- 6/13/2025
🚨🇮🇱 Netanyahu & Neocons Push War – Iran Goes Nuclear? ☢️🔥 Will Biden Fight or Fold? 🇺🇸🤯 #ForbiddenNews
Netanyahu and US neocons escalate tensions with Iran, risking full-scale war. Tehran warns of nuclear retaliation if attacked. Biden faces pressure to strike or stand down – will he trigger WW3? Meanwhile, Russia dominates Ukraine as NATO's strategy crumbles. The elites profit while the world burns. Who's really pulling the strings? #CensoredTruth
WW3Warning #IranWarDanger #NetanyahuAgenda #BidenUnderFire #NuclearThreat #DeepStateWar #UkraineDefeat #RussiaWinning #EconomicCollapse #EliteBetrayal #CensoredNews #FalseFlagAlert #ShadowGovernment #MiddleEastConflict #USinPeril #NATOFailure #WarProfiteers #GlobalChaos #HiddenTruth #ForbiddenFacts
Netanyahu and US neocons escalate tensions with Iran, risking full-scale war. Tehran warns of nuclear retaliation if attacked. Biden faces pressure to strike or stand down – will he trigger WW3? Meanwhile, Russia dominates Ukraine as NATO's strategy crumbles. The elites profit while the world burns. Who's really pulling the strings? #CensoredTruth
WW3Warning #IranWarDanger #NetanyahuAgenda #BidenUnderFire #NuclearThreat #DeepStateWar #UkraineDefeat #RussiaWinning #EconomicCollapse #EliteBetrayal #CensoredNews #FalseFlagAlert #ShadowGovernment #MiddleEastConflict #USinPeril #NATOFailure #WarProfiteers #GlobalChaos #HiddenTruth #ForbiddenFacts
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00:00Good day. Today is Friday the 13th of June 2025 and well it's Friday the 13th and we see what I
00:00:10suspect is the beginning of another long war in the Middle East. One which sooner or later despite
00:00:18President Trump's assumptions and denials I suppose I expect is going to involve the United
00:00:27States as well. Now I say that because of course what I'm alluding to is the big Israeli missile
00:00:35and airstrikes that have been taking place against Iran over the course of the last few hours and
00:00:43which are said to continue for at least I suspect furthermore days perhaps even weeks. Now I think
00:00:52here it's important to say that this attack has not come out of nowhere. There's been a steady
00:00:58move towards military action by Israel against Iran basically since the events of 7th October 2023
00:01:08which Israel blamed on Iran or at least the Israeli leadership blamed on Iran though US intelligence
00:01:17has repeatedly said that there is in fact no evidence that Iran had any prior knowledge of
00:01:24the Hamas attack on Israel which took place on that day. Now we've had many moments when it did appear
00:01:35as if an attack on Iran was about to happen. There were moments over the last few years when there was
00:01:42huge fleet deployments American warships aircraft carriers and that kind of thing were deployed around
00:01:50Iran and in the eastern Mediterranean. It seemed at times at least to me as if these deployments were
00:01:59on such a scale that they spoke not of a deterrence of Iran but of preparations for some kind of a strike
00:02:11against Iran. A strike involving of course the United States itself. But that never translated into
00:02:19military action. However and looking back to April of last year we did begin to see a set of moves
00:02:29taken by these Israeli authorities, the Israeli government, Prime Minister Netanyahu which sooner or later
00:02:36it was clear it was clear were intended to lead to an all-out attack by Israel against Iran. So firstly in
00:02:47April 2024 there was an attack on the Iranian embassy in Damascus. Iran retaliated with missile strikes
00:02:58against Israel against Israel. Israel countered. Then some months later at the time on the same day in fact as
00:03:07President Pez Iskian of Iran was being inaugurated president. There was the assassination in Tehran
00:03:15of the political chief of Hamas who was there to attend Pez Iskian's inauguration. After a long delay Iran
00:03:27retaliated there were more missile strikes and Israel launched its own missile strikes in retaliation as well.
