MLB Best Bets: Full Matchups and best bets for Today

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00:00only four games on this Monday slate in Major League Baseball

00:07to start the final week of the regular season. A lot of teams

00:11have the day off before they start their second to last set

00:14of the year tomorrow on a Tuesday, but DRS still a lot

00:18of postseason implications at stake on this Monday. We start

00:23in Houston. The Astros host the Mariners minus 132 Houston

00:27the slight home favorite against Seattle. Total seven

00:31and a half. If Houston wins tonight, they clinched. They

00:35have a five-game lead in the American League West over

00:38Seattle, but the M's not out of it necessarily, despite the

00:42divisional standings. They're only two games back of those

00:45struggling teams in the American League wildcard chase

00:47as well. Yeah, they can win this game tonight. No doubt about

00:51it. Now, there's only eight total pitchers on the card.

00:53If you go back and take a look at those 20 minimum innings

00:56here, guess who's number one and number two on the card.

00:58It's Hunter Brown and it's Bryce Miller, both the pitchers

01:01in this ballgame in a playoff atmosphere. Understandably,

01:04wouldn't you like the under just a little bit more if it

01:06wasn't Seattle, not Houston, but still nonetheless, I don't

01:08see too many base hits in this baseball game. And also when

01:11we talk about kitchen sink games, Ben, there is no tomorrow

01:14for the Seattle Mariners, which means they're not going to

01:17look at a game like, hey, we just threw two relievers over

01:18the weekend. We want to give them the day off. There is no

01:21more of that. They have to win every single game here on out

01:23if they want to make the playoffs. But as you said, they're

01:26not going to win the division, but is there a legitimate

01:28chance that they can make the playoffs as a wild card? They

01:30win tonight. You get that half game from some teams that

01:33aren't even playing tonight and away you go into this final

01:36week. Must win game, coin flip on the mound. Give me the under

01:40seven and a half. I don't think we get eight runs tonight.

01:42Two good pitchers on the mound. It is crazy to think the

01:45Astros are going to win the American League West after how

01:48dismal the opening half of the year was for Houston. The

01:52Astros, if they win a division, they're going to be the

01:55third seed, it would seem, in the American League playoff

01:58picture behind both the Guardians and the Yankees, but

02:01they will host that opening round and a Houston team that

02:04has played in seven consecutive American League Championship

02:08Series will have the opportunity to make it eight in a row.

02:12Arizona and New York, they have the final two spots in the

02:15National League wild card standings, both looking up at

02:18San Diego by three games. The Padres swept the White Sox

02:22this weekend, as you would expect. San Francisco, though,

02:25the surprising sweep of the weekend in Kansas City at

02:29Coffman over the Royals. The D-backs took three of four,

02:32nearly four of four against Milwaukee. Arizona wants to

02:36keep winning, knowing how crucial the Braves and the Met

02:39Series is going to be starting tomorrow in Atlanta. What do

02:43you like tonight in the desert? And just as we talked about

02:46eight pitchers on the card, the top two pitchers on the card

02:48in the game we just talked about with Seattle and Houston.

02:51How about this? The two worst pitchers on the card we're going

02:53to talk about today with San Francisco and Arizona.

02:56That will be Eduardo Rodriguez and Hayden Birdsong. Here's

02:59the issue. Rodriguez has not been a good pitcher. Typically

03:02left-handed batters have been getting the best of him as a

03:04left-handed pitcher. That can't happen. But let's focus on

03:07the San Francisco Giants offense. One of those teams we

03:09never expect to do a ton of damage. They're in Arizona,

03:12not at home. Maybe they can break through. How about this?

03:15Let me give you the last 30 days action for this lineup

03:18against left-handed pitching them. We'll go one through

03:21eight. Fitzgerald all the way through Schmidt. ISO power

03:24numbers, Ben, are as followed. 0-0-0-0-0-0-0. And then Grant

03:33McRae, good old Grant McRae in the 9-hole there hitting

03:36300 with his ISO power number against left-handed pitching.

03:39So for my money, a team is in it, a team is out of it. One

03:42team can't hit lefties at all. It's got to be an Arizona

03:45Diamondbacks night tonight. Forget about how bad Eduardo

03:47Rodriguez is. They can't hit left-handed pitching.

03:49Diamondbacks win. Listen, those ISO power numbers never

03:53good when it is just a 0. San Francisco, slightly

03:56disappointing season once again by the Bay. Blake Snell

04:00has been great, but he was injured often in the opening

04:02two and a half months of this season. The Giants are two

04:05games below 500 currently going to miss out on the National

04:08League postseason. Is tonight the night that Red October

04:12officially begins in Philadelphia even in late September?

04:16Aaron Ola on the bump for the Phil's. They're a hefty

04:19home favorite back at the bank, excuse me, minus 178.

04:23Would they win? The Phillies claim the National League

04:25East. It would be the first time in the last seven years

04:29as the Atlanta Braves have won the division six consecutive.

04:32We've got a new team atop the National League East. Donnie,

04:35does it happen tonight for your Phillies? At the bank and

04:38yes, the brink of a championship and it should happen

04:41tonight. Having said that though, last performance there

04:44by Aaron Ola, he was sensational. I expect nonetheless,

04:46he should be good tonight. Nate Pearson, an average pitcher

04:49at best, but he look at that Phillies lineup last 30 days

04:52against right-handed pitching. Absolutely slaying it, but

04:55take a look at the Chicago Cubs last 30 days against

04:58right-handed pitching, which Nola is a good pitcher outside

05:01of Isak Paredes. Just about everybody is plus weighted on

05:04base percentage and ISO power numbers. Maybe a little over

05:07the total, but the Phillies still get the victory tonight

05:09in Philadelphia. You can't really see this, but this is my

05:13FanDuel Sportsbook app, way back on May 22nd at an even

05:17money plus 100 price. I bet the Phillies to win the National

05:20League East. Cash the ticket tonight, Philadelphia. The

05:23props are expected next.

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