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  • 6/2/2025
In a rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape, three global powersโ€”๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ the U.S., ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China, and ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russiaโ€”compete for influence while the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU makes a bold move by asserting its interest in the Black Sea ๐ŸŒŠ. The Duran dives deep into what this power play means for the future of global stability, regional alliances, and the balance of power across Europe and Asia. ๐Ÿงญ

As NATO watches closely ๐Ÿ‘€ and Ukraine remains a hotspot โš ๏ธ, this new claim could escalate tensions or reshape diplomacy entirely. Stay tuned for insightful analysis and expert commentary with The Duran ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ.

#BlackSea #Geopolitics #TheDuran #EuropeNews #RussiaUkraineWar #GlobalPower #EUClaim #NATO #China #USA #OneWorld #WorldPolitics #PowerStruggle #Diplomacy #InternationalRelations #WarNews #UkraineUpdate #RT #NewsToday #EuropePolitics
Transcript
00:00All right, Alexander, let's talk about this New York Times article with the title,
00:06Trump's Vision, One World, Three Powers. President Trump's recent actions and statements suggest
00:13he might want an arrangement where the United States, China, and Russia each dominate
00:18their sphere of influence. This article was published a couple of days ago, but
00:28spheres of influence. It sounds very familiar to a show that I remember watching a couple of months
00:38ago. Anyway, your thoughts on this article. I know. I mean, absolutely. I mean, one can be
00:43facetious. We can be wonderfully facetious about this. But I mean, here's another example. I mean,
00:48we were discussing spheres of influence, Donald Trump, and thinking about a system where, as I
00:56said, global powers, great powers, China, Russia, the United States, withdraw basically into spheres
01:05of influence, establish a kind of multipolar system involving each other. We even set out,
01:14and we discussed this. We also discussed, we actually coined the expression, but we used
01:20the term spheres of influence to describe what it seems that Trump was thinking about. And we even set
01:28out what the American sphere of influence was likely to be. Canada, Mexico, Greenland, Central
01:35America, the Panama Canal, and all of that. And now here, many months later, we get an article in the
01:41New York Times, which says exactly the same thing. It just took them a few months to get there. But,
01:47you know, they managed it. They finally got to the point, which we reached, I think it was in late
01:54January, early February, or sometime around that time. Yeah. Is spheres of influence possible anymore?
02:02Or actually, let me rephrase that. Is spheres of influence possible if there's a breakdown in the talks
02:13between Russia and the United States? Yes.
02:17I mean, are the two dependent on each other, or can they be exclusive?
02:21No, they're not exclusive, and they can in theory happen. But obviously, given that spheres of influence,
02:28almost by definition, are things that great powers have to negotiate with each other,
02:34then obviously, if there's a breakdown in the negotiations and a defeat for Ukraine and for
02:41the collective West in Ukraine, then negotiating what will be the Russian sphere of influence
02:48is going to become much, much more complicated. Having said that, you could also argue that once
02:54the dust settles... Maybe it'll be simpler.
02:56Exactly. Once the dust settles, it'll be simpler. Exactly. Because the Russian sphere of influence
03:02will effectively have established itself. The Russians will be in essential control of Ukraine,
03:08Moldova, Georgia, Armenia, the Caucasus, all of those places. So you could argue that it may take
03:16a little more time to do, there'll be a lot more acrimony, but we would be moving closer to
03:23getting a clearer sense of what the Russian sphere of influence would be. And the question then is,
03:31might it also extend to other places in Eastern Europe, in the Balkans, for example,
03:40than apparently the Russians could conceivably be looking for now? And these are questions which
03:47I don't think we can answer at this point. But I mean, it's something that one can easily imagine
03:54might have to be asked at some level. I think we are, by the way, and I think this is something that
03:59people need to understand. Putting aside what Trump himself probably wants, and I think spheres of
04:08influence probably does represent his own thinking. I think he does, deep down, want to see the United
04:17States concentrate on its own region. I think he's fed up with Europe. I think he has little time for
04:23Europe. I think that is true of many of the people in his administration, particularly those who are
04:28closest to him. I think he wants to pull out of the United States from Europe. I think he wants the
04:34United States to concentrate on his own region. And I think he would be happy, what were happy,
04:40I think he would be perfectly relaxed with the other two great powers, Russia and China, doing the
04:46same. So I think that is probably, probably that New York Times article, like us, are accurately
04:58describing Trump's thinking. But put aside Trump, I think that is the world we're heading to anyway.
