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College Football Best Bets: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech
SportsGrid
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8/21/2024
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00:05
College football is just four days away. It's the Irish opener
00:10
and the Dublin debut between 10th ranked Florida State and
00:14
Georgia Tech in ACC affair over in Ireland to help get you set.
00:20
It is almost and I mean almost we are just one week away from
00:24
mouth in the south season. That is Mark Zinno technically not
00:29
in the south. Although Florida State Georgia Tech and SMU hell
00:32
from the southern part of the United States, but mouth in the
00:35
south is the SEC expertise out of Mark Zinno, but we get you
00:40
ready for college football. Nonetheless, as we are just four
00:44
days away from the start of 2024 Zinno as always we appreciate
00:48
the time. Thank you for being here on this Wednesday to
00:51
forecast week 0 on the early line. Does this look like the
00:55
face and the smile of a guy who's ready for college football
00:57
to be here? Because baseball is Jeff just had enough. I grew
01:00
up so ready. Oh, we're looking at football, especially after
01:03
the time is going to happen. Yeah. Yeah. Listen, I was going
01:07
to ask Zinno. You didn't seem all that happy in the commercial
01:10
break to be joining Donnie and myself. I was wondering what
01:13
the reason was. Is it because the week 0 slates a little bit
01:17
lackluster or did you stay up all night last night for all
01:20
four hours and five minutes and the 12 innings to see your
01:24
Yankees lose? No. Well, I mean, I knew that was a fait accompli
01:28
as soon as that game started and as soon as they got to the
01:30
extra innings, I knew we were in trouble. So I mean, you only
01:33
score three runs in nine innings, which the Yankees have
01:35
done repeatedly over the last three games. Yeah, we it's it
01:39
didn't feel good going into it. So part of me is actually
01:41
hoping the Yankees blow it and boom gets fired because that
01:43
would be the best Christmas present. I have about that.
01:46
Listen, we're going Major League map with Mark Zinno up next
01:49
to round out this second half hour of our two. So let's
01:53
start with fun things and that's college football on the
01:56
horizon. The Irish opener between 10th ranked Florida
01:59
State and Georgia Tech and Zinno one of the stories
02:02
entering this ACC showdown in Dublin has been the line
02:06
movement. We have seen over the past week or so 13 and a half
02:11
at open in favor of FSU. It's down by a full field goal. Only
02:16
ten and a half points in favor of the Knowles a 10th ranked
02:19
team nationally in the AP preseason poll. So what do you
02:23
attribute this substantial line movement to
02:28
is it Alex Atkins the offensive coordinator and offensive line
02:31
coach not being able to be on the sidelines because he's
02:33
serving a suspension. Is it believing in Haynes King and
02:37
this Georgia Tech offense and a revamped sort of Georgia Tech
02:40
look. I don't know. Is it the fact that along with the
02:45
offense quarter not being there. You have a new quarterback
02:47
and you're going overseas and the travel and all those things
02:50
but guys the line movement here to me is is peculiar, but
02:55
don't be surprised to see some buyback as we get closer to
02:58
the weekend on Florida State. I'm curious to see if we hit
03:02
the bottom of the market here with this number at ten and a
03:04
half and it's going to start to go back in the other direction.
03:07
I mean if a 10 popped up I would grab it immediately. I'm on
03:11
Florida State. I'm on Florida State the whole way. I think
03:13
this is playable to Florida State minus 13 and a half guys
03:17
Georgia Tech last year. Okay out of a hundred and thirty
03:21
college football teams. Their total defense was ranked a
03:24
hundred and twentieth out of a hundred thirty total college
03:27
football teams. Their run defense was ranked a hundred
03:29
and twenty eighth in the nation. Now, I understand that they
03:34
have hired Tyler Santucci from Duke and Duke had the best
03:37
defense in the ACC last year, but you know, he didn't bring
03:40
with him the players. He hasn't been able to recruit
03:44
anybody. He hasn't been able to you know, bring people into to
03:47
play in this defense like even if Georgia Tech's defense,
03:51
let's just call it is better. Are they still one of the 3040
03:56
worst defenses in the country? Yes, like I mean, are we really
04:01
assuming that Florida State doesn't have the just better
04:05
horses in the barn at this point in time to go out and beat him
04:08
and it's Haynes King. I mean, I think Haynes King is talented.