00:03:37In the meantime I believe it was in August Prime Minister Netanyahu came to the United States and went to
00:03:46Congress and gave what I thought at the time was an extraordinarily belligerent and warlike speech
00:03:57in which he made it fairly clear at least to me that he was basically looking for a war in the Middle East, a war which
00:04:06obviously would involve Iran itself and it was I thought unmistakable that that was the intention
00:04:16and I did programs about it at the time and Alex Christoforo and I also did similar programs discussing
00:04:25that speech that speech of Netanyahu's and the accompanying rhetoric in the various programs that we
00:04:34did at that time and then sure enough in the weeks that followed Israel began to take action against some of
00:04:43Iran's allies. In particular the Hezbollah movement in Lebanon came under intense attack there were series of strikes on
00:04:58Hezbollah and there was also a ground operation in south Lebanon and over the course of those strikes
00:05:05the long-standing leader of Hezbollah was killed as were other members of Hezbollah's leadership
00:05:17there was also of course also at around that time a um the events in Syria which played out leading to the
00:05:27the fall of President Bashar al-Assad though as I will discuss shortly I'm not sure that I'm far from sure
00:05:36that the situation in Syria had the change in Syria has improved Israel's long-term prospects
00:05:46though as we shall see it has facilitated the attacks these Iranian Israeli attacks on Iran which are
00:05:55currently underway so all of that has been happening over the last couple of over the last year or so
00:06:02and on top of that some weeks ago some months ago we learned from Axios that during the transition
00:06:12period between the Biden administration and Donald Trump's inauguration the Israelis Israeli officials
00:06:20contacted both the then still incumbent Biden administration and Donald Trump and his people
00:06:31providing details of an operation that Israel had prepared for attacks against Iran and seeking the
00:06:40agreement both of the Biden administration and of Trump to carry out those strikes now Biden or perhaps
00:06:49one should say more properly the people who were controlling Biden at that time apparently said to the
00:06:55Israelis that they were not they did not feel comfortable about ordering strikes of that kind that
00:07:01this was a matter that should properly be discussed with the Trump administration with Donald Trump himself
00:07:10and um that the matter basically was passed to Trump and to his people and the reports that then
00:07:19appeared over the next few days or weeks was that Trump had rejected the Israeli proposal for attacks on Iran
00:07:30and had indicated that he preferred to seek a diplomatic solution and of course there was a lot of rhetoric about a
00:07:39diplomatic solution and after Trump's inauguration there were several meetings between the Iranian foreign
00:07:46minister Mr Arakshi and um and Trump's envoy Steve Whitgolf the Omani government played a role as mediator there were meetings in Oman
00:08:00in Iran and in Rome and Donald Trump also discussed the question of the ways to find a diplomatic solution
00:08:13in the conflict with Iran with the Russians and as he himself admitted in a recent truth social post
00:08:22he even discussed he even discussed in detail various proposals to try and find a way back from a conflict with Iran
00:08:31with President Putin of Russia anyway it all continued that way but the noise and drumbeat of war continued
00:08:43um there seemed to be suggestions that the relationship between Donald Trump and Israel
00:08:50and Prime Minister Netanyahu was under strain there were suggestions that there had been a major breakdown of
00:08:57relations between the United States and the Western powers and Israel I said in recent programs that I did not believe
00:09:06that was the case it seemed to me instead that what was happening was that some Western governments including to
00:09:14some extent the United States were constructing for themselves alibis but were taking no real action
00:09:22to restrain the Israelis in any way at all but anyway we had all of that narrative continue
00:09:30and it does seem to me despite what some people claim that there was again that endless
00:09:42battle for influence within the administration that was going on between those who supported strong action
00:09:50against Iran including for example Donald Trump's former national security advisor Mike Waltz who apparently
00:09:58Trump decided was working for the Israelis rather than for him and he publicly sacked waltz and transferred
00:10:11him to the United Nations Security Council but anyway there was that tedious long battle for influence in the United States
00:10:23and it seems to me that the deciding deciding point finally came at around the time when the Fox News
00:10:34commentator Mark Levin who is an outspoken supporter of Israel and a fervid supporter of
00:10:45attacks and strong action against Iran visited the White House and apparently had a meeting
00:10:53with Trump himself that meeting by the way appears to have greatly alarmed Tucker Carlson the well-known
00:11:00American journalist who wrote a long piece on X expressing his deep alarm that the United States was being drawn
00:11:10by people like Mark Levin into another forever war in the Middle East this time against Iran
00:11:19and that there were signs of strain um within the Trump administration um I think became fairly clear
00:11:28fairly quickly people like Marjorie Taylor Greene also made it clear that they did not support
00:11:34a conflict an open-ended conflict involving the United States and Iran there was a commentary on the
00:11:41federalist which is another maggot website that said exactly the same thing and perhaps most important
00:11:47of all a couple of days ago the director of national intelligence Tulsi Gabbard made a strong speech in
00:11:56which she criticized criticized criticized warmongers who she said were dragging the United States
00:12:03towards World War III now at the time and in an earlier program i said that i thought that what Tulsi Gabbard
00:12:16was referring to was the Ukrainian drone attacks on the Russian strategic bomber basis i now believe
00:12:26looking back and considering the force and strength of what Tulsi Gabbard said that what was causing her
00:12:35alarm was the rumor and chatter and discussion within the administration to give Israel the green light to conduct
00:12:46the attack that we are now seeing against Iran well over the last couple of hours since the attack went underway
00:12:56president trump has most unwisely in my opinion gone out of his way to give backing to it in doing so he has gone
00:13:09against what i suspect was the original guidance which was to keep the united states as distant from this operation
00:13:20as possible after all we had uh the state department um issue a statement which went out of its way to deny
00:13:32that the united states was involved in any way in the operation against iran and in fact we've had and this of
