Phillies Beat Braves in Dramatic Doubleheader Split

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00:00It's game number one, Rafael Marchand for Philadelphia

00:03with the bases juiced in the home half of the eighth,

00:06plunked by a pitch, scores the game-winning run for Philadelphia.

00:10They take the opening game of a doubleheader split,

00:13but then because of a great performance out of Chris Sale

00:16and an uncharacteristically poor performance out of Zach Wheeler

00:19in that second game, the Braves avoid a sweep

00:22in both the doubleheader and the series and win the finale 9-3.

00:27Yeah, the backup catcher, Rafael Marchand,

00:29also had that two-run home run early in the game,

00:31so three RBI included the winning RBI in that game,

00:33and a game that saw the Phillies up 2-0, 4-2,

00:36and eventually tied at 4-4.

00:37Oh, no, there's that bullpen, and it was real shaky

00:39into the ninth inning, but they picked up that victory,

00:42and again, the shocking thing was that game being a win

00:44by the Phillies, not.

00:45The second game that with Zach Wheeler, you go up against Chris Sale,

00:48you think it's probably going to be lower scoring

00:49and still give the advantage to the Philadelphia Phillies.

00:51He got cracked right off the bat there yesterday,

00:53so a big win for the Atlanta Braves as they return home.

00:55The Phillies, I believe, play the Milwaukee Brewers at home today,

00:58but a split in that game yesterday for the doubleheader

01:01of those two games, but the Phillies won the series here,

01:04pushing the Braves a little bit farther down that ladder.

01:06And a pretty good outing, of course, in that second game

01:09for Chris Sale, and when I say pretty good, I mean really good.

01:12Six innings of shutout baseball, only allowing two base knocks,

01:16and struck out eight.

01:17Chris Sale, DRS, now the fastest pitcher in MLB history

01:21by innings to record 2,500 career strikeouts.

01:25So the Braves get a much-needed win.

01:27So let's quickly look at the updated NLE standings

01:30and the updated NLE odds.

01:33The Philadelphia Phillies in that top spot,

01:35not just the best record in the division,

01:37but the best record overall at 36-20 in the NL.

01:40And now, after winning this midweek set against Atlanta,

01:44a stronger favorite to win the divisional crown at minus 140.

01:48They're nine and a half games up over the Braves, DRS,

01:51but probably more importantly, closest competition,

01:54the New York Mets, 34 and 22.

01:56The Amazons, like many teams, off on a Thursday around MLB.

02:00A two-game difference there between the Phillies in the top spot

02:04and the Mets trailing behind.

02:07Yeah, and also, you're taking a look at, you know,

02:09the rest of the season, how it goes.

02:10The Phillies by far have the better pitching staff

02:12than all of those teams, including the New York Mets

02:14and the Atlanta Braves.

02:15The one interesting part yesterday that we sort of glossed over

02:17game number one, A.J. Smith-Schalver was on the mound.

02:20He gets hit by a comeback liner off of his calf,

02:24but that wasn't the issue.

02:25He left the game because he said it hurt a pop in his forearm

02:27and or elbow, which is never a good sign.

02:30Immediately placed on the IL.

02:31And that's one of those good young pitchers

02:33that can groove it up there, 98, 99 miles an hour

02:35to go along with Schwellenbach

02:36and also obviously Spencer Strider.

02:38You can't afford to lose good pitchers

02:40throughout the summer months here.

02:41And if that's something of an extended absence,

02:44that's going to hurt the Atlanta Braves here.

02:46So we'll see if we get some information back on him.

02:47Sooner than later, but that's never a good sign

02:49where a pitcher has to leave the game early.

02:51Atlanta still remains sub 500, 26 and 29,

02:55three games below 500, plus 750.

02:57You see the number there to win the NL East.

03:00Donnie, the story for Atlanta is probably not a divisional crown,

03:03but just making the expanded NL postseason,

03:06entering this series against Philadelphia.

03:08The price on Atlanta to still make the playoffs,

03:10being below 500 after the 0-7 start

03:13and what that means in the history of qualifying for the postseason

03:17in Major League Baseball.

03:18It was minus 118 for the Braves.

03:21More favored to make the playoffs than miss.

03:23Now it's been flipped to make the postseason as minus 104,

03:27to miss out on the playoffs for the Braves,

03:30minus 118.

03:31A little bit more juice for Atlanta

03:33to not be a playoff team here in 2025.

03:37Donnie, if I ask you right here, right now,

03:39at the end of May with the Braves firmly on Fork Watch,

03:43does Atlanta make it to the NL postseason?

03:46What's your answer?

03:47I think there's a chance they can do that.

03:49Fork Watch in the NL East, yeah,

03:51it's probably going to be the Phillies and or the Mets here

03:52because they have to have a massive comeback

03:54and crazy things would have to happen.

03:56But when you're talking about them jumping teams,

03:58all right, the Diamondbacks, the Reds, the Brewers,

04:00the Giants, the Cardinals, you know where I'm going with that?

04:02It's like, all right, they're not great teams

04:04and they're not nine and a half games back

04:06to make the wild card at this point.

04:08They're too good an organization, have too much talent

04:10just to say, well, we're going to play under 500 baseball

04:12from June 1st all the way through the end of September.

04:15I don't think that's going to happen.

04:16They're going to be above 500, which will put them in the mix.

04:19I'm not shutting the door on the playoffs,

04:21but I am essentially shutting the door

04:22on them with a chance to win the division.

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