04:11
I think he's done well for Georgia Tech, but he's still a
04:13
little mistake prone. I mean, there's enough here for me to
04:16
go back to Seminoles. I'm not really scared by the line
04:19
movement feels like a gift. It could be an overreaction and
04:22
when you talk about three points from the opening line of
04:24
thirteen and a half, you're probably getting some good
04:26
value here on Florida State. I'm going to take it. I don't
04:28
think I'll wait for a 10. It's not going to matter at that
04:30
point. I'm going to need 11. Anyway, so I think the Seminoles
04:34
are the right side here. I think their defensive front is
04:36
still intact and still very good and I'm not worried about
04:40
Georgia Tech their defense. I don't think he's going to be
04:42
able to slow down the offense in their run game in the transfer
04:46
from Alabama. Marcus Ben would say on a day-to-day basis. He's
04:50
worried about the fragility here of the Florida State players
04:53
and their coaching staff are getting hammered in the Orange
04:55
Bowl last year by 60 points. I tend to set that aside here
04:59
when taking a look at this game. So if we are how do you get
05:01
ready for this game as a handicapper overseas two teams
05:04
playing an ACC opener in Dublin? Is there any advantages
05:08
or disadvantages? Because is that why people are just saying
05:11
let me lean towards the points because it's overseas and
05:13
technically we don't know what we're getting out of Florida
05:15
State. I mean that and you know, I guess the travel and
05:20
from what I understand to the weather isn't supposed to be
05:22
bad like you're looking at the weather reports don't look like
05:25
it's going to rain. The weather may be favorable and that may
05:28
help Georgia Tech out a little bit as far as you know, not
05:33
having to force the run issue so much. So I think there's
05:37
that and look what's coaching staff. Do you truly trust more?
05:40
I guess what the boils down to it doesn't matter that Alex
05:42
Atkins is a coach in this game. You've had three or four weeks
05:45
to get ready for this game. Like I still trust Mike Morell
05:48
in Florida State a lot more than Brent Key and Georgia Tech
05:51
and that's not a slide on Brent Key. They just again. This is
05:53
a more experienced team with flat-out better athletes. I
05:58
know Georgia Tech is taking care of Florida State in the past
06:01
couple of meetings. They've been able to upset them and
06:04
play well against them. But none of that matters in this spot
06:07
here. It's different players different everything. So again,
06:10
I just have to look objectively at the rosters and the players
06:14
and trust that Florida State is better horses in the barn and
06:18
that the travel won't affect it because guess what both teams
06:20
are traveling. It should affect both of them equally in theory.
06:22
The yellow jacket seven and two against the spread as an
06:26
underdog last year, maybe influencing how the betting
06:30
public is looking at this game. I think is the number
06:33
continues to come down. You're getting some ripe opportunities
06:36
on the knolls, you know elsewhere on the week 0 Saturday
06:39
slate again, not the most illustrious or robust. We have
06:42
seen in years past, but still it's college football. Also
06:47
speaking of line movement SMU was a 27 and a half point
06:51
favorite against Nevada that line now down to 25 and a hook
06:55
the Wolfpack have only won two games each of the past two
06:58
college football seasons and Rhett Lashley and the Stangs
07:01
coming off an 11 win in a a AC championship season a year
07:07
ago. Now in ACC school is SMU of the other games on week 0
07:13
what gets your attention the most? I mean SMU's team total
07:19
was it is a direction. I would look in especially with this
07:21
number coming down. Hey, remember how bad Georgia Tech's
07:24
defense was last year total defense on her 20th. You know
07:27
who had a worst defense of Georgia Tech last year Nevada
07:31
and this is a passing offense from SMPU with Preston Stone
07:35
28 touchdowns last year six picks returning all seven top
07:39
receivers to this offense. This is a throw fast-paced offense
07:44
here that the Mustangs are bringing into the ACC. This is
07:48
a spotty where again, I'm not 100% sold on the SMU defense
07:53
per se, but I can look at this offense and go. I don't think
07:58
they should have a problem scoring points here and getting
08:00
to 40 against Nevada. It will be a little bit nerve-wracking
08:04
but this isn't their first ACC game yet. That's a different
08:08
conversation when they step up Nevada's sort of in the same
08:11
class and I think that SMU is just a notch better than Nevada
08:15
at this point. By the way, Del State Hawaii 40 and a half
08:19
points. It's up to now at the FanDuel Sportsbook and also I
08:22
did see yesterday a couple people retweeting around that
08:24
Delaware State had missed their plane out to the lie. So
08:27
already some scheduling snafu's and what's expected to be a
08:30
blowout. That's neither here nor there. If we do look at the
08:32
championship national odds here, Georgia at a plus 280 price.
08:36
Is it going to be SEC here that reigns King at the end of the
08:39
season your mark? I mean if you're looking at Texas and
08:44
Alabama as well and that makes it hard to not think the SEC
08:49
is the favorite even Ole Miss obviously with the odds that
08:53
they have but I would tend to think it's an SEC's title to
08:58
lose or looking at by conference unless Oregon has
09:02
gotten markedly better without Bo Nix this year and the
09:05
transfer that they have, you know, that could upset the
09:08
apple cart there with the other team. I'd look at for the six
09:12
best prices hail from the SEC eight of the top ten from the
09:16
Big Ten or the SEC as well. It's a new era in college
09:21
football.
Recommended
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