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College Football Futures Bets | Analysis and Predictions
SportsGrid
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8/7/2024
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00:00
Welcome back to Newswire here on Sports Grid.
00:06
I'm so excited that the college football season is coming up.
00:09
Just about two weeks away, there are four games on August the 24th, and it's always
00:14
exciting to have Bill Bender of Sporting News coming up because his coverage of Sporting
00:17
News is great.
00:18
And by the way, Bill is like one of these guys, this rare day and age where we're talking
00:23
sports that actually like goes to games and covers games.
00:27
So this is why we love having Bill on the show, a traditional reporter who also has
00:31
an opinion on games.
00:33
Bill, you know, it's great to have you back here.
00:35
I'm looking forward to reviewing actual games with you next week.
00:37
I guess today we'll talk about some of the other stories in college football.
00:41
Thanks again for coming on.
00:42
Well, Craig, it's that time and, you know, every day we'll have something at Sporting
00:46
News getting us ready for college football.
00:48
When you said Florida State, Georgia Tech in a few weeks, my head starts spinning.
00:53
I'm getting there.
00:54
I'm ready to go.
00:55
Yeah.
00:57
By next week, Bill, we're going to need an opinion on that game.
00:59
It's too soon.
01:00
All right.
01:01
So let's do some season win totals here, though, today, because I think that that's the hot
01:04
topic.
01:05
We'll start off with the conference that you have an eye on always.
01:08
It's the Big Ten.
01:09
A different look to the Big Tens, and it takes some getting used to, and, you know, scheduling
01:12
is definitely a big part of this.
01:14
But the latest in this news with the University of Michigan that Sharon Moore may allegedly
01:18
have been involved in some of these allegations, you know, that happened in the offseason,
01:23
of several staffers involved in some text messages, etc.
01:27
And you know, certainly he just wants his opportunity to coach the team with Jim Harbaugh
01:30
being gone.
01:31
You know, I don't know.
01:32
I felt like if something was going to happen already to this guy, it would have.
01:35
But I'll ask you, their total is eight and a half wins, which is a heavy lean toward
01:40
the over here, which would be nine wins for them.
01:42
They walked through that number last season.
01:44
The under is plus 132.
01:46
So I think you and I are sort of in lockstep here, where I don't want to diminish the idea
01:52
of what Michigan did last season, but why would Sharon Moore be paying for that this
01:57
year?
01:58
It doesn't add up to me.
01:59
Tell me why.
02:00
Well, I mean, we've got a long way to go in terms of the NCAA violations with Conor Stallions
02:05
and what's going to come out.
02:07
It's timing is everything, and all of this is starting to come out and trickle out before
02:12
the Conor Stallions Netflix special, which I promise will be one-sided.
02:15
I mean, he's not going to throw Michigan under the bus.
02:18
As far as this win total, I like the over.
02:22
Here's the thing with Michigan.
02:23
What they've been able to do the last couple of years, right or wrong, is they don't lose
02:27
games they're not supposed to lose.
02:29
So okay, how many games could they actually lose this year?
02:33
And you look at that and you say, Texas, USC, and Oregon, all three of those games at home,
02:38
by the way, where Michigan hasn't lost a game in the last three years.
02:42
And then they play Ohio State at the end of the road.
02:45
Even if you think the Buckeyes and Oregon are going to beat them, I think they steal
02:48
a couple in there, and they end up going 9-3 or 10-2, maybe even getting the college football
02:54
playoff.
02:55
And I don't think these reports are going to, unless those texts to Sharone Moore from
03:02
Conor Stallions reveal something really incriminating, I don't know that any of this touches the
03:07
football team this year.
03:08
Yeah, I don't think so either.
03:10
But the future, you never know, but I don't know how it just would affect him now.
03:14
You're right.
03:15
The timing of this is so odd with that special coming out.
03:17
Michigan is not as talented going into the season as Ohio State.
03:20
That I know.
03:21
But the fascinating part of the Big Ten this year is not only that Oregon is in it, but
03:25
they're also one of the favorites to win the conference.
03:28
You know, Bill, they're supposed to be really good this year.
03:31
I don't know.
03:32
It's not that I question that, but I always wonder, like, with this massive change going
03:36
on with the travel and everything else that's involved, can Oregon, in their first year,
03:41
win the Big Ten?
