Jalen Hurts' Passing Yards Prop Analysis & Betting Tips

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00:00start off with Jalen Hurts and his passing yards prop which again a year

00:07ago, well a year ago he wasn't anywhere near the NFC Championship game, but this

00:10was a player that was an MVP candidate. Look at, look how low this passing number

00:14is, my gosh, 180 and a half. They just basically run the ball, George, and he

00:20throws up a couple of chucks to Goddard or Devontae Smith and somehow that gets

00:25him to 180 I guess, but feels low to me which tells me to stay away. It seems

00:31too easy to go over here. He better get over because I think Washington's gonna

00:36sell out to stop Barkley and they're gonna force, I know it sounds weird, but

00:39they're gonna force Hurts to beat them with his arm. I think they know that

00:42Hurts probably not running on Sunday, he's got the knee issue, he's wearing a

00:45brace, he's not on the injury report, but that's all lies at this point, no one

00:49cares. He's banged up, he has to go over in this kind of, so I don't know if they

00:52can win. Like I said, when he got hurt in that week, let's say week 16 game

00:58against Washington with the concussion here, that's when Washington sold out. They

01:01sold out to stop Barkley and they did stop Barkley. I tell you, listen, Phil

01:04Douglas still should have won the game, Devontae Smith catches that easy pass,

01:07game's over, but he dropped it and Washington came back and won here. He's got to go

01:11over this number or else the Eagles don't win this game. I'm gonna bet they'll win.

01:14All right, so over on that. Now the highest rushing prop we've ever seen, you

01:19know, what's funny, George, is that we were talking about this a lot this week.

01:23The prop was, I believe, close to 130. It's down to 125 and a half on Saquon

01:28Barkley. It is the highest rushing prop set of all time. But when we mean all

01:34time, do we mean like legal or illegal betting? Because I can't remember back

01:40to when, you know, the internet existed around the time I think Emmett Smith had

01:44rushing props, but like he would have had a higher prop than Saquon Barkley

01:48because that's all the Cowboys did during those years. But I guess in the

01:51legal market of the last six years since all, since Pabst was overthrown here and

01:56reviewed, whatever you want to say, 125 and a half is the number here. You can't

02:02find anybody on the under. So again, another one that seems tempting to me

02:07and usually I pass on the ones that look too easy. I mean, it goes over every week.

02:11Once again, I think Washington's selling out to stop him.

02:15That being said, we know he can hit a big play. I kind of like his, I think his

02:1820 and a half is longest run prop. That's where I'm going to go. I think he

02:22will pop one. But I think on a whole, I said, I think Washington, certainly early

02:26in the game, is putting eight men in the box. Let's see what Hertz can do. If

02:30Hertz proves that he can beat them with his arm and he's hitting A.J. Brown,

02:32hitting Devonta Smith, things can change here. I think early going, they're not

02:35going to let Barkley beat them. I kind of do like the under here. You know, I

02:39think that's, I think that's the play. I'm not going to go over. My only issue

02:43is it's the same price. That's annoying. You would think we'd get a little

02:46better price out if you take in the under here, but that's wrong. We didn't

02:49take the other. Yeah, maybe earlier in the week, 1 30 was the better play. 1

02:5225 is now the play. Currently on fan duels been going down.