00:13:41course has been consistent with reports we've been getting over the last couple of days that an attack on
00:13:47iran was coming but that it would be a unilateral attack conducted by the israeli government without first
00:13:56obtaining the agreement of the united states so this is what um what the report said and it's from
00:14:04marco rubio the secretary of state and it's by the way also been published on the white house website and it
00:14:11says this tonight israel took unilateral action against iran we are not involved in strikes against
00:14:19iran and our top priority is protecting american forces in the region israel advised us that they
00:14:26believe this action was necessary for its self-defense president trump and the administration have taken all
00:14:32necessary steps to protect our forces and remain in close contact with our regional partners let me be
00:14:40clear iran should not target us interests or personnel so that appears to say that yes the israelis did
00:14:47tell the americans in advance that they were about to attack iran but that the united states had absolutely
00:14:54nothing whatsoever to do with this operation now if it had been left at that i would have done a
00:15:04commentary on this program saying that the israeli claim that the american claim that the israelis did
00:15:13this all by themselves and um what uh and that the united states was not involved was implausible to the
00:15:24point of absurdity and if you believed it then i had a bridge to sell you
00:15:31well i don't have to do that because president trump himself has now gone out of his way to make
00:15:38absolutely clear his own deep involvement in this affair so he's now published a long comment on truth
00:15:50social which reads as follows i gave iran notice it's i gave iran chance after chance to make a deal
00:15:58i told them in the strongest of words to just do it but no matter how hard they tried no matter how
00:16:04close they got they just couldn't get it done now that's a very strange use of words by the way i mean
00:16:10it suggests that the iranians were trying to come to a deal but that something some mysterious force
00:16:18prevented them from doing so which is a very odd way of describing a negotiation which has only been
00:16:25underway for the last couple of weeks just to say anyway he then goes on to say that i told them it
00:16:30would be much worse than anything they know anticipated or what were told that the united
00:16:37states makes the best and most lethal military equipment anywhere in the world by far and that
00:16:42israel has a lot of it with much more to come and they know how to use it certain in iranian hardliners
00:16:51spoke bravely but they didn't know what was about to happen they are all dead now and it will only get
00:16:59worse this uh uh there has already been great death and destruction but there is still time to make this
00:17:08slaughter as often is the case with trump he gets his wording a bit mangled with the next already planned
00:17:16attacks being being even more brutal come to an end is iran must make a deal before there is nothing left
00:17:26and say what was once known as the iranian empire no more death no more destruction just do it before
00:17:33it is too late so that basically seemed to say that the israelis were carrying out these attacks
00:17:43attacks as trump had warned the iranians that they would because the iranians were not capitulating
00:17:54to trump's um terms for a deal a deal being on the issue of iran's nuclear um nuclear capabilities
00:18:06well that already made it fairly clear to anybody i think who reads who read that comment that donald trump
00:18:13um was in effect um was in effect working with the israelis or was fully approving with the israelis
00:18:21what the israelis were going to do but then of course he put the matter entirely beyond doubt
00:18:32by his next true social post he said two months ago i gave iran a 60-day ultimatum to make a deal
00:18:41they should have done it today is day 61 i told them what to do but they just couldn't get there now
00:18:48they have perhaps a second chance now all of this brings us back to this question of what this attack
00:19:01is all about now i'm going to say quite straightforwardly that where the israelis are concerned
00:19:09i don't think there is any doubt at all the people that the the primary targets appear to have been
00:19:18members of iran's military leadership we will come to that soon everything about this attack over the
00:19:25last 24 hours looks to me like an intended decapitation strike israel has also been conducting strikes
00:19:35against parts of iran's air defense system and they also have carried out some strikes against iranian
00:19:45nuclear facilities but the reports that i have seen at the moment and of course this is still an ongoing
00:19:56operation suggests that the attacks on the nuclear facilities have been have done um minimal damage
00:20:04they've done some damage maybe to natanz but nothing nothing fundamental they haven't really been able to
00:20:13damage the major enrichment facilities which are in deep shelters far underground um the attacks
00:20:26on the air defense system and on the ballistic missile arsenals are more difficult for me at the moment to
00:20:33assess it's clearly some damage has been done but it'll be i think some days before we know exactly how
00:20:42extensive that is but the main attack clearly seems to have been focused on killing senior people within
00:20:52the iranian political and military leadership and though so far none of the senior political figures
00:21:00like khamenei or pezishian or arakshi have been killed as we will see shortly certainly important iranian
00:21:09military officers do well not definitely were killed so in my opinion this is a decapitation strike
00:21:19by israel clearly intended to provoke a crisis within iran and to precipitate regime change in that country
00:21:31and the israelis incidentally have been issuing further threats over the course of the last 24 hours
00:21:38in which they say that if the iranians don't come to terms and it's not difficult to know quite
00:21:43what they mean by that but basically if the israelis don't capitulate then israel will
00:21:49continue to strike this time at their economic facilities their oil refineries
00:21:54their um oil industry basically with a view to crashing iran's economy with a view
00:22:04undoubtedly or so it seems to me to achieving regime change in that country but of course trump puts
00:22:12it completely differently he puts this uh some kind of threat in order to force iran to the negotiating
00:22:20table to make agreements um agreeing the kind of deal that trump says he wants to see
00:22:33one in which iran gives up not just on the higher levels of nuclear enrichment that um it has already
00:22:43agreed basically that it will discontinue but to all nuclear enrichment at all and presumably to the
00:22:53complete destruction of all its nuclear facilities and the dismantling of its entire nuclear industry