05:07Now that the unipolar moment has gone, and there is no attempt any longer, or at least the attempt
05:15to make the entire world a globalist sphere, if you like, enforced for the globalists
05:28by the US hyperpower. Given that that project is about to fail completely, it is almost inevitable that
05:37we're going to start to see the great powers establish some kind of concert together,
05:44and that they will establish spheres of influence. And that once those spheres of influence are
05:50recognized and understood, that will probably be the world we will see, and it'll be a more stable
05:56one than we have, the one we have now. So I think that is where we're heading, as I said, almost
06:01regardless of what Trump himself might be thinking.
06:04Yeah, it's based a lot on geography.
06:08I guess this three power spheres of influence, but I don't think it can be based on geography. I mean,
06:16you have two BRICS countries. This is indeed the thinking or the plan going forward, or the outcome
06:23that eventually is coming our way. You have two BRICS countries, the two main BRICS countries,
06:29China and Russia, controlling their spheres. You have Brazil, which is another major BRICS power, but
06:38that would be in the US's sphere. I mean, is the US ready to give up on Asia, on the South Pacific?
06:50No.
06:51Where does Europe fit in? Where does the EU fit into all of this? I mean, it's a vassal of the United States.
06:58Yes.
06:58No doubt about it. The European Union is 100% a vassal of the US, 100% dependent on the United States,
07:05including all of the 27 member nations of the European Union are 100% dependent on the United States for everything.
07:13Where does the EU fit into all of this? Well, outside it, if I can put it like that.
07:21Yeah, but under who? For example, under who would they, I mean, they're a vassal of the US,
07:26but would the US continue to take care of a broke, bankrupt, corrupt European Union?
07:33Do they want that? That is the point about an American sphere of influence. It won't extend to the EU.
07:41I mean, there will probably be, I mean, between the great powers, there will be
07:47regions where the great powers do not establish direct spheres of influence and don't try to
07:56control them in the way that they would control politics, if you like, within their own sphere.
08:03So the United States would significantly downgrade its presence in Europe. It would pull out its troops
08:12from Europe. It would do all kinds of things of that kind. It would probably maintain some kind
08:17of a relationship with the EU. But the EU, the European states would be basically left on their
08:24own to sort themselves out, even as the United States retreats into its own sphere. You are absolutely
08:30correct, by the way. The United States has a natural sphere of influence. It's North America
08:37and perhaps Central America as well. And it could include Greenland, which by the way, geographically,
08:42I believe counts as North America. It's very much more difficult to see what the other obvious spheres
08:50of influence of the other great powers would be. So if we're talking about Russia, I've already said,
08:56I mean, does it include, does it extend, the Russian sphere of influence extend into some
09:02places in Eastern Europe? One can imagine that logically it would do. I mean, places like Bulgaria,
09:08Yugoslavia, former Yugoslavia. I don't just mean Serbia, by the way. I mean, the former Yugoslavia. I can
09:14easily see, however, how that would be very intensely resisted. And it might not be something that the Russians
09:23themselves want to see. Then if we're talking about spheres of influence, how does that match
09:30up with the relationship between China and Russia? I mean, would they treat Central Asia as a joint
09:37sphere of influence? Would they each continue their strategic partnership and, you know, coordinate even
09:47more closely with each other? And so that instead of a Russian and Chinese sphere of influence, we were
09:56to see a Eurasian sphere bringing the two together. Where does India fit into this picture? I mean,
10:03India, in theory, has an obvious sphere of influence, which is in the Indian subcontinent,
10:10you know, including Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Myanmar. Except, of course, that just
10:20ticking off these places tells you what an enormous problems that would be. I mean, imagine
10:25how the Pakistanis would feel if they were told that they're going to be part of the India sphere.
10:30I mean, they might not be happy with that at all. And of course, if Brazil ever does become a great
10:38power, which is possible, its obvious sphere of influence is South America, south of the Panama Canal.
10:50Except, of course, again, how does Argentina, for example, feel about that? How do the Andes states,
10:59which is Spanish speaking, how would they feel about being dominated by a great power, which has a
11:07different language, Portuguese, and a somewhat different culture from them? So, you know,
11:14the Americans have the advantage of a natural sphere of influence, but it's not so straightforward
11:20between the other great powers. I think Russia and China have a strong relationship. And I think they
11:29would work very, very hard not to fracture it. And I think also they have the greater Eurasia project
11:36that they're working on together and which would probably mean that they would be able to hold
11:41together and manage any tensions. But I can certainly see that in other places, spheres of influence might
11:47not work very well and might actually lead to a whole set of problems.
11:50I wonder if a better way to look at it is, I think this is what we were getting at when we were
11:57talking about spheres of influence, is to look at it as the collective West and BRICS in a way.
12:02Yeah.
