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00:00Well, that's the thing. Here we are again, under three to one. This is a problem that we have now
00:05faced with the past couple of weeks. Last week, you talked about trying to go around that a little
00:10bit. I'd have to assume that you're going to try to do the same thing this week with Scotty. Go
00:15around him. 100%. I could get a better number for Scotty to lead after three rounds in the prop
00:23market at plus 350. So I'm certainly going to do that. And then the rest of the way, everyone else
00:28is playing for second place. I mean, over the last two years, Mike, he has gained on average 12
00:34strokes on just approach against the field here, because that's how significant approach play is
00:40at Muirfield Village Golf Club. Now he would have won two years in a row, except he lost almost nine
00:45strokes in 2023 with the putter. I mean, last year he broke even with basically everything else and he
00:51he took care of the field. Now I know Colin was there in the end, just one behind, but you know,
00:56Scotty made a triple on the last day in order to bring the field back. This place can trip you up.
01:01You know, we've got 50 greenside bunkers. We've got that Creek running through the property, a lot of
01:06water hazards. But at the end of the day, I mean, this place fits Scotty and it's going to be extremely
01:12hard, which only more suits him. Collins had a lot of being left second here at this place.
01:19He's had a few, of course, not just last year. He lost in the playoff to Cantlay a couple of years
01:25before that. So Collins had quite a bit of that. Let's start with your outrights because I want to
01:29highlight on one guy and then we'll do the rest after the break. And that is, I'm skipping ahead,
01:34but I'm doing the same thing, Keith. I'm taking the Irish bear off probation this week and I am
01:39putting him back in the mix because when it's a hard course, you usually want the Irish bear there.
01:44100%. I've got Shane Lowry plus 3,500 in the without Scotty market. You can get a much higher,
01:49obviously like around 40 plus 4,000. If you want to just bet them straight up, hard courses,
01:55you know, Mike, you bet the Irish bear all the time. And I'm looking for a place where the golden
02:00bear sets the pins. You know what I mean? So this place is going to be hard and that's the type of
02:05place similar to Valhalla, which is another Jack Nicklaus design, right? He's won in Ohio. You know,
02:10he won at Firestone when it was a WGC event, similar sort of elevated event back in 2015.
02:16A lot of the things suit him here, the approach play, getting out of trouble. And of course,
02:20around the green acumen, which is going to be so important for the field this week with the rough
02:25and the bunkers. It really is. And I do like that you did with the without Scheffler market as well.
02:33I did that last week, Keith. Of course, none of our guys got to the finish line, but I am going to try
02:39that as well. I'm going to do 50-50. I'm going to do half and half with what I would normally do.
02:44I'll do half on the width, half on the without.