CFP Semifinals Insight: Notre Dame vs Penn State Showdown

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00:00A few days we are back to the college football playoff the final four the semi-finals in the cfp

00:07Thursday night in miami

00:09It's the orange ball between notre dame and penn state friday night in the heart of texas

00:14The cotton ball in dallas between those in-state longhorns taking on the ohio state buckeyes

00:21Let's start with thursday night that begins

00:24What a stretch of football we have this weekend a five-day run college football playoff semi-final

00:31College football playoff semi-final double header of nfl postseason games on saturday triple header on sunday

00:38Monday night to end out super wild card weekend. So we start at the start thursday night in south florida

00:45It's the orange ball in miami between penn state and notre dame the fighting irish a slight favorite a point

00:52And a half but the money line is working more so in the favor

00:57of notre dame are smaller of two totals at

01:0146 and a hook as compared to the cotton bolt drs your early lean

01:07Here on the early line for the orange ball between the irish and the netany lions

01:12Like i'm gonna paint the picture here because if you look at penn state and you say penn state

01:18Maybe we can equate them to the denver broncos. You gotta win a football game

01:22You're better than that team is you always win that football game the minute you need to win a football game

01:26Where you're the underdog you have no chance at it, but i'm starting to come around a little bit on penn stadium

01:31Maybe it's abdul carter needs to be healthy for this football game to put pressure

01:34But I do think these two teams are matched up accordingly

01:37Which is why you're only getting a one and a half point spread and a lower number two teams that want to play really good

01:41Defense establish the run game and work on their passing game

01:44I do think penn state for me does have the better passing game. We drew allure and let you say a riley leonard

01:50I love ron leonard

01:51My favorite bet last week with donor dame was boy

01:53He's going to run the football lot and he did because his legs can win you a football game

01:57More than allure can but for my money you have a little bit extra time to prepare for penn state

02:02It's not that overwhelming of a favorite where you're getting three and a half four and a half five and a half points here

02:07Let's just say as a underdog for penn state which in the past they technically don't win those games

02:12I'm feeling penn state early in the week as I think it's a very good matchup for them going up against notre dame

02:18Donnie right side will be in studio. I am told for a thursday night college football playoff 30 start along

02:267 30 start thursday night alongside his pft cohorts. It's important to keep crews together

02:32He'll be with kevin walsh and joe lee. Thank you. Recognize though

02:37What you are walking into with a man in okay dubs who just celebrated birthday number 30

02:44In a very celebratory holiday season

02:47That had to battle the walsh family because of his georgia national championship ticket

02:53For that quarterfinal game in the sugar bowl against the irish kevin walsh

02:59jr

03:00kevin

03:01patrick

03:02James kevin j. Why am I blanking on kevin's middle name? It is patrick, right?

03:08What is it? I don't know. Does he even have one? Does he even have one?

03:12I think it's kevin patrick walsh

03:15Kevin great television walsh is what we're going with it and we'll until we hear otherwise. Yeah, we will let the junior

03:21Donnie the entire walsh family is the notre dame

03:25Allegiance and he had to battle against that but now he gets notre dame and a cfp semi

03:31He is fully in so enter right side the thorn in his side

03:36Always yeah for a fighting irish and nittany lions game a duel between marcus freeman and james franklin

03:42I really do believe you are in for a marquee day drs

03:47I mean, do we even know if kevin's irish? I mean, he's just playing this up here

03:50I mean, we don't know for sure. We haven't seen we haven't seen the dna test at that point here

03:53But I did end pro football today telling him he's like we'll see you thursday night

03:57Like yeah, penn state's gonna win that game and end this sort of a uh,

04:00downward trend on the show where he got upset and you know, I

04:03If there are ranking orders, it's right penn state and everybody else in teams that I do like to hate

04:09But growing up I hated notre dame

04:11I'm a catholic but I love the miami hurricanes catholics versus conflicts was the biggest game of the year every year

04:16All my friends were either penn state fans or notre dame fans. I was a miami guy

04:19So theoretically I win either way because one of them loses and then I lose either way because one of them wins here

04:25But I always go against penn state in this spot. I actually think penn state's in a good spot to win it

04:30It's crazy how you come around sometimes

04:33And this is why I believe you are in that marquee spot on thursday because you are dueling internally

04:40And then with your two co-hosts as well for what it's worth

04:44I bet the fighting irish when this line opened up minus 120 on the money line to donny's point

04:50Penn state expected to win a football game

04:52They often do and often comfortably so 35 of 41 games since the start of 2022

04:58Season booked as a favorite penn state is 34 and 1 straight up 25 9 and 1 against the spread

05:05All right. How about as an underdog in those six other games?

