Exploring Kansas City's Defensive Strategy in the NFL

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00:00Kansas City is plus 190 to do this.

00:03Chris Jones, of course, one of the ultimate sack masters.

00:07It's interesting that both Philadelphia and Kansas City,

00:12both of the, a lot of the pressure that they get

00:15is up the middle and not on the outside.

00:16That's generally not the way it works in the NFL.

00:19Yeah, it's generally not.

00:20And don't forget about Karloftis too.

00:21Like that's another guy that can get after the quarterback.

00:23It's not just Chris Jones and Karloftis to get a sack today.

00:26I would love that prompt also.

00:28I'd be all over that one because Chris Jones

00:29creates so much terror all over the place.

00:32Fun fact here.

00:33People say, oh, that's an impossible number, right?

00:34Well, it happened to the Philadelphia Eagles

00:36and Jalen Hurts back in September against the Buccaneers.

00:40He also had a sack five times against the Dallas Cowboys.

00:43So Hurts against pressure is not the greatest thing.

00:46I don't think this number is great enough for it,

00:48but it is something to consider

00:50where both these teams do get after the quarterback.

00:52So rather than look at this, oh, big numbers, big returns,

00:55five plus sacks or whatever it might be,

00:58look for the individuals.

01:00Look for Karloftis, look for Chris Jones,

01:02look for the overs on the sack totals on these guys.

01:04Because Jalen Carter is going to get after it.

01:06I think some of these other guys will too.

01:07So these quarterbacks will take some sacks.

01:10The numbers bear it out.

01:11But at the same time, trying to get some of these wacky ones

01:14just isn't as good of a play.

01:16Yeah.

01:17George is, we'll be quick with George on these

01:19because he's not rooting for any of these.

01:20So.

01:21Yeah.

01:23To show George, are you no, no, no

01:25on all three of these?

01:25Obviously, right?

01:27When we get to them.

01:28You know, probably.

01:30But listen, I do have some Kansas City props.

01:32I just think it's a little tougher on Kansas City

01:34to figure out where the points are coming from,

01:36where the yardage is coming from here,

01:37outside of Mahomes.

01:39And so I think Mahomes is going to do all the damage here.

01:40But there's a prop where you could pick 12 and a half

01:45or less players to catch a pass today, both teams combined.

01:49You know, and the Eagles are probably only going to have

01:50four or five guys at most.

01:52It's the Chiefs that are the problem.

01:53They might have eight, nine guys catch a pass.

01:56I mean, Joe already named all the Randles.

01:58Before, right?

01:59So here's the Hopkins, Brown.

02:01I mean, they got a lot of guys, Gray, Kelsey.

02:04We haven't even got to the receivers, right?

02:06The running backs, sorry.

02:06Perrine, Hunt, Pacheco.

02:08That's eight guys I just named on top of my head.

02:10They are a problem.

02:11That's why it's very hard to lock down the Chiefs

02:13and their props.

02:15You're better off investing, like say one unit

02:18on all of those Randles,

02:20than probably three units on a Kelsey

02:23to score a touchdown today.

02:24Because one of those is going to hit

02:26and it's going to have a massive return.

02:28And it's just funny.

02:29Like you could just spread it out.

02:30It's like, well, this is a diversify, right?

02:31That's what you got to do with your investments, diversify.

02:33You're better off probably diversifying

02:34with some of these Randles on the Chiefs

02:36than you are heavily investing in a guy like Kelsey.

02:39All right, both defensive touchdown props,

02:40basically seven to one.

02:42Kansas City's very similar to Philadelphia.

02:45It's not something that you expect,

02:47but it has happened previously in the Super Bowl.

02:49And then we have once again,

02:51Kansas City to win in overtime, gentlemen, at 18 to one.

02:55Joe, I'll start with you.

02:56These are just very similar in nature

02:58to the Philadelphia one.

03:00Well, the win in overtime, I think,

03:01is a really good bet for either.

03:03And I think both of these,

03:05you could bet and then just cash one out

03:08or you're going to,

03:10I would bet both of them and just let it play out,

03:12to be honest with you,

03:13because you've already won

03:15and you've already run a huge return, right?

03:16You put 10 bucks on both of these,

03:18you get to overtime, you're a winner.

03:20You're already making a nice return.

03:22So it's actually one of the more interesting ways

03:24to bet this game.

03:25We did finally have an overtime Super Bowl.

03:27These teams are so close.

03:28Okay, why not?

03:29Now the defensive touchdown is interesting.

03:31And the one thing that I would remind everybody,

03:34the ball security of Jalen Hurts historically

03:36has been a little iffy.

03:38This is a guy that if you go back and look at the numbers,

03:40he's 45 career fumbles.

03:42Now that's a good amount.

03:44And I think people forget that

03:45because this year he's been much more economical

03:47with the football,

03:49but it's not impossible that we look

03:50for a Jalen Hurts fumble and a pickup

03:52and a return going the other way.

03:54Not so much an interception.

03:56I think that is where people are looking at,

03:57well, there's maybe not enough attempts in there

03:59where we're looking for Jalen Hurts to maybe throw a pick.

04:02But what about the fumbles?

04:03What about a situation where there's a bad exchange

04:05between him and Barkley?

04:06Or what about maybe him just getting flushed out

04:08of the pocket, not protecting the football enough

04:10with a guy like Chris Jones

04:11or with a guy like Karl Loftus?

04:12That to me, I think is the far more likely scenario

04:15than a pick six is the pickup six,

04:18where you go ahead and just pick up that fumble

04:20and run the other way with it.

04:21Because I think that one is the more likely

04:24of those scenarios when it comes to the chief side

04:25of this defensive touchdown.

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