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  • 2 days ago

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00:00Tonight, the Dodgers, a hefty favorite again.
00:02Minus 25, Yoshi Yamamoto gets the start against Minnesota.
00:07Eight and a half is the total.
00:09Five to the victory for L.A.
00:11Good news for Los Angeles.
00:12Freddie Freeman, despite getting plunked on the wrist on Sunday,
00:16was out there yesterday.
00:18A little bit of skepticism, perhaps, the RS4U around this Dodgers one through nine.
00:23What do you think they delivered tonight against the Twins?
00:26Yeah, I think we should be able to bounce back with some runs.
00:28Take a look at Woods Richardson, his last 30 days.
00:30Here's 77 batters that he's faced.
00:32Now, he does have a pretty good ISO at 129 and a weighted on base percentage of 248.
00:36Not a big strikeout guy, but hear me out on this, too.
00:38Like, ground ball percentage for him is 27%.
00:40That's not good.
00:41Fly ball percentage, 46%.
00:43So, if we just extrapolate and say 50% of those baseballs are not on the ground,
00:47they're in the air, you can do damage, which includes hitting balls into the seats.
00:51Hard hit percentage over his last 77 batters, Ben, it's 50%.
00:55That means one guy doesn't do so well.
00:57The next guy cracks him.
00:59Barrel rate, which is something we talk about sometimes to left or, excuse me, right into
01:02batters, is 12%.
01:03That means the most solid contact you can absolutely get.
01:07Here's the issue.
01:08I look at that lineup today, and let's just say the estimated lineup for the Dodgers.
01:11Otani looks great.
01:12Will Smith looks great.
01:13Conforto looks great.
01:14Everybody else looks terrible in that lineup.
01:17Now, flip it over to Minnesota.
01:18Much more palatable here.
01:19You have ISO power numbers all the way through that are plus against right-handed pitching.
01:23But understand this about Yamamoto.
01:25His numbers are really good on the season and over the past 30 days.
01:29ISO power number against 086, which means you're not getting extra base hits.
01:32So, you have to stream together base hit after base hit after base hit.
01:36You take a look at his fly ball percentage.
01:38To lefties, it's 14%.
01:40Not bad at that point here.
01:41So, for me, the Dodgers should bounce back.
01:43But!
01:44But!

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