Analyzing Cole Ragans & Blake Snell: Strikeouts and Strategy

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00:00Joe, you got a cup before us, where do we start?

00:03Yeah, look, right when we get to around pick 40,

00:07the offense starts to change a little bit.

00:09You have the aforementioned O'Neal Cruz,

00:11you have Kyle Schwarber, Jose Altuve,

00:13you have these players that, again,

00:16I think have some warts on them.

00:17Altuve's age, changing positions,

00:19Kyle Schwarber, big power, but strikeout machine,

00:22batting average kills you.

00:23I think Michael Harris is a little overrated.

00:25I could find guys that could be 15-15

00:27later in the draft at a much better cost.

00:29Right around there, you get guys

00:30from the starting pitcher side, though,

00:32that are really intriguing.

00:33You get Dylan Cease, you get Cole Reagans as well.

00:36Now, Cease is a guy, very steady

00:38in terms of making every start.

00:39Cole Reagans, another one, too.

00:41Big time strikeout upside that you really love to see.

00:44And I look at Cole Reagans and that division,

00:47and I also see a guy that's gonna have a ton of strikeouts.

00:50We're looking in that two-something range here,

00:52225, somewhere in that projectability factor.

00:55And at the end of the day,

00:57because of limitations that might be on a Paul Skeens, too,

01:01Cole Reagans might end up with more strikeouts, right?

01:04But you're getting him 30 picks later.

01:07That, to me, is what you're looking at.

01:08Okay, I want a big-time strikeout pitcher.

01:10I want to find that kind of ace.

01:13But Paul Skeens, if I take him, I can't take Lindor,

01:15I can't take Vlad, I can't take Fernando Tatis,

01:18I can't take those star offensive players.

01:21I can still get Reagans a couple rounds later,

01:23and Reagans will do the job.

01:24So I'm looking at two lefties here, specifically.

01:27Cole Reagans, one of them.

01:28And the other is Blake Snell.

01:30Now, I know there's a lot of concerns

01:32with Blake Snell being inconsistent over the years,

01:35and I get that.

01:36But last year was sort of a strange situation

01:39where he came in, signed late, never really got going,

01:43and then the last 12 starts,

01:44he was basically the best pitcher in baseball

01:46once he was back in his rhythm.

01:48And now he finds himself on this juggernaut team

01:50with the Dodgers, where the bullpen is so good,

01:53the offense is so good, even in a six-man rotation,

01:57which is what they're kind of taunting us with right now,

02:00I still think Blake Snell has a chance to win 20 games.

02:03And I know that sounds absurd,

02:05but in a six-man rotation in the Dodgers,

02:08I think it's possible.

02:09That bullpen is absolutely phenomenal.

02:12He's gonna get run support.

02:13He is gonna pitch six-plus innings most of his starts.

02:16He's kind of a workhorse guy at the stage of his career.

02:19It's a good pitching environment.

02:21There's so many things to like about Blake Snell.

02:23And the reason why I kind of scoff

02:25at the six-man rotation

02:26is because I look at the rest of the guys in this rotation,

02:28and my big concern is the health with all of them.

02:30So I look at Blake Snell

02:32probably having to take the ball every fifth day,

02:34because, yeah, you can tell me about Tyler Glass now

02:37who's never thrown 150 innings,

02:39Yamamoto, who has a much smaller frame.

02:42I mean, forget Clayton Kershaw

02:43and some of these other guys, too.

02:44Justin May working his way back from injury.

02:47There's so many questions in this rotation.

02:49The one guy that I feel really good

02:50about his ROI in the draft is Blake Snell.

02:53So these are two lefties here.

02:54I mentioned Dylan Seas, too.

02:55To me, this is the sweet spot of building your rotation.

02:58Matt, what do you think about these guys?

03:00Are you concerned that Blake Snell

03:02would kind of suffer a little bit

03:04based upon the threat of a six-man rotation?

03:07Because when you make less starts,

03:09well, that's less of a chance to be productive.

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