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NCAAF Best Bets: Georgia vs Alabama - Key College Clash
SportsGrid
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9/26/2024
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00:00
Welcome back to the early line live right here on this Monday
00:06
to start off a new week as we end out week number three with
00:10
a Monday night doubleheader.
00:12
Then we'll have a full day a couple of days off from football
00:15
as we do Thursday will get us back underway and for college
00:19
football week number five.
00:20
We've got some good games on Friday and we've got some great
00:23
games on Saturday including where everybody will be looking
00:29
Tuscaloosa, Alabama under the lights inside Brian Denny for a
00:34
top five tilt.
00:36
It's number two, Georgia and number four, Alabama at Nick
00:41
Saban field in Tuscaloosa.
00:45
Look at the spread.
00:47
It is two and a half not in favor of the tide, but the dogs
00:52
on the road in Tuscaloosa.
00:54
Let's just start with the regular season aspect of this game.
00:59
It will be just the third regular season meeting between
01:02
conference mates, Georgia and Alabama since the 2015 season.
01:09
Yes, they have played a ton in recent years twice in 2021 SEC
01:14
title National Championship game and last year's SEC championship,
01:19
but again only twice in the regular season up until Saturday
01:24
from the start of 2015.
01:27
So let's use 2015 as our barometer.
01:31
Alabama has only been an underdog five times since 2015 five
01:36
times in nearly 10 years of college football since 2015.
01:40
They are three and two against the spread and they are three
01:44
and two straight up four of the five games as an underdog have
01:50
come against who Georgia in that regular season matchup in 2015
01:55
in both the SEC and National Championship games in 2021, Alabama
02:01
won the SEC title Georgia got the last laugh and a cover as a
02:05
national champion in 2021.
02:08
And of course a year ago Alabama as the underdog outright in
02:12
Atlanta once again over UGA the Crimson Tides only other time
02:17
as a dog last year's Rose Bowl and college football playoff
02:20
semifinal against Michigan that game went to overtime.
02:24
What an exceptional was it as exceptional one?
02:26
It was in Pasadena.
02:29
How about a home underdog bed?
02:31
When's the last time Alabama was booked as a home underdog that
02:34
would be November of 2007 the very first year Nick Saban was
02:39
the head coach for Alabama.
02:42
They were a six and a half point underdog in that opening year
02:46
against LSU.
02:48
This will be the first time if the line holds and it should it's
02:52
not just a pick them or a couple of cents on the money line in
02:55
favor of UGA.
02:56
It's two and a half points in favor of Georgia against Alabama.
03:01
And again, if the line holds it will snap a consecutive streak
03:05
of a hundred and thirteen home games inside Brian Denny Stadium
03:10
as the favorite for Alabama.
03:13
It is crazy to see Alabama getting points at home in Tuscaloosa.
03:21
Now, let's talk about the game itself.
03:23
Does that make sense?
03:25
Alabama has been incredibly impressive and it's opening three
03:28
games of the year.
03:30
Both of these teams had a bye week number four of this college
03:34
football season in week three Alabama went on the road to
03:38
Wisconsin hammered the Badgers covered easily as a 1415 and a
03:43
half point favorite winning 42 to 10.
03:46
Jalen Milrow threw for three touchdowns had two more on the
03:49
ground in each of the three for the Crimson Tide this season
03:52
Milrow has had two passing and two rushing touchdowns.
03:56
At least he is being unlocked in this Kalen DeBoer offense.
04:00
It's why he has the third best price to win a Heisman trophy.
04:03
What about UGA?
04:04
The last time we saw Georgia it was on the road against Kentucky
04:09
in week number three in the Bulldogs SEC opener more than a
04:14
three touchdown favorite in Lexington.
04:16
They win by only a single point 13 to 12.
04:20
By the way, Georgia has been under in all three games this
04:23
year.
04:23
It's why this total is relatively minimal at 50 and a hook the
04:29
Georgia Bulldogs since the start of the 2022 college football
04:36
season have lost one game.
04:38
They've lost one time in their last 33.
04:42
It was to Alabama in the SEC championship game a season ago
04:47
since the end of 2020 and they finished out on a four-game
04:51
win streak that being UGA as I do the quick math.
04:54
I had 51 total games from that point Georgia has lost twice
05:00
to Alabama in the 2021 SEC title game in the 2023 SEC title
05:06
game all to say if you ask me right here right now, Georgia
05:10
laying the number in Tuscaloosa is the right side.
05:13
Georgia remains the SEC favorite in front of Tennessee and
05:17
Alabama.
05:18
You see the odds right there.
05:20
The early line returns tomorrow 8 a.m.
05:22
Eastern time on sports.
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