Ohio State vs. Penn State: Will Buckeyes Beat the Spread?

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00:00 Now one of the bigger total drops that I've seen this week, Bill, is in the Big Ten in

00:04 this primary game between Penn State and Ohio State.

00:07 I believe it opened up at like 48.

00:10 I see now on FanDuel 45.5 and Ohio State minus 5.5.

00:16 You would know better about me than the weather tomorrow at 12 p.m. Eastern, but naturally

00:21 I just think that if you've been tracking the Big Ten, regardless of who the teams are,

00:25 and surprisingly Ohio State in that grouping too of not scoring as many points as they

00:29 used to, do you think that they have enough firepower to cover the 5.5?

00:34 And is this just simply going to be like a 2017 game in the end?

00:37 Well, if you take Ohio State with the money line, take them to cover.

00:42 That's what I would do here, knowing that Vegas is kind of daring you to take Penn State

00:48 with that 5.5 point spread.

00:50 Knowing what you said about the scoring defenses.

00:52 Penn State ranks second in the nation in scoring defense.

00:55 Their fourth down percentage is good.

00:57 Their turnover margin is second in the FBS.

00:59 This is their best team and best shot to win in Columbus since 2011, the last time they

01:05 did it.

01:07 But I think we're shortchanging Ohio State a little bit.

01:09 Buckeyes, third in scoring defense, at home where they've been dominant under Ryan Day.

01:14 They've won the last four games against Penn State by an average of 11.5 points per game,

01:19 and Kyle McCord hasn't made too many mistakes, only one interception this season.

01:23 You asked about the weather.

01:24 Well, it's wet and it's a little bit rainy up here in central Ohio right now, but these

01:29 Big Ten kids, they know how to play in that.

01:31 They've been doing that their whole lives.

01:33 I don't think the weather will be too much of a factor for the noon kickoff.

01:37 Penn State's going to have to play a huge game to win.

01:40 They need Nick Singleton to get going.

01:41 I mean, he's only had one run.

01:43 He hasn't had a rush of 20 yards or more this season.

01:46 His longest rush is 19 yards.

01:48 If they want to win, they need Drew Aller not to make turnovers, and they need Nick

01:51 Singleton to have a big game.