Mahomes' Passing Yards Bet: Over or Under Against Buffalo?

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00:00A number that you never would even consider going under on the past seven years.

00:07Patrick Mahomes is passing yards.

00:09You would never even consider, 249, oh come on, the only way the Chiefs win is by going

00:15over on this one.

00:16Now, hasn't been the case this year.

00:19They haven't been winning with Mahomes, it's been more or less the defense.

00:22But the prop is 249 and a half.

00:25George, do you think that he hits this one against a Buffalo defense that is bend but

00:31don't break in order to win games?

00:33Well, one thing I agree, I certainly agree with you, you said it earlier.

00:37I don't think they win if he doesn't.

00:39If he's still over 240, I'm just not so sure they're going to get the job done here.

00:43So I think he needs to hit this.

00:44Remember, they did play Case Buffalo earlier in the season.

00:48He threw for 196.

00:50Now, that was in Buffalo.

00:52The weather is fine, by the way, on Sunday in Kansas City.

00:55It's going to be 31 degrees.

00:56So that's the Kansas City in late January.

00:59That's beautiful here.

01:00I mean, I'm going to say he gets the over.

01:05This game, by the way, I think they played seven times in the last four or five years,

01:08these two teams, including the playoffs.

01:10He's hit this number five times.

01:11All right.

01:12And these games are usually high scoring games for what it's worth here.

01:15And I understand different teams here.

01:17All right.

01:18Buffalo's not the same team either.

01:19All right.

01:20They don't have the weapons they used to have here.

01:22I can't go under.

01:23All right.

01:24Either I'm taking the over, or I'm leaving it alone.

01:28It's that simple.

01:29I'm not going to bet Pat Mahomes under 249.

01:31But I don't feel great about it.

01:33All right.

01:34Fair enough.

01:35Let's go to Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills.

01:37Passing touchdowns.

01:38You can get plus money if Josh Allen throws more than one and a half touchdowns on Sunday.

01:43I think the issue is, George, is that when they get close, he's just running the ball

01:46in, man.

01:47I don't know that I love this bet at one and a half.

01:49I, by the way, don't want to, on a prop, almost ever lay that juice at minus 168.

01:56Folks, you've got to find a better bet out there than to be laying minus 168, I think,

02:02on that.

02:03So it would be a pass for me.

02:06There are a million props.

02:07There's no way I'm going to be laying minus 168.

02:09Maybe you're parlaying it with something else.

02:11That's fine.

02:12But straight up, as you said, there are a thousand props you're going to be able to

02:15find here.

02:16You can find a better number here.

02:17Same situation.

02:18I'm going to take the over on this, Craig, because it's plus 128.

02:20It's nice.

02:21But you already said it, and I agree.

02:24I would rather take a bet.

02:25You can find this, by the way, in some books, that over two and a half touchdowns.

02:29That includes rushing and passing.

02:31I would probably rather have that.

02:33You know, this way, let's say he throws one, runs in two.

02:36I'm fine.

02:37And I think that would be a better bet for him.

02:39I think he'll get three touchdowns here.

02:41So I would probably go for that.

02:42Once again, if you're wondering about the first matchup, which really I don't think

02:45is a great way to look at this thing here.

02:47But the first matchup here, what did he do?

02:49He threw for only one touchdown, so he wouldn't have hit this, and he ran for one, so he threw

02:54two.

02:55So you wouldn't reach the three and a half either, or two and a half either here.

02:58I'm going to take the over, though, because I like the plus money here.

03:00It'd be a small bet.

03:01Nothing knowledge about it.

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