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The Scotsman Politics FMQs Review - December 07 2023
The Scotsman
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07/12/2023
The Scotsman Politics FMQs Review - December 07 2023
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News
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00:00
(upbeat music)
00:02
- Hello, and welcome to the Scotsman's Politics Show.
00:10
We're here to wrap up First Minister's Questions.
00:12
My name's Dale Miller, I'm Head of News at Scotsman,
00:15
and I'm joined by our political editor, Alistair Grant.
00:19
Alistair, the PISA results were out
00:22
around education on Tuesday.
00:24
They made for pretty grim reading for the Scottish government
00:27
and it looks like it led things to that.
00:30
- Yeah, so these are obviously the PISA education results
00:34
run by the OECD, a kind of international comparison
00:38
of the performance of 15 year olds around the world.
00:41
And as you say, made for quite grim reading in Scotland,
00:45
showing long-term decline across maths, science, reading,
00:49
and unsurprisingly, it came up at First Minister's Questions.
00:52
I think it actually was the first time
00:54
that I can remember in quite a long time
00:56
that all three party leaders who were asking questions
00:59
went on the same topic.
01:00
So the Tories, Labour, the Liberal Democrats,
01:03
all raising education, all having a go at Humza Yousaf
01:07
over the SNP's stewardship of education.
01:12
And I think it was quite interesting
01:13
that Humza Yousaf was essentially accepting
01:16
that this was a poor set of results
01:18
and that the Scottish government is accepting that,
01:20
is going to do something about it.
01:22
He said there'll be a statement
01:23
from the Education Secretary, Jenny Gilruth,
01:26
next week about this.
01:28
But I think, you know, quite strong language
01:30
used by the opposition politicians.
01:32
So you had Douglas Ross, the Scottish Conservative leader,
01:34
calling this a national disgrace.
01:36
You had Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Labour leader,
01:39
accusing the SNP effectively
01:41
of destroying Scottish education.
01:43
And we obviously have this narrative in Scotland,
01:45
whether it's true or not,
01:47
that Scottish education is world-leading.
01:49
It's something we're hugely proud of,
01:51
and we have been proud of for hundreds of years.
01:54
It's been a story we tell ourselves about what Scotland is.
01:58
And these results throw that into question,
02:00
you know, showing long-term decline.
02:02
And Douglas Ross also linking that decline
02:04
to the curriculum for excellence
02:07
and the impact that's had on Scottish education
02:10
and calling for that to be scrapped.
02:12
And as I say, I think it's interesting
02:14
that Humza Yousaf was accepting
02:16
that these results are not good.
02:18
But on the other hand,
02:19
he was also launching quite a robust defence
02:21
of Scottish government education policy,
02:24
pointing to exam pass rates,
02:27
pointing to the number of people
02:28
going to university in Scotland,
02:30
the number of people going to so-called positive destinations,
02:33
you know, education or employment after they leave school.
02:36
So, you know, very much trying to defend
02:39
the Scottish government's records
02:40
and also pointing out that this is just one set of results,
02:43
you know, albeit international results.
02:46
But there's other indicators
02:47
that the Scottish government obviously uses as well.
02:49
But I think there's no two ways about it.
02:51
This is an extremely difficult First Minister's questions
02:54
for Humza Yousaf.
02:54
As I say, unusual to have all three party leaders
02:59
going on the same topic.
03:00
- Now, listen, can you see any options
03:02
for the Scottish government?
03:03
Because they made the decision a number of weeks now
03:06
to delay some plans, reforms to the education system.
03:10
They had their summits on school violence.
03:13
They've identified that as the issue
03:15
that they need to deal with first
03:16
before they make more wider structural changes.
03:19
But it feels like these results are all to do
03:22
with wider structural changes.
03:23
So where can they go?
03:25
- I don't think there are no quick fixes.
03:27
You know, Humza Yousaf obviously quite keen
03:29
to highlight the effect of COVID.
03:31
And obviously that hasn't had an effect.
03:33
We've seen declines globally in education standards.
03:36
But it's not the full story
03:37
because when the decline started,
03:40
obviously predates COVID.
03:42
And we've also got, you know, the situation now
03:44
where we look to our neighbours in England
03:46
and children there seem to be performing better
03:48
across maths, science, reading.
03:50
Albeit, I think Wales is performing worse than Scotland.
03:54
But I think that there's just no quick fixes.
03:56
And I thought it was interesting if you kind of read
03:58
some of the commentary around the OECD's report
04:01
and some of the kind of issues experts,
04:03
including from the PISA, kind of OECD themselves
04:06
have highlighted.
