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Budget 2025: इस हफ्ते शेयर बाजार में आएगा बदलाव ? Budget, Fed Meeting और FII पर नज़र | GoodReturns
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1/27/2025
Budget 2025:
बजट जैसे मेगा इवेंट से पहले शेयर मार्केट में वोलेटिलिटी बनी हुई है. 27 जनवरी, सोमवार से शुरू हो रहे बजट वीक में बाज़ार में उतार चढ़ाव देखे जा सकते है.
#FedMeetingImpact #IndianStockMarket #SensexUpdates #NiftyAnalysis #FedRateHike #GlobalMarkets #StockMarketVolatility #IndianEquities #RupeeExchangeRate #MarketReactions #भारतीयशेयरबाजार #फेडमीटिंगअसर #सेंसेक्सनिफ्टी #फेडरेटहाइक
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00:00
Before the mega-event like Budget, there is volatility in the share market.
00:07
You can see the rise and fall in the market in the Budget week starting from 27th January, Monday.
00:13
This week is going to be eventful for the market as well as a long week.
00:18
Because the market will be open on Budget Day, 1st February, Saturday.
00:23
Fed Meet is also going to be held this week.
00:25
Before the events like Budget and Fed Meet, you can see the rise and fall of bulls and bears in the share market.
00:31
There are some factors that can impact the market this week.
00:35
So let's tell you everything about them in detail in this video.
00:39
Weak Corporate Earnings
00:41
The FII failed to stop the bull market.
00:43
And the market is in an oversold zone after a continuous fall.
00:47
And despite getting good signals from the global market, it was unable to jump into the market.
00:52
The FII bought more than Rs. 22,000 crores from the cash market last week.
00:57
And if we talk about this week, there are 8 factors that will be very important for the market.
01:03
The first factor is the mega-event of Budget this week.
01:07
During the Budget week, the biggest things to see in the share market will be the Central Budget and the policy and announcements of that day.
01:15
There will be a special trading session for the response of the market on the Budget.
01:20
On Budget Day, there will be some changes in the Income Tax Slab.
01:24
And in the Budget, there will be a rise in the amount of capital.
01:29
The second factor is the Corporate Earnings Season.
01:31
The earnings of the third quarter of the financial year 2024 were largely in line with expectations.
01:36
But the management's comments were not encouraging.
01:39
Which affected the market trade even more.
01:42
This week, Tata Steel, Bajaj Auto, Maruti, Tata Motors, ONGC and IndusInd Bank, along with several major companies, will issue their earnings.
01:51
The third important event is the Fed Meeting.
01:53
The US Federal Reserve's rate-setting panel will hold its first meeting on January 28 and 29, 2025.
02:01
In which, the Central Bank hopes to keep the interest rates the same after deducting 25 base points in the December meeting.
02:10
Analysts say that Trump's arrival at the World Economic Forum in Davos has created uncertainty.
02:17
And the next meeting of the Fed could be held in June.
02:21
The fourth is new policy and other announcements in the US.
02:24
New US President Donald Trump's announcements of new policies and schemes will keep traders busy this week.
02:31
Trump's economic policies can affect the share market.
02:36
The fifth reason is the FII's bribery.
02:39
The share market is constantly bribing the FII.
02:42
Currently, the FII is spoiling the game of the market.
02:45
In this month, the FII has withdrawn Rs. 67,000 crores from Dalal Street.
02:51
The FII has created an aggressive short position in the index futures on the derivatives market.
02:57
In which, there is a short of 3 lakh contracts and an 80% net short position.
03:02
Experts say that this is likely to create an opportunity for a short covering rally.
03:07
Which can create a stir in the market.
03:10
The sixth factor is Macro data.
03:12
During the week, ECB interest rates, US Wholesale Data, India's main area production, Economic Survey,
03:19
American Personal Consumption, Expenditure figures will be monitored.
03:24
The seventh factor is technical chart.
03:26
Nifty has consolidated within the range of 22,950 to 23,450 from the last 10 trading sessions on the daily chart.
03:35
Nifty is currently below the short-term and long-term moving average.
03:39
For Nifty, the breakdown below 22,980 can increase the current selling pressure.
03:44
And the next support zone in Nifty will be around 22,550 to 22,600.
03:49
If Nifty increases opposite to this, then a closing Nifty above 23,460 can take it to 23,800.
03:57
And can trigger a pullback rally.
04:00
Bond Yield, Rupee and Raw Oil.
04:02
It is important to keep an eye on the US Bond Yield and Dollar Index.
04:06
Signs of a reversal in these two sectors can bring positivity to the global market.
04:11
In January, after reaching the lower level of the 9th month of US business activity,
04:16
there has been a decline in the US yield.
04:18
However, the firms have said that they have brought a fast recovery.
04:22
Benchmark US Year Yield on Friday, i.e. January 24, fell by 1.8 basis points to 4.61%.
04:30
Last week, there was a 2.8% decline in Brent Raw Oil prices.
04:35
Which was a continuous 4-week decline.
04:38
So these are some important factors that can change the market mood this week.
04:43
And the biggest event is the budget.
04:46
The Union Budget is being presented on February 1.
04:48
It will be interesting to see how the Indian share market performs along with the global share market.
04:55
What is your opinion on this?
04:58
Keep watching GoodReturns for such updates.
05:01
Don't forget to like and subscribe to our channel.
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