00:23:00um a demand which the iranians have consistently rejected and which i suspect by the way they will continue to
00:23:07reject anyway it it seems to be lost on trump that there is at least a possibility i'm going to go much
00:23:19further than that and i'm going to say a likelihood that what he has signed himself up to by backing these
00:23:29attacks will achieve the opposite that far from iran capitulating in the way that he assumes that iran is
00:23:40going to respond to these attacks by um digging in by hardening its positions by accelerating its nuclear enrichment
00:23:53enrichment program and dare i say by taking further steps towards finally doing
00:24:04doing that which some iranian officials have been talking about for some time but which iran's supreme leader
00:24:14ayatollah harman has up to now forbidden which is acquiring nuclear bomb and um trump
00:24:24doesn't seem to understand that i suspect that here again he has let himself be talked by people
00:24:34perhaps like mark levin and of course by netanyahu into this idea that in order to bring the iranians to
00:24:45terms what he needs to do is to gain leverage over them and since it's become increasingly clear over the last few
00:24:58weeks that the various sanctions that trump has unveiled against iran at various times have been
00:25:07insufficient to crash his economy or to cause it to make um surrender terms to agree to surrender terms
00:25:16on its nuclear program that the only way to gain that leverage is through the cut by authorizing the kind of
00:25:26israeli nuclear and the kind of israeli military action which we are now seeing now if i am right
00:25:34about this and i suspect i am then inevitably what is going to happen is this one of two outcomes becomes
00:25:42possible first there is the first outcome which at this moment in time cannot be completely discounted
00:25:51in fact cannot be discounted at all at least by an outsider like me which is that the israeli objective
00:25:58of achieving regime change in iran will succeed that these killings of senior iranian officials that
00:26:06these attacks on these various facilities like the attacks on the iranian energy system which is to come
00:26:14will indeed have the effect of precipitating a crisis a political crisis within iran which will collapse the
00:26:23regime and the entire leadership of the country and which will lead to an outcome not dissimilar to the
00:26:31one we have seen in syria the one that happened in syria a few months ago so that possibility does exist
00:26:38however there is another possible outcome which i am going to suggest is probably the more likely one
00:26:47which is that there is going to be a rallying of iranian society around the government and the regime
00:26:52that the government indeed is unpopular with a great many people in iran perhaps very unpopular with
00:27:00a great many people in iran but that they're going to interpret this attack on iran as an attack on the
00:27:09nation rather than the regime and one of the things that i've heard is that even iranians who are deeply
00:27:18critical critical critical critical of the regime support iran's right to peaceful nuclear enrichment
00:27:28just saying in which case if the regime survives and is able to withstand this blow and is able to
00:27:39to resume and accelerate its enrichment its enrichment program and starts seriously heading towards acquiring
00:27:56a nuclear weapon then of course donald trump will find himself apparently against his wishes
00:28:05certainly against the wishes of much of his base in a situation where he's left with the choice of either
00:28:15letting events take their course with the result that iran maybe by year end develops a nuclear weapon
00:28:26or which has to be more likely a situation where he authorizes an american military attack on iran at which case of course
00:28:39he has locked the united states in a forever war with iran another forever war in the middle east entirely contrary
00:28:49to what his supporters expected of him and what he promised them during the election so that i think
00:29:02is the trap that donald trump risks finding himself in and in fact i'm going to suggest that for iran
00:29:12and for its leadership the most dangerous moment is now and will probably continue to be so for the next couple
00:29:24of weeks specifically and it does seem astonishing but it is in fact very consistent with what we have seen
00:29:33throughout the middle east what we saw with hezbollah what we see with iran now it's absolutely clear and
00:29:40has been clear for a long time that iran has major problems with its internal security systems with its
00:29:51counter-intelligence activities it seems to struggle to establish tight security within its own country
00:30:01so it seems that many of the attacks on the iranian officials took place in residential buildings in tehran
00:30:09uh residences in tehran there are claims in the israeli media which by the way the iranians are denying
00:30:18that top air force officers of the iranian revolutionary guard corps not by the way of the iranian air force
00:30:27were tricked into a meeting in a bunker and were all killed there um that may or may not be true but
00:30:36the iranians at the moment are denying it there are also reports which seem to be completely convincing
00:30:42and almost certainly true that many of these attacks were carried out by drones and that these drones were
00:30:48operated from within iran itself by israeli agents working on iranian territory and that they'd established
00:30:58locations locations and bases across iran to do this it bears some resemblance to operation spider's web
00:31:07the operation that ukraine recently pulled off in russia in which the ukrainians carried out drone attacks
00:31:16from inside russia against russian strategic bomber bases but that operation was on a far smaller scale
00:31:26and was as i've discussed in many programs only very partially successful in every case base security in
00:31:34most cases base security in russia was sufficient to parry the attack whereas in this case in iran's case
00:31:44it does seem as if the israelis were able to develop entire drone bases in within iranian territory and
00:31:55launch attacks on targets in iran without any effective hindrance from the iranian security forces
00:32:04and without the iranian security forces seemingly knowing anything about them
00:32:10and well we've had a whole chain of similar incidents like that there's been many cases over recent years
00:32:19of iranian scientists being assassinated and i've never heard of a single case in which the assassins of
00:32:27those scientists were captured just to say we've had the attack that i discussed earlier or an assassination
00:32:36of uh of uh the political head of hamas in tehran and again there is no word that i'm aware of that the perpetrators of that attack were ever captured
00:32:51we've had other unexplained incidents uh there was the strange death of ibrahim raizi the former iranian
00:33:03president on a helic in a helicopter flying from azerbaijan the iranians passed that off as a tragic accident
