Top NFL Playoff Picks: Saquon, Derrick Henry & Underdogs

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00:00When we get to the running backs here, I mean, you have a clear top two.

00:06The two all year long, it's Saquon Barkley, it's Derrick Henry.

00:10Is that where your eye would go, Donnie?

00:11Yes, your eye would go there, but you know what we're going to sprinkle on, just to try

00:14to have some fun with this?

00:15How about Lamar Jackson at 40-1 to lead the playoffs in rushing?

00:19How about Jalen Hurts, 150-1?

00:22So if you're saying to yourself, yes, I like Saquon at 195, why not sprinkle a little bit

00:26on Hurts?

00:27Because if he wins that, they're probably in the Super Bowl.

00:29You don't want to say injuries and what can happen, but we've seen quarterbacks.

00:31Who's to say today, like, you just have a playoff game and Lamar Jackson rolls out of

00:35the pocket on his own 20-yard line and runs for 80 yards.

00:39There you go.

00:40I'm not saying they can win, but it's a nice little insurance policy with a couple shekels

00:44that you can place on either one of those guys, and if it comes up aces at 150-1, crazy.

00:49Yeah, great value.

00:50I'll take it a step further.

00:52You talk about running quarterbacks.

00:53How about Josh Allen, 33-1?

00:55I believe Bills will be in the AFC Championship.

00:59I like the way they're running the football.

01:01James Cook has good value at plus 950.

01:03I'll give you my flyer, my lottery ticket, and it's going to go, again, it has to go

01:10if they win tomorrow, but Josh Jacobs, when you look at 25-1.

01:14I know.

01:15Goes against the desk.

01:16I know that.

01:17I like them plus the 4.5, but let me just say this.

01:20Josh Jacobs, how he's been such an integral part of that offense and knowing how they

01:25want to run the football somehow, some way.

01:28They do pick up the victory on the road.

01:30You're getting one of the best running backs at 25-1.

01:33I'm not saying he's right on the level of Saquon and Derek, but he's going to be getting

01:37the ball just as much.

01:38Yeah, I think the attraction there for me on the Jacobs number, that's a team that's

01:4210-1 to win the conference.

01:45If they win that conference, you're going to get four games out of Jacobs.

01:48That certainly would be a very tempting number.

01:50Whether I think that happens is a different conversation.

01:53I will say for me, this is the one market that I'm not as tempted in.

01:58If Saquon or Derek Henry, if it's not one of them, it means neither guy even made the

02:04conference title game, which is already a bit of a mountain to climb there.

02:08The Gibbs angle, I think the Gibbs number's atrocious.

02:11Do you?

02:12Montgomery's coming back.

02:13Yes, correct.

02:14And the Lions are insane.

02:15Listen, I've been banging this drum since I put money on Gibbs last year to win Offensive

02:18Rookie of the Year.

02:20They drafted Gibbs.

02:21They know how good he is, but Dan Campbell's a gimmick.

02:24So we've seen what Jameer Gibbs looks like since the battle count down the past two weeks.

02:28He's one of the best running backs in football.

02:30We love David Montgomery's stuff.

02:31Okay, goal.

02:32So a hobbit David Montgomery's going to grab 10-12 carries off of Gibbs' plate.

02:36He will.

02:37That's a 7-1 at a max three-game player.

02:39It's an atrocious number.

02:40It is a bad number.

02:41That number is only-

02:42Are we sure that Montgomery doesn't just get goal line opportunities?

02:47If his leg got amputated and he sewed it back on himself, he would get 10 carries from

02:52Dan Campbell.

02:53And get the first look at the touchdowns.

02:54I guess he's blue-collar.

02:56But listen, to the point, right?

02:59The playoff rushing touchdown leader, right, Gibbs 8-50, Montgomery 10-1.

03:04That tells you everything you need to know.

03:06The books are like, now listen, right inside the belly there.

03:10The most tempting number in that market to me is it is a foolish wager, but it is Saquon

03:17at 7-1.

03:18Jalen Hurts, it's interesting, Donnie.

03:21In this market, it's as if the books know Hurts is the guy who scores the touchdown.

03:26When you go to the anytime touchdown score market for, say, tomorrow, Saquon has a much

03:30heavier number at 7-1.

03:33He is a tempting wager for me here.

03:36Yes, and also if you're led to believe that, well, you take a look at the concussion scenarios

03:41for Hurts.

03:42No, they're going to push you through.

03:43Kenny Pickett had like 19 broken ribs, like, push this man into the end zone.

03:47It doesn't matter.

03:48This is what we do.

03:49But it is intriguing to see because, obviously, they're not going to give the ball to Saquon

03:52at the 1.

03:53But Saquon Barkley's hitting home runs, which include from 15 to 30 to 50 yards out, is

03:57a possibility there.

03:58So I like that look.

03:59I put it this way.

04:00I'd still rather bank on Saquon at 7-1 than Hurts at plus 6-50 because I do still think

04:06outside of the tush pushes, he's probably going to score more touchdowns than Jalen

04:09Hurts is.

04:10Yeah, but we're not.

04:11You know what?

04:12Like, they might start the tush push at the 5.

04:13Now, first we go at the 5.

04:14Here's the thing.

04:15Everything we just said, delete that.

04:16We don't agree anymore.

04:17I'm telling you, we know Hurts is going to score.

04:18Like, you're probably better off just betting Hurts and Josh Allen because now that the

04:21playoffs are here, Josh Allen's going to be like, James Cook, that was fun, congrats for

04:25all your history.

04:26Beat it.

04:27I'm running these in now.

04:28Well, then what about Lamar at 19-1 for most rushes?

04:30He just doesn't score as much as everybody thinks.

04:32You say that.

04:33Yeah, I know.

04:34But then all of a sudden, come playoff time, RPO goal line.

04:37This is it.

04:38No Derrick Henry.

04:39It'll be the Lamar Jackson show.

04:42I mean, 19-1?

04:43Maybe.

04:44I mean, if Josh is 7-1.

04:47Josh scores way more than him.

04:48Like, there's a big gap.

04:51I don't mean you specifically.

04:52No, I know.

04:53I don't mean you.

04:54Josh Allen feels like he's the goal line back on Buffalo when you know the goal line back

04:58at Baltimore is always going to be Derrick Henry, and the same thing, the goal line back

05:01in Philadelphia is Jalen Hurts.

05:03Not supposed to be that way, but it is.

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