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Tropical trouble brewing in Atlantic
AccuWeather
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8/17/2023
AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring multiple areas in the Atlantic basin where tropical systems could develop in the coming days.
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00:00
We've talked about activity in the East Pacific.
00:04
With regards to Hillary, let's investigate the Atlantic waters, the Gulf of Mexico, the
00:09
Caribbean.
00:10
And here we are looking at some factors that could lead to some organization down the road,
00:15
those factors being ingredients for a formation.
00:19
Formation factors here when it comes to tropical development.
00:22
The warm waters have been in place all throughout the basins here, the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean
00:26
and into the Atlantic.
00:28
But we're starting to notice a little bit of a transition here with regards to the wind
00:31
shear.
00:32
The winds higher up in the atmosphere are going to begin to reduce in some zones and
00:36
shift and we're also going to be looking at uptick in some of the moisture content.
00:41
Of course, you think about tropical systems, a lot of water, right?
00:45
You have dry, dusty air.
00:46
Thunderstorms really don't mix so much.
00:49
Let's talk about the tropical Atlantic here as we go throughout the next several days.
00:52
All right, a lot to unpack with this graphic and you can see a couple stripes of green.
00:57
This will be the tropical wave tracks as we go through time heading into this weekend
01:01
and into early next week, where we also see the wind shear.
01:04
See the arrows here, the winds that are working their way from west to east.
01:08
They begin to shift a little further off toward the north and also relax just a bit.
01:13
So we talk about the warm sea surface water temperatures.
01:16
Those are plentiful.
01:17
So there are a couple of zones that we're going to be watching out for not only late
01:21
this week into this weekend, but even as we head our way into early next week over the
01:25
Atlantic base at a couple of these tropical waves have medium development potential as
01:30
the front runner here pushes its way just off to the north of the leeward islands.
01:36
In the meantime, we're talking about the big heat dome developing over the nation's midsection.
01:41
Anytime you see a high pressure in this location, this time of the year, you have to look south
01:45
underneath that as there's going to be a surplus of moisture in place.
01:49
We're also going to be following a tropical wave.
01:51
This is going to deposit some drenching rain coming into Florida this weekend, and then
01:56
we have to turn our attention into the Gulf of Mexico.
01:58
This is another zone we're going to be keying in on as we head our way into early next week.
02:03
At this point, it's a low development potential regardless.
02:07
We're going to be tracking it.
02:08
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