High Temperatures & Winds Impact Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

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00:00Live from Colorado, 90-plus debris temperatures, double-digit winds blowing out the dead center field.

00:05Now, yesterday, the game did stay under the total.

00:07Tom, I had an all-team total on Arizona, and thank goodness I've had an all-team total

00:11because the five wouldn't have been enough to cover yesterday.

00:13Typically, you're needing six, seven runs there in Colorado to get the job done as a favorite.

00:18But let's take a look at the pitching matchup today as it sits.

00:21And I told you how hot it is out there.

00:23Brandon Falk going up against Antonio Senzatello, two right-handed pitchers on the mound.

00:279.55, 9.56 on the rotation, a 3.10 start.

00:31The favorite, Arizona, over a $2 price at most outlets, minus 200, minus 2.6, minus 2.10.

00:38Look at the total, baby, 12.5s out here.

00:42You're getting no discounts, but we should still be right in the market maybe to challenge that today.

00:48My goodness.

00:50Yeah, so with this higher total, I don't, you know, theoretically, I wouldn't like to lay that on Arizona

00:55just because there's going to be more runs.

00:57It means there's more variance, and it does not put them in a safer spot overall.

01:01So I don't like the Dimebacks today.

01:03I would not lay that.

01:05I think the over is just a play.

01:06It's really that simple.

01:07Brandon Falk, you know, we have some of his stats there.

01:10His stats have really regressed this year.

01:12And I know a lot of people rely on him coming into the season,

01:14specifically from a fantasy perspective.

01:16But 1.79 home runs this year compared to 1.19 last year.

01:20A 17% strikeout rate this year, which was up at 24.3% last year.

01:24His Babbitt is essentially the same.

01:26The hard contact is at 42% this year when he's at 30% last year.

01:31He is getting blasted this year.

01:33So when we look to the Rockies, yes, they're not a good offense.

01:36We know that.

01:36But they're at home in a fantastic hitting environment with wind and temperature.

01:40So when we look to a Ryan McMahon, a Jordan Beck, who I mistakenly dropped from my fantasy team.

01:45I'm still regretting that from a month and a half ago.

01:48Even throw a Kyle Farmer in there.

01:49The lineup will score.

01:50And then when we look to Antonio Sensatella, he's been the same pitcher he has been for years.

01:54And his strikeout rate is at 10.1% this year, which is even lower than the 13% he had last year, plus the home runs.

02:00Yes, Corbin Carroll won't be in the lineup for the Dimebacks.

02:02He's still dealing with this hand issue that he got hit earlier in the week at Toronto Series.

02:07But Suarez has been bombing.

02:08Gab Marino's on the I.F.

02:10Cattell Marte, Josh Naylor, Randall Gritchick, Pavin Smith.

02:13Line them up.

02:14Knock them down.

02:15We got runs today.

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