00:33:12and there's many much speculation at the time that there was more to it than that and i have to say
00:33:19recent events do make one wonder and well here we have the iran the israelis able to as an organized
00:33:28wide-scale attacks using drones against targets in iran from within iranian territory
00:33:39itself using drones which do not appear to have been assembled like the drones that the ukrainians used
00:33:49in operation spiders web from um off-the-shelf components but were actually purpose-built in israel
00:33:59itself and somehow smuggled into iran anyway these attacks seem to be carried out by the israelis
00:34:06very sophisticated attacks the israelis were able to communicate freely with their headquarters
00:34:15presumably in israel and again there doesn't seem to have been any real attempt by the iranians either
00:34:21to interfere with the work of these drones or to track them down or to track down the people who were
00:34:28responsible for these attacks with these drones or to do anything like this and the israelis also knew
00:34:37where the where the targets the iranian officials and scientists that they wanted to kill where they
00:34:45were located it doesn't seem as if any sufficient steps were taken to secure the protection of these people
00:34:56and i can't help but think also that the iranian officials in question appear to have given away a
00:35:06great deal of information of their whereabouts almost certainly by extremely lax communications practices by
00:35:17use of mobile phones and that sort of thing so the iranians do clearly have major problems
00:35:25in this respect as hezbollah did as we discovered last year and they show no sign of getting on top of
00:35:36them it seems as if somehow or other this problem continues and despite the
00:35:45move towards war iran never seems to be able to get
00:35:51fully its act together to respond or to deal with these lapses of security that causes
00:36:02it so much trouble now there's been much commentary over the last few hours
00:36:12about how iran was supposedly caught by surprise by this attack i find this i find this claim
00:36:23absolutely bewildering i have to say this given that it was obvious there were reports all across
00:36:32the media in the west for several days now that the is that the israelis were preparing an attack
00:36:39on iran and i even talked about an imminent attack on iran in my program yesterday
00:36:52and jeffrey sachs professor jeffrey sachs and i had a brief exchange about the likelihood of such attack
00:37:03happening over the next couple of hours or days in a live stream that we did on the duran yesterday
00:37:11if the iranians really were caught by surprise by this attack then that is completely bewildering
00:37:19and again it cause into question the entire ability and capacity of the iranian special services or at least
00:37:31those parts of the iranian security apparatus that deal with internal security and protection of
00:37:42political leaders and dealing with counter intelligence and that kind of thing so anyway there we are so
00:37:50the point is that this is a major blow and it's exposed certain critical weaknesses within the iranian system
00:38:05but coming back to my point about what the iranians what the israelis are trying to do which is clearly
00:38:11engineer regime change and what trump appears to be wanting to do which is to gain leverage over the iranian
00:38:21government into so as to force them into agreeing to his frankly excessive and unreasonable demands
00:38:31to end completely all nuclear related facilities entirely anyway um the point is
00:38:42that the longer this goes on the more the longer the attacks on iran continue
00:38:52but do not achieve the israeli objective of regime change the more likely it becomes that the regime will
00:39:03indeed survive in which case the more likely it becomes that it will start to organize and sort out its
00:39:11problems and rebuild itself and will be able to continue with its enrichment and nuclear production facilities
00:39:26so in effect the israelis and the americans now are probably facing a race for time
00:39:38they have to achieve their objective fast they have to either cause the collapse of the regime
00:39:46within the next couple of days or weeks or months perhaps or going by what donald trump says they have
00:39:55to force the regime into making concessions that it has never up to now shown any interest in making on the
00:40:04question of its nuclear um facilities because if that doesn't happen then it's quite likely that we're going
00:40:16to start to see production of ballistic missiles in iran reorganized and resume we're going to see the gaps
00:40:27in the military hierarchy field um ayatollah khamenei has already appointed replacements to the
00:40:37officers the senior officers who have been killed and we are likely to see iran purposefully and
00:40:46successfully resume and accelerate its nuclear enrichment programs now i remember making a very similar point
00:40:55about hezbollah um back in the autumn there were a series of massive strikes by israel against hezbollah
00:41:04the hezbollah leadership were killed practically on mass not just sheikh nazrallah but his immediate
00:41:13successor and various other top commanders were also killed and i remember making a program at the time
00:41:21saying that this would be the major test for hezbollah would the organization survive
00:41:28or would it collapse and i said that if it survived and did not collapse there was a possibility that it
00:41:38might come out of the process actually strengthened with its old complacent in some cases corrupt leadership
00:41:49replaced by much younger tougher people and that exactly appears to be what has happened so over the
00:41:59last few months there's been reports of hezbollah resuming its missile production reorganizing and
00:42:06rebuilding its cadres it appears by the way to have re-established its transit corridors across syria
00:42:15from iran and is continuing to receive key weapons from iran it seems it is doing so with at least
00:42:26a degree of collusion from the jolani authorities in syria it has gone almost completely unnoticed
00:42:36in the media but a couple of days ago the first missile strikes against israel were launched from positions
00:42:45in syria itself something that never happened by the way on any kind of regular basis during bashar al-asad's
00:42:52time asad was very very careful to try to avoid drawing syria into a direct confrontation with israel
00:43:05but either jolani does not have the kind of fears that asad did and of course he is a
00:43:17ideological and political ally of the hamas movement in gaza or which i think is more likely his control of
00:43:28syria is so fractured that he's not able to control fully what goes on on the territory of syria which
00:43:40makes it possible for missile strikes against israel to happen so given that this is um it could be
00:43:49that jolani has quietly done a deal with the iranians and that erdogan