03:42
They're plus 250, second best odds to win this conference, followed by Penn State.
03:47
For those wondering, Nittany Lions supposed to be very good this season, followed by Michigan
03:52
and then USC.
03:54
So I would ask you, Bill, is Oregon a tad overrated going into their first year in the
04:00
Big Ten?
04:01
I know they have a Heisman candidate as well.
04:02
Hey, they caught my attention by being number three in the coaches' pool.
04:06
I thought that might be a Texas or an Alabama or somebody else out of the SEC.
04:11
So the faith is in there, and Dan Lanning, very aggressive, very, as he said at Big Ten
04:17
Media Day, they're bringing something different to the conference, and that is swag and those
04:22
uniforms and all those things, the buttoned-up Big Ten that people like me grew up with aren't
04:26
used to.
04:27
So I have October 12th circled.
04:30
Ohio State goes out there.
04:32
This Oregon team has both of their offensive tackles, has Dylan Gabriel, has played a ton
04:36
of football, brought in Evan Stewart out of the transfer portal.
04:39
They're going to be very exciting on the offensive side of the ball, and I want to
04:43
see if they can handle this Ohio State machine at home.
04:47
If they can't, you got to figure they might play in a rematch, they might play in the
04:51
playoff.
04:52
I still think Ohio State's the team to beat in the Big Ten, and I'm going to trust that.
04:56
I want to see if Oregon can actually make this something other than Ohio State versus
05:01
Michigan, which it's been the last three years.
05:03
Yeah.
05:04
And for anybody complaining about this conference realignment, Bill just gave you a small little
05:09
nugget.
05:10
Ohio State at Oregon on September the 12th, I mean, the season is going to be incredible
05:14
coming up.
05:15
I mean, and that's one of like a million insane matchups.
05:18
Kalen DeBoer takes over at Alabama, Nick Saban likable all of a sudden, doing broadcast,
05:22
doing hard knocks, doing everything else.
05:24
Their twin total is nine and a half.
05:26
Some people feel like there's a step back coming for the Crimson Tide this season.
05:29
I know you've talked about this quite a bit, Bill.
05:32
Do you think that is the case?
05:33
I'm coming around the other way.
05:35
I still think they could be a playoff caliber team.
05:37
I remind people that Kalen DeBoer took Washington to a national championship game in two years
05:42
and had a first round quarterback in an All-NFL receiving corps while he was there.
05:47
You know, they played Georgia and Wisconsin in September.
05:49
Those are going to be tough games.
05:50
I'm more interested to see how he handles the road games at Tennessee at LSU.
05:56
By the way, in the college football playoff era last 10 years, Alabama was 17 and three
06:01
against LSU in Tennessee.
06:02
Saban took care of business in those games.
06:04
The three loss was by a combined total of nine points.
06:07
And then they have a road trip to Oklahoma.
06:09
So those road games are going to determine where this goes with Kalen DeBoer.
06:13
I don't think he has to be Nick Saban.
06:15
I don't think he can be Nick Saban.
06:17
He just has to be himself in year one.
06:20
Fan duels oddsmakers, Bill, are yelling at each other all day long because they have
06:24
no idea who to make the favorite for the Heisman Trophy award.
06:27
We have no idea either.
06:28
Look at these odds.
06:29
No one is a favorite.
06:31
Seven to one, all long shot odds for everybody to win the Heisman, which tells me maybe there's
06:36
somebody not even on this board, Bill, that can win the Heisman Trophy award this season.
06:40
You kidding me?
06:41
Seven to one is the shortest odds going into a college football season?
06:44
Yeah, it's tough.
06:46
If it's not Dylan Gabriel or Carson Beck, my advice would be take a flyer on a big 12
06:51
quarterback.
06:52
The one you like.
06:53
I like Jalen Daniels.
06:54
If he stays healthy at Kansas, could be a long shot.
06:56
If not him, Cam Rising, Noah Fafita, Avery Marshall, Kansas State quarterback, had a
07:01
great bowl game.
07:02
You know they're going to put up numbers in that conference, so maybe take a shot on one
07:05
of those guys.
07:06
Yeah, Daniels healthy is going to put up some of the biggest numbers in college football.
07:10
Thanks again, Bill, for coming on the show.
07:12
Appreciate it.
07:13
Hey, thank you.
Recommended
3:31
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