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Sunday's DFS Insights: Premium Running Backs Strategy
SportsGrid
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1/12/2025
Category
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Sports
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00:00
Let's start at the premium running backs, and I'll give you a guess, Joe. It's gonna be tough.
00:04
Who do you think's the first name at the top of the i? So Saquon Barkley sits at 9,600,
00:09
and I'll let you take it from there. Premium running backs start with Saquon at 9,600.
00:15
Look, Saquon has rested for a week. He's super expensive, and I think I'm willing to put him in
00:20
some lineups. I am, and usually I want to shy away from the very top, but I think the game
00:25
script of this one is Eagles by a million, and I think they're going to be sitting on the football
00:30
later in this game. His rushing prop from Vegas, and this is something you want to look at, too.
00:35
How do these things correlate all together? His number's at 101 and a half. It's absurd,
00:40
right? And I like the over, so if I like the over and I'm gonna pay for premium productivity,
00:45
I better be lined up to get premium productivity, and I think I'm going to get that from Saquon
00:51
today. I think he scores a touchdown in this one, maybe two. I think it's gonna look a lot
00:55
like yesterday's Derrick Henry game, to be honest with you, and I just think the Packers are a team
00:59
that's limping to the finish line, just like I thought the Steelers were a team limping to the
01:01
finish line, too. You know, you lost a couple games there at the end if you're the Pittsburgh
01:05
Steelers. You end up five straight losses adding in the playoffs. It feels like the Packers are a
01:09
team that health has been an issue. They lost Christian Watts, and Dobbs has been hurt. You had
01:13
Jordan Love dealing with an injury. There was a lot of problems here, so give me Saquon. I'm gonna
01:17
pass on Kyron. James Cook, I think, has some upside in this game today. Josh Jacobs, I'm
01:23
concerned. Again, the game script goes how I am writing it. Saquon Barkley and the Eagles are ahead,
01:29
and they have to get away from what they want to do, which is run the football in Green Bay, and
01:32
that could hurt Josh Jacobs' value. Now, Bucky Irving is right on that borderline. Bucky Irving at 7600
01:38
is incredibly interesting to me. If I'm not paying up for Saquon, then I want to start with Bucky
01:43
Irving, who has been spectacular down the stretch here for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a game that
01:48
has a very high total that I think could exceed that total. Now, if I get the two of them together,
01:52
I got to find a lot of salary cap relief other places, and I can do that, but it is going to be
01:57
trickier. So if you can't go to Saquon right away, the pivot on the premium guys is to the guy right
02:03
on the fringe of Bucky Irving. All right. So now, with that said, we're going to try to build
02:07
multiple lineups. Let's move to the value portion of the running backs here. The name at the top,
02:13
would you go right? I'll let you reveal it. Would you go right there, or is there a value-value
02:18
running back, if you will? There is, I think, a value-value running back. I'm looking at,
02:24
as we said on this list, you have Aaron Jones, you have Brian Robinson Jr., right? Robinson could
02:27
be a guy that sees the end zone multiple times. You also get Austin Echler, who came back last week
02:32
and played a little bit at 5400. Now, he's interesting because he does catch the football
02:36
a little bit. So if you get into a shootout situation, Echler could be a guy used a lot
02:42
more than you think. Now, Echler missed some time there with the concussion issue again,
02:46
but he did play last week. He wasn't involved in the offense, so I'm a little bit more comfortable
02:52
playing him. Jaleel McLaughlin at 5500, also a guy. So there is a cavern there between Saquon
02:58
and Echler, where you can pair them together, maybe get the best of both worlds, especially
03:02
in a full-point PPR, in a spot like DraftKings, right, where you can take that high and low
03:06
and kind of make it work and get like a better average. If not, I think it's Bucky Irving and
03:12
James Cook. That pairing is pretty good, or maybe a Bucky Irving and a Jaleel McLaughlin
03:17
or somebody like that, too, who might see the end. So let's not forget, the Bills defense
03:20
has given up a lot of points here down the stretch. It was back-to-back weeks where they
03:24
gave up 90. So the Bills defense is far from perfect. In fact, they even showed you against
03:28
the Patriots. I know effort maybe wasn't the biggest deal last week for the Buffalo Bills,
03:32
but still, just saying, that Bills defense is not exactly world beaters, and that's why I'm
03:37
a little worried about them getting or winning the Super Bowl this year.
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