00:43:53he's a patron who has good relations with iran has also done a deal with the iranians to allow the
00:44:02transfer of weapons and supplies across syrian territory to hezbollah either way i get many
00:44:12reports i've seen many reports that all of that has resumed now i'm not saying that hezbollah
00:44:18has was not damaged by the attacks in the autumn or that it has fully recovered all its strength the
00:44:25point is it is recovering and it is not impossible that we're going to see the same pattern repeat
00:44:32itself on a much bigger scale with the following the attacks on iran the iranians have certainly taken
00:44:40significant damage they've seen at least part of their air defense system destroyed they've been
00:44:47humiliated again by the disclosures of the weakness of their counterintelligence and security agencies
00:44:57and they've had some of their top military officials and scientists killed but beyond a certain point
00:45:07if the regime survives then it will begin to reorganize and gather strength and i am going
00:45:17to suggest that though some kind of counter-strike by iran against israel over the next couple of days
00:45:26is extremely likely the overriding priority for the regime now in iran is survival it is its own
00:45:37survival provided it survives provided it withstands this attack provided it is able to keep going and
00:45:47retain control of its facilities and of its armed forces and retain the loyalty of at least the critical
00:45:54mass of the iranian people over the next few months then whatever damage is done to its air defense system
00:46:06its economic facilities and all of the rest then the balance of advantage will start to shift gradually
00:46:16back in its favor iran inherently and i've discussed this in previous programs possesses much greater far
00:46:24greater resources than israel does it is a far bigger country it has a much larger industrial base israel
00:46:33cannot attack all of it all of the time much of this industrial base is located in mountainous regions
00:46:41difficult to access and difficult to track and control um if we're talking about a missile race
00:46:52between iran and israel iran has ultimately the advantage iran has developed strong regional alliances
00:47:03it's now a member of bricks it has a security agreement with russia which by the way i understand it is
00:47:10not yet ratified but which you will probably now do it will start it will soon be able therefore to call
00:47:17in assistance from russia probably intelligence and security assistance the russians could probably provide
00:47:27the iranians with a great deal of advice and help on how to sort out their own security problems which
00:47:33are as far as i can see their achilles heel perhaps before long they'll start to get more weapons
00:47:40supplies from the russians and from other friends they have china ultimately but north korea too perhaps
00:47:48pakistan as well and anyway over time the balance will start to shift back in their favor and then
00:47:59coming back to what i was saying if they resume or if they conduct a enrichment and weapons development
00:48:12program over the next couple of months they will face israel and the united states and donald trump
00:48:22with a catastrophic strategic dilemma which it might have been better if for trump's sake if he had never embraced
00:48:33so anyway this is where i think we are at the moment in this conflict the next couple of
00:48:39weeks or months are going to be absolutely critical and ultimately it does depend on iran
00:48:46there's always speculation about what the russians are going to do and about what the chinese are going
00:48:52to do and about what the north koreans are going to do and about what the saudis are going to do and
00:48:58all of these things but ultimately none of these countries can help iran if iran
00:49:08cannot help itself if the regime in iran survives if it is able to retain control
00:49:20if it is able to enlarge its enrichment facilities and rebuild its forces and reorganize its military
00:49:27command structures and get on top of its security problems then all of these countries that i talked
00:49:33about can start to provide a great deal of military and economic and political support to iran and then
00:49:43the balance will start to shift in its favor if on the other hand iran collapses over the next few weeks
00:49:55then realistically this is something beyond the power of moscow and beijing or of any other capital to
00:50:06redress now i believe that the regime will survive and i'm not going to say i know that for a fact
00:50:15because as i've said already i don't have that inside knowledge of the situation in iran
00:50:22that so many people say they have or pretend to have now there's a few further things i do want to
00:50:29say one of them is this um this attack on iran that has taken place now demonstrates again one of the
00:50:38the one single important advantage that israel has obtained from the fall of bashar al-assad
00:50:48because it seems that um at least in the initial strikes israeli aircraft did not penetrate iranian
00:50:56airspace they were operating from iraqi territory possibly in some of the later attacks that have taken
00:51:05place today with the iranian air defense system weakened and degraded and with some of the radar
00:51:12stations apparently knocked out by drones maybe now israeli aircraft are able to penetrate israel
00:51:24iranian airspace but initially it seems they were not doing so in fact what they did was that they
00:51:32crossed syrian airspace entered iranian as iraqi airspace and conducted their attacks using long
00:51:41range missiles from there now previously whilst bashar al-assad was in power his regime and the iranian
00:51:54facilities located on syrian territory were able to provide the iranians with some degree of advanced
00:52:01warning of these israeli attacks perhaps in time as russian and iranian relations improve the russians
00:52:14will start doing the same again but for the moment at least these rate the israelis are able to take
00:52:24advantage of this now the second thing i wanted to say and it comes back to the iranian denials
00:52:35that all of their that you know so many of their people were killed um iran has provided some information
00:52:44about this um the tasnim news agency um which is a news agency connected to the israel to the um
00:52:57iranian revolutionary guard call has provided with some information about the number of people and the
00:53:04the nature of the people um who were killed anyway they are denying some of the claims about um
00:53:17deaths of top iranian officials and i'm just going to read this report which i find interesting and it's
00:53:25interesting that the iranians have been so forthcoming by the way with this information
00:53:29they said that the rumors about the martyrdom of commander of the irgc aerospace force brigadier
00:53:37general amir ali haji zadeh and the commanders of army units in the israeli strikes are false the
00:53:45israeli regime attacked a number of residential buildings in the iranian capital in the early
