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Storm likely to become Hurricane Erick bearing down on Mexico
AccuWeather
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6/16/2025
AccuWeather forecasters are expecting flooding rainfall and damaging winds on the southwest side of Mexico around June 18-20.
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00:00
Well, the Atlantic remains very quiet, and you can see into an area north of Mexico.
00:05
There's a little bit of convection, but there's a lot of wind shear, a lot of wind shear into the southwestern Gulf and across the Caribbean.
00:11
That's probably going to prevent us from seeing anything in the next week and a half here on the Atlantic side.
00:16
Now, with that said, we have some news brewing.
00:18
Remember last week we talked about Dahlia, or Delilah, I should say, and Tropical Storm Delilah became a story,
00:26
and it brushed Mexico near Acapulco with some heavy rain.
00:29
There's another storm on the map here that's going to get going, and this is going to impact an area a bit more severely.
00:35
This storm is actually going to make a run into Mexico with some strong winds,
00:41
and it'll likely become a hurricane before it reaches Mexico.
00:44
So we're looking at a storm that has yet to get an aim, but it will become the next one to develop.
00:49
With 80 to 100 mile per hour gusts just east of the point of anticipated landfall,
00:53
there will also be a significant storm surge.
00:55
You can see on the key here, one to three foot storm surge in the lighter shade of blue,
00:59
and a three to six foot storm surge just east of the point of landfall, which may be somewhere near Puerto Escondido.
01:06
So we've got to keep an eye on that, and there will be some very heavy rain with this as well.
01:11
Now, again, the worst of the impacts with Delilah brushed the area near Acapulco, and it moved out to sea.
01:17
And the center of that storm never made it in.
01:19
This storm is likely to make landfall in Mexico, and it's going to produce some very heavy rain,
01:25
four to eight inches of rain just east of the point of landfall.
01:28
There will even be some windswept rain and wind on the Gulf side of Mexico.
01:33
But, again, it won't be an Atlantic storm.
01:35
It's a Pacific storm that we're talking about.
01:38
At this moment, we're calling it a tropical rainstorm.
01:40
And there you can see we are facing an AccuWeather Real Impact Scale rating of one with this storm, most likely.
01:46
So here's a quick look at the eyepath for this developing situation here.
01:49
We'll be watching this rainstorm strengthen.
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