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Report
California facing flooding and mudslide threat
AccuWeather
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2/12/2025
AccuWeather's Ken Clark warns of heavy rainfall starting in Northern California before spreading south. Heavy rain over the burn scars from last month's fires could lead to mudslides and flooding.
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00:00
Joining right now Accuweather California expert meteorologist Ken Clark who's been with Accuweather
00:05
over four decades and a resident of Rancho Cucamonga and you know Ken this storm is unlike
00:14
any other storm I think that we've seen in in California this year in that it's going to bring
00:19
rain to central and northern California but the heaviest rain for once is going to be in southern
00:25
California. Right all winter the atmospheric rivers have always been aimed at the northern
00:30
third or northern half of the state and we haven't had a lot of rain in southern California
00:35
even with the last week's storm it still ended up being not a great event but certainly it helped.
00:41
This is different the some of the highest rainfall totals will be in central and southern California
00:47
like the southern coastal range of mountains down into southern California. San Diego less
00:54
than half an inch of rain so far this winter they're going to easily have the biggest storm
00:59
all winter long. All right John all right Mr. Ken let's take a look at the future radar here it all
01:04
begins in northern California later on today I'm going to play through this and I want you to
01:09
describe what you're seeing as this storm works its way south we begin at six o'clock tonight.
01:16
Off and on light rain will continue across central and southern California won't be continuous but
01:21
it'll be off and on heavier rain spread into northern California during the overnight hours
01:25
tonight and that heavy rain will gradually spread its way southward during the day tomorrow probably
01:31
the heaviest rain will be ahead of the cold front that arrives tomorrow afternoon in in San Francisco
01:36
on the central coast tomorrow late in the day and in the evening hours in southern California
01:41
there can be thunderstorms with the cold front there can be thunderstorms behind the cold front
01:46
in the bay area as cold air a lot moves in a lot going on here and all said and done we're talking
01:52
a lot of rain and very impactful rain. All right let's take a look at the amounts Ken you and I
01:58
were just talking about this I mean this looks like a solid two to four inches of rain from
02:03
well just south of the bay area through through most of southern California you know even San
02:10
Diego looks like a solid inch inch and a half maybe two inches. Yeah I think one to two inches
02:15
very likely in San Diego these rainfall amounts have been seen since last March 10 months ago
02:21
so this is how big this event is and of course all eyes are on the burn areas and I got to stress
02:26
there those areas are very susceptible to orographic lifting of the these kind of storms
02:33
or bringing more rain than let's say right along the immediate coast and we could be seeing some
02:38
rain amounts in the mountains five to eight inches before it's all said and done. I think there's
02:43
going to be some serious serious problems here in the burn areas with mudslides debris flows
02:50
as a very dangerous situation setting up for those people. And you know Ken that's the short-term pain
02:55
and there's going to be a lot of pain with this but you know what in California when it rains it
02:59
usually pours there is some long-term gain though because of course we have the short-term drought
03:06
across southern California and then let's talk about the importance of the snow that's going to
03:11
be falling in the Sierra. Oh my there's gonna be a lot of snow in the Sierra above 6,000 feet we're
03:17
talking numerous feet of snow maybe five six seven feet of snow at ski level resort level
03:24
and through the central and southern Sierra again southern Sierra has not had a really big storm this
03:30
winter this will be the first really big storm and this will be blizzard conditions as well
03:35
some wind gusts 50 to 70 miles per hour and some of the mountaintops with the storm moving in.
03:41
AccuWeather California expert Ken Clark 40 years of experience nobody knows California better than
03:47
Ken. I had my umbrella out too for today. Buckle down and stay safe here over the next couple of days.
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