00:53:50hours of friday chief of staff of the iranian armed forces major general mohammed hossein bakeri by the
00:53:59way just to say though bakeri was the chief of general staff of the entire iranian armed forces
00:54:09he was by background an irgc officer just saying he did not come from what you might call the conventional
00:54:17armed forces of iran anyway chief of staff of the iranian armed forces major general mohammed musain
00:54:23hossein bakeri commander of the iran islamic revolutionary guard corps major general hossein
00:54:30salami i've discussed him before he has been a major and outspoken advocate by the way of iran acquiring
00:54:39nuclear weapons just to say commander of iran's khatam al-anbia central headquarters major general
00:54:48golam ali rashid and at least six iranian nuclear scientists have been killed in the strikes a number
00:54:57of hostile media outlets ran stories afterwards alleging that deputy commander of the irgc rear admiral
00:55:05ali fadavi irgc air force aerospace force commander brigadier general amir ali khajizadeh iranian army
00:55:17commander major general abdollah abdoll rahim musavi and the commanders of the four divisions of the army
00:55:26have been killed in the attacks the rumors were are untrue reports came out that these commanders are
00:55:35unharmed and working on a retaliatory military strike leader of the islamic revolution revolution
00:55:43ayatollah khamenei has warned that israel will receive a severe punishment for the strike
00:55:50now musavi who is one of the people who some reports were saying had been killed has now been
00:55:56appointed chief of staff of the iranian military in replacement of general bakeri just saying so
00:56:08how many has moved very very quickly to fill all of the gaps in the military command system that had
00:56:16been caused by the initial attack now as i'm speaking there are still sites of drones flying over
00:56:25presumably israeli drones flying over is iran iranian territory as i said these are presumably
00:56:32still the drones that were launched from inside israel from from inside iran i would have thought
00:56:38that again the priority for the iranians first and foremost is to bring all of these drones down
00:56:44and to secure their own borders which is something they have not so far shown any ability to do
00:56:53um that ought to be their priority the survival of the regime itself ought to be the priority
00:57:02no doubt there will be an iranian strike against israel at some point over the next couple of days
00:57:10i mean not just attempts to send shahid drones or things of that kind but using missiles it seems that
00:57:17there are large numbers of missiles stock stockpiled in bunkers between behind mountains or at least
00:57:24that's what the reports claim we will see whether any of that happens but i would guess at the moment
00:57:31that the priority must be to re-establish stability to maintain stability within the regime
00:57:41and the big test for iran will be whether that happens well this is as we say a developing story
00:57:52and i will end it there now i am going to now say a few things about the situation in ukraine because
00:58:00believe it or not yesterday was a very very important day in the conflict in ukraine we've
00:58:07had a whole succession of important places captured by the russians one after another so in the sumi
00:58:15region the village of i believe is called yablonevka has now fallen under russian fallen has now been
00:58:22captured by the russians this is making it look increasingly as if ukrainian the ukraine's ability
00:58:32to hold unarkovka is slipping there are also uh reports that the russians now control more than 90
00:58:46percent of chassefya that in fact the ukrainians have been pushed out of nearly all of the outlying suburbs
00:58:55there's just a few buildings apparently on the very westernmost outskirts of the town that the ukrainians
00:59:03still occupy it could be that chassefya will pass entirely under russian control over the next couple of
00:59:16hours um there are further reports of more russian advances in the kupyansk area
00:59:25the russian defense ministry has claimed in fact the russian defense minister has congratulated
00:59:34the unit which the russians say has captured the strategically important town of komar
00:59:45in the southwest donbass region it seems to me as if ukrainian resistance in the donbass region in the
00:59:55southwest donbass region is collapsing and there are further reports that the russians have also captured
01:00:01significant ground around the town of gulyapoli in zaporozhye region so in fact as i said the last 24 hours
01:00:13have seen well i won't say exactly a breakthrough by the russians in this area but certainly they appear
01:00:20to be making very significant progress and yesterday as i reported they also appeared they
01:00:31were also reported as having made significant progress in closing in on novo economic the village
01:00:41immediately to the west of um mirnograd and pakrosk on the way towards the encirclement of those places
01:00:54now that may explain signs of well i'm not going to say exactly panic but something rather close to that
01:01:04that are now starting to to take hold zelensky gave one of his most um
01:01:12interesting statements i think i talked about it yesterday in my program but um
01:01:18um he finally acknowledged that the russians seem to be moving towards odessa that they're heading to
01:01:30capture odessa and the whole of ukraine's black sea coast he again complained noisily about the fact
01:01:38that ukraine was not getting the support from the united states that he he feels it's entitled to
01:01:44by the way his hopes or so it seems to me of getting more military support from the united states are
01:01:53going to start to shrink um if this conflict in the middle east continues for very long
01:02:00inevitably the united states is going to have to prioritize the middle east over ukraine and that is
01:02:07is going to sharply reduce any available supplies of weapons that the united states can afford to supply to
01:02:15ukraine even if the will to do so were there and well these developments seem to have unnerved two of ukraine's
01:02:30most stalwart supporters one was the german defense minister boris bestorius who uh made a dash who's
01:02:39made a dash to kiev he went there by train he appeared he met various ukrainian officials there
01:02:48he appears to had long discussions with them and the german media is saying that he went there with two
01:02:54intentions one was to inform the ukrainians that the idea of using tourist missiles
01:03:05is once again off the agenda we've had all kinds of stories about the tourist missiles for the last
01:03:12couple of weeks but supposedly the german government has now made a final decision that they're not going to
01:03:19be supplied provided used in ukraine in the conflict i am going to make a guess that when friedrich
01:03:27mats went to washington and discussed use of the tourist missiles by ukraine with donald trump he found himself
01:03:39facing a clear american no and that has probably ended any chance of these