04:07
And there's things like the use of smartphones
04:10
in classrooms, these kind of the impact of technology,
04:13
even the impact of, I think the kind of parental involvement
04:17
in the education system in Scotland
04:19
was highlighted as a source of concern.
04:21
So there's obviously huge structural issues,
04:23
no quick fixes, but there will be calls, you know,
04:26
from across the Holyrood Chamber, as we saw today,
04:29
to do something about this.
04:30
Everyone or many people in Scotland
04:32
obviously have an investment in this.
04:34
It's their children going to these schools.
04:36
And the state of the Scottish education system
04:39
is something that the Scottish government
04:40
will be extremely concerned about.
04:43
- Just lastly, there's gonna be
04:44
an emergency cabinet meeting tonight
04:46
where the Scottish budget, which is just around the corner,
04:49
is gonna be discussed.
04:50
You wrote a bit about a couple of things
04:53
that are being considered, need to be considered
04:57
ahead of that meeting and the plans around the budget.
04:59
You can read that at scotsman.com.
05:02
Just very quickly, what are the keys here?
05:05
What do they have to work out between now and December 19th?
05:09
- Yeah, so this is a special cabinet meeting
05:11
being held tonight.
05:12
Obviously, cabinet is usually held on a Tuesday.
05:14
It's extremely unusual to have more than one
05:16
cabinet meeting in a week.
05:17
It shows the level of concern
05:19
in the Scottish government about this.
05:20
I mean, some of the key areas I was highlighting
05:22
are things like income tax,
05:24
what they're gonna do about income tax.
05:26
There's been lots of rumors and reporting
05:27
about potentially introducing a new income tax band
05:31
for higher earners.
05:32
I think that's very much up in the air.
05:34
I think one of the problems with that
05:35
is that you have to then factor in
05:37
a potential electoral backlash.
05:39
It would obviously be controversial
05:40
among some sections of the media.
05:43
We've got a general election probably happening next year,
05:46
so that will be a source of concern.
05:48
I think you've got the council tax freeze.
05:50
That was a decision that Humza Yousaf announced
05:52
at the S&P conference in October.
05:55
He said that would be fully funded,
05:56
so councils wouldn't suffer financially for that.
05:59
But they've not defined what fully funded means,
06:01
so we need to have some answers around that.
06:04
What does that mean in cash terms for councils,
06:06
and will they be happy with it?
06:08
I'm gonna say probably not.
06:10
We've got other areas like businesses.
06:12
We obviously had the UK Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt,
06:16
was introducing some tax breaks for businesses down south.
06:20
One of them in particular
06:21
for hospitality leisure businesses,
06:24
he's extending for another year.
06:26
The Scottish government last year chose not to pass that on
06:28
to businesses in Scotland.
06:30
There's lots of pressure now,
06:32
considering some of the pressures
06:33
businesses themselves are under to pass it on this year.
06:38
And I think if they don't,
06:38
there'll be a lot of anger among the business community.
06:40
And of course, Humza Yousaf, as First Minister,
06:42
has tried to improve relationships with the business sector.
06:46
So that's just a few of the areas,
06:48
but there's so many different things.
06:49
I mean, public sector funding,
06:50
I should probably just touch on very quickly as well.
06:52
We've had dire warnings from councils
06:54
that they're at risk of bankruptcy
06:55
if they don't get the funding they need.
06:57
We've had dire warnings from Police Scotland
06:59
about potentially losing thousands of officers,
07:02
kind of affecting how they can respond to incidents
07:06
if they don't get the funding they need.
07:08
We've had Shona Robison, the Deputy First Minister,
07:10
saying that the public sector will need to shrink.
07:13
It's just extremely grim.
07:15
And of course, the Scottish government
07:16
has to deliver a balanced budget.
07:18
They have to balance the books.
07:20
They can't have a one billion pound black hole.
07:22
That exists in theory at the moment,
07:24
but it can't exist in practice.
07:25
So yeah, extremely difficult decisions need to be made.
07:29
- Alistair, the big red,
07:31
if we were talking about cheerier things
07:33
in the lead up to Christmas,
07:35
but that is the start of Play's Raid,
07:37
all the latest from FNQs at scotsman.com.
07:41
We ran a blog throughout,
07:43
so you can catch up on all the exchanges
07:45
around the PISA results.
07:47
And if you want all your politics,
07:49
go to the navigation bar on the homepage,
07:51
look for the politics tab,
07:53
you'll get all the very latest there.
07:55
Thanks very much for joining us, everyone.
07:57
(upbeat music)
08:01
(upbeat music)
08:03
[MUSIC]
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