Allen running the football a lot.

03:07But I think the Bills have shown their hand here.

03:10And once again, the up and down nature of James Cook is true, except for the fact this

03:17trend in the last month is very much the opposite.

03:19The only time out of the buy that it hasn't been that was the one game where they fell

03:24behind by a lot early, where you just took James Cook out of the equation.

03:28So again, I think there's another opportunity this week.

03:31And I am also, once again, going to ladder bet, and I think all of you should, too.

03:35There you go.

03:36There's my James Cook spiel.

03:37I approve this message.

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