Ravens vs. Bills Showdown: Cold Weather and Derrick Henry

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00:00Heck yeah, let's start with what we all expect to be the best game of the weekend. In Orchard Park,

00:05it's the Bills and the Ravens. Basically a pick-em, just a few cents of difference on

00:10the money line. A total north of 50 at 51 and a hook. If the numbers do back up what we see

00:18in this game, and it's close, highly competitive, and high scoring, what's the best angle to look

00:24in the prop market? Well, I don't think it's going to be high scoring. That's part of where

00:29like a lot of my breakdown for the Stars, where I don't think it's going to have high scoring.

00:33It's also going to be extremely cold. So we have to factor in a little bit of weather. It may not

00:36be a ton of precipitation, but it's going to be extremely cold. I expect the Ravens to come away

00:40with a win. And I think that leads to a lot of carries for Derrick Henry. We have to look at

00:44this like, what did the Ravens learn last year from the AFC Championship game against the Chiefs?

00:49It's like they strayed away from what they want to do most, which is run the ball. And now they

00:53have that option with Derrick Henry in the backfield. So A, I like Derrick Henry over

00:5819 and a half carries. I don't love the yards just because the yards have moved up from 91 or 92 up

01:03to 95, 96. But I love the over on attempts because if he had stick with the run game with Derrick

01:08Henry, that should be their path to victory. And I don't think the Bills will be able to stop them

01:13on the ground. That also leads to Lamar under 28 and a half passing attempts. Having the ball in

01:18his hands is going against what they've learned from last year. They need to stick with what they

01:23know best.