01:03:49missiles being used at least for the time being so bestorius went to kiev bringing with him
01:03:58that unwelcome message but the german reports also say that he was anxious for information
01:04:06about the situation on the front lines would suggest that for the first time at least
01:04:11a european government for the first time since the fall of africa a european government is starting to
01:04:20seek on the spot information from ukraine about what the real situation on the front lines is and whether
01:04:32ukraine can continue to hold and the other prominent supporter of ukraine who has been speaking is none other
01:04:44than general kellogg and it's very interesting what he said because kellogg said that um his plan the is for a
01:04:54freeze of the conflict well we have always known that but it was a freeze on the conflict based on
01:05:08you have what you hold in other words the russians retain control of all of the territory that they can
01:05:19that that they have captured in ukraine even if even though they agreed to the end uh to freeze the
01:05:27conflict along the existing conflict line now that's actually a modification of the previous ceasefire
01:05:37plan the original ceasefire plan that was put together by the americans and which was presented
01:05:43to the russians and which was presented to the ukrainians and the europeans about six weeks ago in paris
01:05:50so if i remember rightly um proposed that the russians hand over the zaporozhia nuclear power plant
01:06:00to ukraine though the power plant would be managed by the united states and also hand over to ukraine the
01:06:11kinburn spit now apparently that is no longer proposed and kellogg appeared to suggest that if the conflict
01:06:24is frozen in that way the united states and the collective west would move towards lifting all
01:06:32sanctions or sanctions on russia so it seems as if the bribe to the russians to try to get them to agree
01:06:41to the conf to the freeze the conflict is gradually growing though i need hardly say that there is no
01:06:51possibility whatsoever that the russians are going to agree to any of this so anyway that's the situation
01:07:01in ukraine at the present time now before i finish this program i'm going to go back to larry johnson's
01:07:09sonar 21 blog because he has been recently in moscow and one of the people that he met there was
01:07:19lieutenant general evgeny buzhinski who served in the international treaty department of the main
01:07:25directorate of international military cooperation of the russian ministry of defense i also seem to
01:07:33remember that general buzhinski was at one time a senior official in the russian general staff but i'm
01:07:40not going to pretend that i'm sure about that anyway this is what larry johnson some of the things that
01:07:47larry johnson said that they discussed um buzhinski said this i asked him specifically about the importance or
01:07:58lack thereof of the ukrainian drone attacks on the russian airfields that host some of russia's strategic
01:08:05bombers he said that people should not to read too much into uh putin's public silence on the matter
01:08:14because putin viewed this act as a betrayal by london and washington of the start treaty the general
01:08:23specifically said putin was furious i've already said that my sense from the russian readout is that
01:08:31putin received trump's denials of responsibility and knowledge in icy silence anyway the larry johnson
01:08:42then goes on to say the general went on to say that this moment marked the closest that the united
01:08:47states and russia have come to the brink of nuclear war since the cuban missile crisis that's pretty
01:08:55strong in other words that on nuclear issues relations between russia and the united states have all but
01:09:05broken down i i would add by the way that i've also had reports from russia that the russians are
01:09:12absolutely furious uh that they're hopping mad about the attack on the train uh which as far as they
01:09:21were concerned was a deliberate targeting of civilians the difference with the um crocus center attack
01:09:32is that this time the ukrainians are making no attempt to deny involvement with the crocus center attack
01:09:39there was at least a pretense from ukraine that they had nothing to do with it this time the ukrainians
01:09:49are actually engaging in bragging about it and that has infuriated the russians and that they are indeed
01:09:57acting now to raise the profile of the special military operation or at least parts of it into a
01:10:04counter-terrorism operation anyway going back to larry johnson he then goes on to say this i talked to
01:10:12the general about asking him for important insights into russia's military strategy when i asked why hasn't
01:10:23russia destroyed the bridges over the dnieper which would cut off the ukrainian army from its vital logistics
01:10:32needs he laughed and said i have wondered that myself but then he went on to explain that he went that he
01:10:44believed the reason was and larry johnson tells us that there's some parts of this conversation continued
01:10:54off carrying character that if russia had destroyed the bridges early in the special military operation
01:11:00it would have left the bulk of ukraine's army intact on the west side of the river
01:11:08so now destroying the bridges may make sense it will cut off what is left of ukraine's army
01:11:17and will facilitate russia gaining control of all of eastern ukraine
01:11:24i don't know the timing but this exchange between an admittedly retired but i suspect very well-informed
01:11:35russian general and larry johnson reinforces what i'm hearing from other sources which is that an attack
01:11:44of the dnieper bridges is probably not just under consideration but is quite likely actually being
01:11:53planned and probably only requires putin's approval to be put into effect i have also incidentally been told
01:12:07that the russian military has carried out assessments of the challenge of crossing the dnieper
01:12:17without use of these bridges and they have concluded that it is a doable thing for them to do
01:12:28well this is where i finish today's program let me repeat again this is an evolving story the conflict
01:12:35between israel and iran i suspect is going to become the dominant media story for the next few weeks and
01:12:43months but whatever you can be certain that i will be covering it here on these programs and of course
01:12:50we will be covering it in more detail on the duran that's me for today more from me soon let me remind
01:12:57you again that you can have all our find all our programs on our various platforms locals rumble
01:13:03odyssey x all of those you can also support our work by patreon and subscribe start by going to our shop
01:13:10where there is a promotion underway and last but not least if you like this video please remember to
01:13:16tick the like button and to check your subscription to this channel as i said that is me for today more
01:13:23from me soon have a very good day
Recommended
21:34