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Super Bowl LVIII:: Analyzing Offensive Power & Defensive Might
SportsGrid
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2/5/2024
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Sports
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00:00
[MUSIC PLAYING]
00:05
Talked a lot about the side.
00:07
Let's get into this total, 47 and 1/2.
00:09
I don't know-- it is very possible
00:12
that I am so on the niners that the total just
00:15
doesn't even speak to me.
00:16
Because we all kind of have our final scores.
00:19
We'll do that later in the week.
00:21
I may never do mine.
00:22
I'm just going to keep that to myself, possibly.
00:24
But this 47 and 1/2, Ben, no movement.
00:28
I mean, have the books even taken a bet on this total?
00:31
No, I don't think so.
00:32
I think the only bit of movement we have seen
00:34
is for a brief moment in time when the movement had the San
00:37
Francisco 49ers at a 2 and 1/2 point favorite.
00:40
I saw the juice to the under at minus 115.
00:43
But outside of that, it's been minus 110,
00:45
the same vig on either side.
00:46
If you think we get points, we go over 47 and 1/2,
00:49
or we stay under that number.
00:51
What I think is the fascinating conversation
00:53
is how does this total factor into the outcome of the football
00:57
game, right?
00:58
Because when you think Patrick Williams,
00:59
and you think Travis Kelsey, despite what
01:01
we have seen this year for this Andy Reid-led offense,
01:04
with Matt Nagy calling plays now, too,
01:07
you still look at those people playing in a Super Bowl,
01:09
and you think that's points.
01:10
We're getting to 50 easy.
01:11
We don't even need to think about it.
01:13
But this Chiefs team is different.
01:15
It relies on the defense.
01:17
It was a middle of the pack scoring offense
01:20
throughout the regular season, Kansas City only averaging
01:22
21 and 1/2 points per game in the previous five years
01:26
that all culminated with a trip to the AFC championship, Joe.
01:29
They averaged better than 28 points per game.
01:31
They were a top 10 scoring offense.
01:33
So I think you could make the argument,
01:34
if KC is going to win its second consecutive Super Bowl
01:37
championship, this game has to stay under.
01:39
Yeah, I agree completely with King Kansas City in terms
01:42
of this ballgame because of the lack of offensive weapons
01:45
in terms of consistency.
01:46
We talked about Travis Kelsey.
01:48
Rasheed Rice has shown glimpses, but not
01:51
the consistent week-to-week type of progression and development.
01:55
And look at the teams that they lost to, right?
01:57
We talk about Philadelphia, 21-17,
02:00
Buffalo in the regular season, 17-14, Detroit, 21-20,
02:04
all dead unders, right?
02:05
If Kansas City's allowed to establish the style of play,
02:10
this game trends under.
02:11
However, you have Brock Purdy.
02:13
You have these weapons for San Francisco.
02:15
If I'm Kyle Shannon, I want to be aggressive.
02:18
So I'm favoring multiple points and multiple opportunities
02:22
out of San Francisco because I do believe
02:24
they want to put Pat Mahomes in terms of a catch-up detriment
02:28
and deficit in terms of this ballgame.
02:30
And then that leads to multiple scoring opportunities,
02:33
not just for Kansas City because they
02:35
need to be more aggressive, but then maybe
02:38
that San Francisco defense or even San Francisco's offense,
02:42
should they get three and outs, Donnie?
02:43
Yeah, both of these teams really should be in the 20s,
02:45
to be honest.
02:46
I don't think we're going to be sweating out 24 and 1/2
02:47
or 23 and 1/2.
02:49
As much as we-- the much maligned,
02:50
I guess you could say, Patrick Mahomes offense,
02:52
when they need to kick it in gear, they can.
02:54
The problem is they haven't had to do that.
02:56
Against Baltimore, I said, you know what?
02:58
We're going to drop 27 points in that game.
03:00
No question in my mind you're taking a look there
03:02
at Kansas City that could easily meet that.
03:04
But if we would have went back to the beginning of the season,
03:06
before we even played week one, and he said, you know what?
03:08
The Super Bowl is going to be Kansas City and San Francisco.
03:11
Not a huge surprise.
03:12
But the minute you started to say 47 and 1/2,
03:15
you're just writing it down.
03:16
The sky is the limit on this football game.
03:18
They're going to absolutely chew right through that here.
03:20
So that 47 and 1/2, I'm actually surprised
03:22
we haven't had movement.
03:23
Because everybody loves totals.
03:24
Everybody loves to bet totals.
03:25
But where it ends up this week, I'm
03:27
not surprised if it ends at 47 and 1/2.
03:30
[MUSIC PLAYING]
03:33
[BLANK_AUDIO]
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