12:03You know, the United States obviously leading the collective West and BRICS being pretty much the
12:10the rest of the world and the global South. You know, for example, Mexico can absolutely look towards BRICS
12:20if it wanted to.
12:21Yes.
12:21But geographically, okay, it could fall under the collective West sphere as well. But, you know,
12:30it would have that BRICS option. You know, you could make the argument for a lot of countries in
12:42that type of situation where they could play to both spheres. Turkey. Turkey is a good example of a NATO
12:49country, a country that you could consider to be part of the collective West sphere, but also a country that
12:56could look towards BRICS and is looking towards BRICS. I mean, what do you think of that?
13:02I mean, ultimately, I think that is what's going to happen. We're going to have parallel trading and
13:10financial systems. One will be based around the BRICS. One will be based around the collective West. Within
13:17these wider blocks, there will probably be great powers. Russia, China, India within the BRICS,
13:28the United States within the collective West. And I suspect they will have their spheres of influence,
13:34their core spheres of influence more clearly defined within these blocks. So again, with Russia,
13:42maybe the territory of the former Soviet Union, with China, you know, who knows? I'm not going to start
13:50drawing lines on the map, so I'm not going to try and do that. But, you know, we could start to see
13:55that. But perhaps the way in which economies, societies are organized would be more around these big trading
14:07blocks, with the spheres of influence being more a political security issue.
14:14Yeah. Real quick to end the video, what do you make of the EU's statements about the Black Sea,
14:20that they're going to militarize the Black Sea, and they're going to try to work with,
14:24well, they're going to work with Romania, Bulgaria, they're going to be the tip of the spear,
14:29and they're going to work with Turkey, Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan to try and lock down
14:34the Black Sea. Because we're talking about spheres. The EU is trying to set out their sphere,
14:42I guess. Well, what they're again trying to do, I mean, they're trying to revive the whole
14:50neocon geopolitical project, which is to drive Russia out of the Black Sea. That was what Project
14:55Ukraine initially was all about, gaining control of the Black Sea, pushing the Russians out of the Black
15:02Sea, and that way, isolating the Russians in Eastern Eurasia, and ultimately causing them to break down.
15:14What this shows is that the EU, the European leaders, have learned absolutely nothing from the
15:22geopolitical disaster of the last three years. I mean, they've not changed their thinking in any way at
15:32all. Now, relying on Turkey, which is the only one of these powers that could significantly challenge
15:38Russia in the Black Sea, is an incredibly bad idea altogether. It could very easily create a crisis in
15:45Turkey, and I don't think the Turks, if they're going to play games in the Black Sea, would do so
15:50on Brussels' behalf, just to say. In all other respects, the Russians dominate the Black Sea.
15:56Just as they, just as they are, just as in the end, as we will see, they dominate the Caucasus as well.
16:09Pashinyan, you know, the leader of Armenia, went to Moscow for the victory parade. Even a pro-Western,
16:16pro-EU leader like him, and I've been to Armenia, and we haven't done programs about Armenia recently.
16:25But it seems that within Armenia itself, the pressures now have increased to resume proper
16:35business and economic relations with Russia, and even security arrangements there. So these are
16:41fantasy plans, but they tell us again how obsessively anti-Russian the people in Brussels remain.
16:52You know, Ursula, Kaya Callas, what would you expect of them? I'm going to say something else,
16:58by the way. All of these plans, fantastic plans. The other thing that they're doing
17:08is that they are making the Russians increasingly come round to the view. And on this, by the way,
17:15Putin is being openly criticized by members of the Russian government, because Putin still sticks to
17:22this position. They're coming round increasingly to the view that the EU is no longer an economic
17:26association in any shape or form. It is a kind of embryonic military political alliance,
17:34and one which is straightforwardly hostile to Russia. Yeah, Putin continues to maintain a type of
17:43soft spot for Europe, I guess. I mean, he even made comments a couple of weeks ago how he believes
17:49that Russia will eventually make up with France. I mean, he continues to have this
17:56this feeling about Europe, which I think is long, long gone. Absolutely. And the interesting thing is that
18:05on this issue, people like Lavrov, Vedvedev, other foreign ministry officials have actually openly
18:14contradicted him, which in all other respects, they scarcely ever do. But on this issue, they did. They went against him.
18:20So, and you're getting more and more Russian officials who openly say, what is this nonsense
18:27about the EU being just an economic association? It is a massively hostile, antagonistic alliance,
18:37and we must treat it that way. Yeah. All right. We will end the video
18:41there at theduran.local.com. We are on Rumble, Odyssey, Bitchute, Telegram, Rockfin, and X. Go to Duran's shop,
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