05:09Oh and six outright one one and five against the spread the only cover back in 2022's regular season

05:17Against ohio state. They were a 15 and a half point dog and lost that game still by double digits

05:23Albeit a cover our game on friday night in the heart of texas

05:28It's the cotton bullet jerry world at&t stadium between the in-state team

05:34That being texas in your national championship favorites now

05:38In ohio state the buckeye is a five and a half point favorite against the longhorns total

05:4353 and a half donny for me the early story of this semi-final matchup

05:48Is the market movement the projected line ohio state a slight point and a half favorite after the rose bowl

05:55It opens with ohio state as a four and a half point favorite and has been continuously bet only on one side

06:03The buckeyes will this game be closer than that spread might indicate

06:08I do think it will and I think it's getting a little bit of that recency bias. So texas is a good program

06:12We know that ohio state did have some stumbles this year as it lost by one point to oregon tough environment tough team to play

06:19But then you saw the michigan game, which really threw it out of whack like, okay

06:22They're back after their two playoff games where they absolutely dominated if we're just looking with the final four teams left

06:28Then it's apparent the most talented team by far is ohio state if will howard plays anywhere near ben

06:34He did against oregon. Nobody's beating ohio state, but we have some games to go back like

06:40Was that the right decision made here and chip kelly what kind of offense are we running again?

06:44Chip, kelly's on a heater right now. Can he stay on that heater?

06:47But I do think this game could be possibly played within a field goal here

06:51You see ohio state minus 110 now an odds-on favorite to win a national championship

06:57Although it was texas as the title favorites entering the college football playoff quarter final round drs

07:05Enjoy the money line. I think i'll see you on wednesday

07:09That's cool. The early line is back, baby. Look at that

07:15More gl next

07:17Live right here on the early line on sports grid rounding out our three hours together on this monday on t

07:24El, we talked about the five-day stretch run that we have of football starting on thursday college football playoff

07:32Semi-final at the orange bowl. It's notre dame and penn state friday night college football playoff

07:37Semi-final at the cotton bowl. It's ohio state and texas then

07:42Super wild card weekend in the nfl two games saturday three more on sunday eight monday

07:48Night cap to end out the weekend, but don't just think about next weekend

07:53football continues on this monday night in frisco, texas

07:59A national championship is on the line the fcs national title game between the powerhouses

08:06Of fcs football in north dakota state and a montana state team

08:10That is the one seed in the bracket and looking for fcs national championship. Number two

08:17the first since

08:191984 the bobcats have been

08:22Absolutely dominant in their run to the title game this year a rematch of the

08:282021 title game by the way in which montana state came up short

08:33Against ndsu that goes to speak about what the bison have done in fargo

08:39For many a year south dakota state the biggest rival of north dakota state had won the previous two

08:46Fcs national championships in the semifinal round a couple of saturdays ago

08:51It was north dakota state edging out south dakota state in a low scoring game 13

08:57To 9 so north dakota state knocking out the two-time reigning champs prior to the jack rabbits winning two straight

09:05Ndsu had won four of the previous five nine of the prior eleven

09:10North dakota state is the powerhouse at this level

09:14But can tommy malott the quarterback of the bobcats and montana state pull off this?

09:20National championship victory you see it there montana state a three and a half point favorite tonight in frisco

09:28Tommy malott basically the heisman winner if you will at this level of fcs

09:34College football the walter payton award one of the best in the country both on the ground

09:39And through the air the quarterback for the cats one of the best rushing teams in all of the country

09:46But you could make a similar argument for ndsu cam miller as good as you will see at the quarterback spot

09:52For the bison as well talented defensively on that side of the football

09:58But I actually lean montana state who won by 32 and 33 and it's two opening round games then in the semifinal

10:05As a nine and a half point favorite against south dakota one by two touchdowns

10:1031 to 17

10:12I do believe that on this monday night the team that has not been the powerhouse at the fcs level makes a statement

10:20Montana state a champion and maybe even covering as a three and a half point favorite in the fcs national championship game

10:29Tonight whoo

10:30It's going to be a great stretch run of football that we have two weeks from tonight, by the way

10:35The fbs national championship game the college football playoff national title that we have

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