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华尔街危机四伏 美国经济正步入死循坏?
Hotspot热点
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3/19/2025
八点最热报 | 当下的美国经济就好像正走在钢丝上,而脚下的绳索正在快速磨损。刚刚美国政府公布的零售销售报告指出,美国2月份零售销售按月只增长了0.2%,低于预期的0.6%,又再一次激起了美国经济陷入衰退的担忧。在美国总统特朗普拒绝表态美国经济是否会衰退,华尔街股市暴跌后,现在美国媒体普遍的评论分析都是同一个角度,那就是债务,衰退 ,市场恐慌 ,导致华尔街危机四伏,在这三种参杂因发酵引发的骨牌效应后,美国经济正进入了死亡螺旋。
(主播:萧慧敏)
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Transcript
Display full video transcript
00:00
Before watching the video, let me remind you that there is more content on the Hotpoint website.
00:05
The current US economy is like walking on a wire,
00:08
and the rope under its feet is being quickly broken.
00:11
The retail sales report released by the US government just now pointed out
00:14
that in February, retail sales increased by 0.2%,
00:18
which is 0.6% lower than expected,
00:20
and again aroused concerns that the US economy is falling.
00:24
In fact, when President Trump refused to state whether the US economy would fall,
00:28
and the Wall Street stock market plummeted,
00:30
Morgan Thomson, the chief economist of the world,
00:33
predicted that the possibility of the US economy falling this year was 40%.
00:38
Later, the former US Secretary of State, Samuel Samuels, warned
00:42
that the possibility of the economy falling is already close to 50%,
00:46
and the main cause of the rise in the risk of falling
00:49
is Trump's completely counterproductive economic policy.
00:52
His tariff policy and his uncertainty
00:55
have had a double negative impact on the economy.
00:59
Now, the general analysis of the US media is from the same angle,
01:02
that is, debt decline and market panic
01:05
have led to the crisis on Wall Street.
01:08
After the stock market effect caused by these three complicated factors,
01:12
the US economy is entering a spiral of death.
01:15
It doesn't need to be a financial expert,
01:17
as long as you care a little about the international financial trend.
01:20
For a long time, no matter how the economy has risen,
01:22
the US dollar has always been the pinnacle of global trade and the financial system.
01:27
However, the current situation is not the same.
01:29
In the United States, the United States continues to abuse the power of the United States to harvest the world.
01:32
In addition, Trump's various policy actions and words
01:35
are now the biggest risk to the US dollar in the world economy
01:39
for half a century.
01:42
The market's trust in the US dollar is also declining rapidly,
01:45
causing the US dollar to face depreciation pressure.
01:48
What companies are most worried about is uncertainty,
01:51
and Trump's repetitive policy
01:53
has led to unprecedented business risks for American companies.
01:57
The market is gradually losing confidence.
01:59
Once this emotion forms a stock effect,
02:02
it will trigger capital outflows, investment shrinkage,
02:04
and further aggravate the risk of decline.
02:07
American media comments pointed out that
02:09
the US economy has reached a crossroads.
02:11
If the government continues to ignore the debt issue,
02:13
continues to rely on the US dollar to dominate power,
02:15
and is unwilling to face economic structural contradictions,
02:17
then the future decline will not only be a short-term adjustment,
02:20
but may be a deep economic decline.
02:25
Today, new data from the federal government
02:27
is providing some insight
02:29
on the current state of the economy, retail sales.
02:32
Now to a big week for the US economy,
02:34
beginning this morning with an important read on retail sales.
02:38
It showed an increase of 0.2%,
02:42
so that is lower than expected.
02:44
When US President Trump responded to the question
02:46
of whether the US economy will decline,
02:48
he was cold-blooded.
02:49
In addition, his tariff policy has changed repeatedly,
02:51
resulting in Wall Street's overstatement last week.
02:54
And the latest retail sales data in February
02:56
is also not as good as expected,
02:58
further exacerbating concerns about
03:00
consumer spending and economic prospects.
03:02
Morgan Dutton, a leading economist, also warned
03:04
that this year's US economy is likely to decline by 40%.
03:06
If the outside world loses confidence in the US government,
03:09
the US as a destination for international investment
03:11
may be permanently damaged.
03:13
And when former U.S. Secretary of State Larry
03:15
was interviewed by Bloomberg TV,
03:17
he said that the US economy is likely to decline this year
03:19
by 50%.
03:21
And the main cause of the rise in risk of decline
03:23
is a completely opposite economic policy.
03:25
Uncertainty in tariff policy
03:27
has a double negative impact on the economy.
03:29
I think we've got a real uncertainty problem.
03:33
I think it's going to be hard to fix that.
03:37
And we're looking at a slowdown
03:41
relative to what was forecast almost for sure
03:44
and a serious near 50% prospect of recession.
03:49
A senior financial reporter for CNBC
03:51
said on the show that even at the risk of losing money,
03:54
he couldn't help but ask Trump to stop
03:56
taking too crazy actions.
03:58
He said that Trump's uncertainty about
04:00
tariff policy is driving foreign investors away.
04:02
He emphasized that crazy is not a strategy.
04:04
I'm going to say this at risk of my job, Kelly,
04:06
but what President Trump is doing is insane.
04:08
It is absolutely insane.
04:10
And it seems as if this administration
04:12
is doing everything it can
04:14
to chase foreign capital away.
04:16
Well, and we could go into the strategy of
04:18
insanity as a strategy in terms of our trading partners.
04:20
Insanity is not a strategy.
04:22
What?
04:24
In the face of Trump's
04:26
irreversible tariff policy
04:28
causing global market turmoil,
04:30
the CEO of Goldman Sachs, David Solomon,
04:32
also made public statements
04:34
saying that the U.S. business community
04:36
hopes that Trump can provide more clear policy guidance.
04:38
This Wall Street superstar
04:40
also said during an interview
04:42
that the uncertainty about tariff policy
04:44
is driving some business activities away.
04:46
He said that business leaders
04:48
desperately hope to understand the direction of policy.
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4:58
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