Houston Texans' Favorable Odds in a Weak AFC South

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00:00Let's focus on the South today and start with the Texans first.

00:04You know, it's funny, Scott.

00:06When you look at the Texans, the oddsmakers have finally caught on that.

00:09The Texans aren't that good.

00:10They're just in a very bad division.

00:13Yes, they are the class of the division, whatever that means.

00:16Their over-under total is just 9.5.

00:18Check this out.

00:20Their over is plus 100.

00:21So clearly the money is on for them to go under.

00:24Nobody thinks that they're going to get 10 wins, and I agree.

00:29Well, let's put it this way.

00:30There's somewhere around 9 or 10 wins.

00:32The trade of Laramie Tunsil would shock the NFL world.

00:36They're going to rebuild that offensive line.

00:38They have to.

00:39They did not protect their quarterback, T.J. Stroud, very well last season to win it.

00:44So, again, they're plus 110, by the way, to win it.

00:46The 9.5 wins, the over is plus 100.

00:48To make the playoffs, they're minus 140 because the division's terrible.

00:52It's the worst in the National Football League.

00:54They add Nick Chubb.

00:54We'll see what he's got left.

00:55I like the addition of Jaden Higgins, a receiver in the second round out of Iowa State.

01:01Christian Kirk, a rare interdivisional trade.

01:03They got him from Jacksonville, who'd be their slot receiver.

01:06Kim Robinson, not a great left tackle.

01:10Minnesota wanted to move on from him.

01:11They got Ursary as a second-round left tackle.

01:13He'll be their future left tackle.

01:16This is a team that could not protect the quarterback.

01:18But, Scott, they're the clear favorite here.

01:20I would agree with that.

01:21But this is not a good division, but it's not up for grabs because the Colts, who we'll talk about in a minute, are clearly not good enough.

01:27How do you think Gardner Johnson leaving Philly will do there?

01:32He's an absolute playmaker.

01:34I know he's with Philly twice.

01:35They were looking to move him.

01:37They were the pursuer of that trade.

01:39They wanted to move him.

01:40They moved him to Houston.

01:42But the guy's a playmaker.

01:43He's one of the best playmaking safeties in the National Football League.

01:45It's a great trade for Houston, to be honest with you.

01:47The Eagles were looking to move his $8.5 million in cash.

01:49They did that, but Houston got a quality playmaker in C.J.

01:53Garner-Johnson.

01:54All right, let's talk about the Colts next.

01:57Yeah, the Colts got, once again, they're very mediocre.

02:00You got the quarterback problem.

02:01The seven-and-a-half win total is, look, Scott, they're not.

02:06The seven-and-a-half win total, the over and the under are both minus 110.

02:09They got the Richardson problem with the shoulder issue.

02:12Daniel Jones there for insurance at $14 million.

02:16The offensive line's been reshuffled, been rebuilt in the interior.

02:19The defense does not get enough pressure on the quarterback.

02:22Now, they've got Lou Anarumo, who comes over from Cincinnati.

02:26He was fired there as a defense coordinator.

02:27He's going to hopefully have a rebirth with the Colts.

02:30Gus Bradley's out.

02:32So they're in a transitional period.

02:35We know what happened with Jim Mercy and his passing.

02:38So there's a lot of mystery with this football team, Scott.

02:42But it starts at quarterback.

02:44They got their great running back in Jonathan Taylor, the good receiver.

02:46Got Tyler Warren in the first round of tight end.

02:49I like that.

02:50But, Scott, when you look at their situation overall,

02:53it's just not going to be good enough.

02:55They're absolutely not a playoff team.

02:56So, Bruce will know who's going to be good enough.

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