Super Bowl LVIII:: Analyzing Offensive Power & Defensive Might

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00:00 [MUSIC PLAYING]

00:05 Talked a lot about the side.

00:07 Let's get into this total, 47 and 1/2.

00:09 I don't know-- it is very possible

00:12 that I am so on the niners that the total just

00:15 doesn't even speak to me.

00:16 Because we all kind of have our final scores.

00:19 We'll do that later in the week.

00:21 I may never do mine.

00:22 I'm just going to keep that to myself, possibly.

00:24 But this 47 and 1/2, Ben, no movement.

00:28 I mean, have the books even taken a bet on this total?

00:31 No, I don't think so.

00:32 I think the only bit of movement we have seen

00:34 is for a brief moment in time when the movement had the San

00:37 Francisco 49ers at a 2 and 1/2 point favorite.

00:40 I saw the juice to the under at minus 115.

00:43 But outside of that, it's been minus 110,

00:45 the same vig on either side.

00:46 If you think we get points, we go over 47 and 1/2,

00:49 or we stay under that number.

00:51 What I think is the fascinating conversation

00:53 is how does this total factor into the outcome of the football

00:57 game, right?

00:58 Because when you think Patrick Williams,

00:59 and you think Travis Kelsey, despite what

01:01 we have seen this year for this Andy Reid-led offense,

01:04 with Matt Nagy calling plays now, too,

01:07 you still look at those people playing in a Super Bowl,

01:09 and you think that's points.

01:10 We're getting to 50 easy.

01:11 We don't even need to think about it.

01:13 But this Chiefs team is different.

01:15 It relies on the defense.

01:17 It was a middle of the pack scoring offense

01:20 throughout the regular season, Kansas City only averaging

01:22 21 and 1/2 points per game in the previous five years

01:26 that all culminated with a trip to the AFC championship, Joe.

01:29 They averaged better than 28 points per game.

01:31 They were a top 10 scoring offense.

01:33 So I think you could make the argument,

01:34 if KC is going to win its second consecutive Super Bowl

01:37 championship, this game has to stay under.

01:39 Yeah, I agree completely with King Kansas City in terms

01:42 of this ballgame because of the lack of offensive weapons

01:45 in terms of consistency.

01:46 We talked about Travis Kelsey.

01:48 Rasheed Rice has shown glimpses, but not

01:51 the consistent week-to-week type of progression and development.

01:55 And look at the teams that they lost to, right?

01:57 We talk about Philadelphia, 21-17,

02:00 Buffalo in the regular season, 17-14, Detroit, 21-20,

02:04 all dead unders, right?

02:05 If Kansas City's allowed to establish the style of play,

02:10 this game trends under.

02:11 However, you have Brock Purdy.

02:13 You have these weapons for San Francisco.

02:15 If I'm Kyle Shannon, I want to be aggressive.

02:18 So I'm favoring multiple points and multiple opportunities

02:22 out of San Francisco because I do believe

02:24 they want to put Pat Mahomes in terms of a catch-up detriment

02:28 and deficit in terms of this ballgame.

02:30 And then that leads to multiple scoring opportunities,

02:33 not just for Kansas City because they

02:35 need to be more aggressive, but then maybe

02:38 that San Francisco defense or even San Francisco's offense,

02:42 should they get three and outs, Donnie?

02:43 Yeah, both of these teams really should be in the 20s,

02:45 to be honest.

02:46 I don't think we're going to be sweating out 24 and 1/2

02:47 or 23 and 1/2.

02:49 As much as we-- the much maligned,

02:50 I guess you could say, Patrick Mahomes offense,

02:52 when they need to kick it in gear, they can.

02:54 The problem is they haven't had to do that.

02:56 Against Baltimore, I said, you know what?

02:58 We're going to drop 27 points in that game.

03:00 No question in my mind you're taking a look there

03:02 at Kansas City that could easily meet that.

03:04 But if we would have went back to the beginning of the season,

03:06 before we even played week one, and he said, you know what?

03:08 The Super Bowl is going to be Kansas City and San Francisco.

03:11 Not a huge surprise.

03:12 But the minute you started to say 47 and 1/2,

03:15 you're just writing it down.

03:16 The sky is the limit on this football game.

03:18 They're going to absolutely chew right through that here.

03:20 So that 47 and 1/2, I'm actually surprised

03:22 we haven't had movement.

03:23 Because everybody loves totals.

03:24 Everybody loves to bet totals.

03:25 But where it ends up this week, I'm

03:27 not surprised if it ends at 47 and 1/2.

03:30 [MUSIC PLAYING]

03:33 [BLANK_AUDIO]

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