Chiefs vs Texans Game Analysis: Trends and Predictions

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00:00Let's take a look at the Texans visiting the Chiefs.

00:03This is still a seven and a half point spread.

00:05Would I be shocked to see it move to seven by, you know, by the game kicks off?

00:10No.

00:11Everyone's gonna be talking about the same thing again, the Chiefs, they don't cover.

00:14They win games, but they don't cover.

00:17Last night, almost 24 hours ago, exactly, I was talking about Joe Mixon.

00:24Joe Mixon, and I just was not expecting this to be a big game, and if I have to go find

00:30the clip, I will, of Joe Mixon under 62 and a half rushing yards.

00:36In 24 hours, that number has dropped to 57 and a half.

00:41A five yard difference is huge.

00:43Now, this is setting up for some nice closing line value.

00:46It was 62 and a half, it is now 57 and a half.

00:49Now, this is not to say that the bet is won.

00:52Of course not.

00:53Anything can happen.

00:54Joe Mixon can break off 60 yards on a broken tackle, and he gets there in the first quarter.

01:00Of course.

01:01That can always happen.

01:03The point is, though, we want to be early on lines, and we want to be early on lines

01:07that are moving in the right direction.

01:10So getting in on 62, we will have a good gap of closing line value compared to where it

01:16may end up.

01:17And listen, you can go back up to 58, 59, etc., etc., but it's good that we were there

01:21from the jump.

01:23So that game, again, is seven and a half in favor of the Chiefs.

01:26That's where it should be.

01:27Will it end up at seven?

01:29Probably.

01:30That would be my guess if I had to make a guess right now.

01:33And then I would say maybe the points gets up to 42.

01:36That is a nice number there.