Bettor Things 'Win and You're In' Preview

thoroughbreddailynews

Watch Bettor Things 'Win and You're In' Preview - thoroughbreddailynews on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00Welcome back to the Breeders' Cup Challenge betting series here on Better

00:04Things with Joe Bianca. Last time on Better Things. I feel like I need like a

00:08little dramatic voiceover for that last time on Better Things. At Kentucky Downs

00:12I whiffed in the turf sprint unfortunately. Got a little too cute in

00:15the Kentucky Turf Cup as I was right about the winner Red Knight but I kind

00:19of underestimated the price he was gonna be. I used him on top in the try. Trying

00:23to get a bigger pop thinking he'd only be 6 or 7 to 1 only to watch him

00:27win at 12 to 1 and have a horse sneak into third to bust up my try. Yeah listen

00:32I could do a whole future episode of this show about getting too cute in my

00:36bets but the end result is we dropped $230. We're now just narrowly in the

00:40black at plus $40.45. This week we are featuring Belmont at the Big A. I never

00:47thought I'd get to see the day where their Breeders' Cup Challenge races run

00:50at Aqueduct. This is gonna be the most prestigious it's felt at Aqueduct since

00:54they used to simulcast Saratoga there in the summer. Listen the Big A is a

00:58relic and the wrecking ball is coming for it soon but it's also not without

01:02its charm and history. Secretariat ran there. The grandstand used to be teeming

01:07with 50,000 fans. There was in fact a Breeders' Cup at Aqueduct once upon a

01:11time and most importantly for decades it served as New York's blue-collar

01:15racetrack where the smaller stables and the lesser-known jockeys could have a

01:19realistic chance of winning some races if only they were able to brave the

01:23brutal Ozone Park winter filled with the winds off of Jamaica Bay. I spent

01:28more days than I'd like to admit taking the A train out to North Conduit Ave

01:32for an unglamorous day at the races that still just felt like home. So I'm glad

01:36it's getting its moment in the sun while Belmont is prepped to be the future

01:40permanent home of downstate racing in New York. It deserves to be the place to

01:44race one last time. Overall there are a full dozen Breeders' Cup Winning Year

01:49In Challenge qualifiers this weekend across the country as we get closer and

01:53closer to the Breeders' Cup. Our two races are the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes for

01:56two-year-olds going a mile on the main track, a Winning Year In Qualifier for

02:00the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and the Grade 2 Miss Grillo Stakes going a mile and a

02:05sixteenth on the turf for two-year-old Phillies Winning Year In Qualifier for

02:08the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Phillies turf. The two races can be seen on NBC from 4

02:13to 6 Eastern this Saturday, October 1st. There is some rain in the forecast but

02:18I'm gonna handicap the card as if they're gonna be on the turf. We'll start

02:21with the Miss Grillo which goes as the eighth race at 439 Eastern. Just a six

02:25horse field with 11 combined starts so there's not much established form here.

02:29These are the races where watching replays can be so crucial to forming a

02:34strong opinion. The two obvious horses are number two Free Look and number six

02:38Be Your Best who have devastating turns of foot and they looked the part on

02:42replays. Those two are tough to get past for me but I do have some interest in

02:46the New York Red number five I'm Just Kiddin'. She's a little slow on paper but

02:50you know she's got a good chance to get loose I think under Joel Rosario. There's

02:53no confirmed speed signed on. She's a daughter of Justify. Also bred to

02:58stretch out. Looked a little green too so I think she has more development to come.

03:02Number four, a luring angel can't be thrown out either. Her debut race was

03:05really impressive visually. She had some excuses when she hung a bit last time out

03:09finishing a close second and a stake at Kentucky Downs. And the Champagne which

03:13is the tenth race at 545 most likely sets up as a redemption story for number

03:18six Gulfport to me. He was considered clearly the best two-year-old in the

03:22country early on after he won his first two races by a combined 19 and a

03:26quarter lengths. Bloom came off the roads a little bit after he was a well-beaten

03:29second in his last two both times as a heavy favorite but he had excuses in

03:33those races. He got checked hard on the turn of the Saratoga Special just as he

03:37was making his move and he drifted out pretty sharply in a crucial spot coming

03:42off the turn over a mess of the track in the hopeful. Both times he re-rallied in

03:46deep stretch but he just ran into two nice horses in Damon's Mound and Forte

03:50who had simply gotten too much of a jump on him. Draws outside in here which is

03:54key with several speeds to his inside. I expect him to run much closer to those

03:58first two races with a clear trip and be best in the final furlong. He's not gonna

04:02be any great price but I think he won't be favored for the first time in his

04:05career. There's a Brad Cox horse in there number three verifying who has a lot of

04:09buzz behind him. Well publicized half-brother to Midnight

04:13Bisou. Got a big buyer in his win for his timeout. Only other horse I'm

04:17interested in the Champagne is number two Top Recruit who ran a huge race

04:20gamely winning the Ellis Park Juvenile stakes last out. Won an early speed duel

04:25and then he got hooked on the turn by Curly Jack and probably fought back the

04:29whole stretch to win that race and that effort was flattered. Curly Jack came

04:33back to win the grade three Iroquois stakes a couple weeks ago at Churchill

04:37Downs. So I'm gonna play a couple pick three tickets starting in the Miss

04:40Guerrillo closing in the Champagne with the grade three Belmont turf sprint

04:43stakes in between. We'll do a one dollar pick three number two Free Look, number

04:47four Alluring Angel, number five I'm Just Kiddin' and number six Be Your Best

04:51spreading with one two three four six seven eight twelve in the turf sprint

04:56with number two Top Recruit and number six Gulfport in the Champagne for a

05:00total of $72. The same ticket with just Free Look and Be Your Best in the first

05:05leg. Same the rest of the way for a total of $36 and one more punching those two

05:10in the first leg and Gulfport in the last leg. Same horses in the middle leg

05:14for a two dollar ticket for a total of $36. Then one last ticket spreading in

05:19the Miss Guerrillo in the Champagne. In case the horse I like most in the turf

05:22sprint number ten Dancing Buck who ran too good to lose last time at Saratoga

05:26wins the middle leg. That'll be a one dollar pick three two four five six with

05:31ten with all for a total of $24. All told this week's investment is $168.

05:37Best of luck this weekend. Don't forget to catch the two Breeders' Cup tickets

05:41punched in the Miss Guerrillo and Champagne broadcast live from Aqueduct

05:45on NBC from 4 to 6 p.m. Eastern Saturday.

Category

Transcript

Recommended