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Alabama vs. Oklahoma: Tricky Pre-Iron Bowl Matchup
SportsGrid
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11/23/2024
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00:00
We start tonight in Norman, Oklahoma. A game entering the year that we looked at for Alabama
00:09
on the road the week prior to the Iron Bowl and said, oh, this is a new spot against the new SEC
00:15
member in OU. Might it be tricky? Well, the odds right now would tell you no. It's around two
00:21
touchdowns, 14 and a half earlier on this Saturday morning. Now, under that two touchdown margin of
00:27
13 and a hook, and yet, Kev, a lot of people look at this as maybe that trappity trap spot ahead of
00:35
a wild rivalry game, as we know, next week against Auburn. A lot of people are looking
00:41
at Oklahoma, who has not had a great season, to keep this game close. How do you view it?
00:46
Yeah, I think they can, certainly within the number of 14 and a half that pumped at a number
00:50
of spots. I know that number's, I think, working its way back down. I think one book was still
00:55
showing a 13 and a half, a lot of flat 14s out there in the market as well. The thing about
01:00
Oklahoma is they are not just a trap spot team. They are one of the 20 best defenses in college
01:07
football, and if you now are Alabama, that is a spot that it is hard to extend on. It is. I know
01:15
Texas ran OU out of the, you know, off the field. Watching that game, just some tough turnovers
01:22
allowed Texas to extend and kind of keep their hands at bay. Also for OU, what's really been,
01:28
you know, what has done them in this year is the offense. It is bad. Unfortunately for Brett
01:33
Venables, he showed up to the SEC without an SEC-level quarterback, really, slash offense.
01:38
I think that's where, coming off the bye, we can help. Getting in your trick plays,
01:44
just getting a little bit more comfortable game plan. Like, if you are Oklahoma, nothing matters
01:49
more than this game. This would be, for Venables, the win of his OU tenure, and this is a guy who
01:56
beat Texas last year. It gets you ball eligibility, which I think still matters to a guy like Venables
02:02
and a program like Oklahoma. This is a team that, you know, caught this type of number on a neutral
02:08
against Texas, I think, in Norman. 14 and a half is way too much. I'm with you, Kev. I liked him.
02:14
I took him at 13 and a half earlier in the week, and to your point as well, let's not forget,
02:18
seven and a half win total at the start of the year. We looked at the schedule for Oklahoma and
02:22
said it's going to be a gauntlet for them to just potentially get to ball eligibility, and they've
02:28
done a pretty good job. And I'm with Kevin as well. The front seven only giving up 109 rushing
02:32
yards per game. We've seen them contain for the most part and stay within the number in Oxford
02:37
against Jackson, Dart, and that offense, they were a very physical problem. Why they didn't
02:42
really win that game or potentially win, it was Jackson, Arnold and the passing attack, right?
02:47
They did work and were down six wide receivers for much of the year. Got a couple of them back
02:52
last week. They didn't show consistency, fell behind to Missouri and lost that matchup. But
02:57
with the extra week of preparation, I'm buying in. This is the Super Bowl, right? You're talking
03:01
about a difficult place to play in Norman. I will just say this. If Alabama jumps up early,
03:07
could be a very difficult spot. They have to dictate the tempo. And the reason why I say that
03:12
OU's offensive line is allowed 41 sacks. Jackson, Arnold has held on to the football way too long.
03:18
They need to be within the margin. Can't be one dimensional in the second half. We talked about
03:23
the game as they were welcoming in Tennessee earlier in the opening month of this season,
03:28
a ranked Oklahoma team had never been more than a four point home underdog in Norman since the
03:34
late 1970s. That game closed five and a half in favor of the Vols. They went to Norman, they won
03:40
and they covered. This is the largest spread that any version of an Oklahoma team, ranked or
03:46
unranked, has seen at home since 1998. It is nearly two touchdowns. Total is only 46 and a half.
03:54
Oklahoma's defense, a lot of the burden has been on its shoulders because of that inept offensive
04:00
play this season. They have faced 664 snaps. That is the seventh most among power four teams this
04:08
year. They are only allowing 4.8 yards per play and something about the Crimson Tide as well.
04:14
They allowed at least 25 points in their first three SEC games, averaging 33 points per game
04:20
allowed in that span, 24 points or less in their last three, just 13 in total in their last two.
04:27
This Alabama defense looking a lot better right now under Kane Womack than they did earlier in
04:33
the season.
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