Steelers vs. Ravens: Surprising Spread and Game Predictions

SportsGrid

Watch Steelers vs. Ravens: Surprising Spread and Game Predictions - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00Let's move on, Mike, to a team that you're very familiar with in the Pittsburgh Steelers

00:05as they get ready to take on the Baltimore Ravens.

00:08How shocked are you that this is almost a double-digit spread for the Ravens here, who

00:15won't have Zay Flowers, but boy, oh boy, that is a big number.

00:20Is it warranted in your eyes?

00:23It's warranted when you look at the last month, for sure.

00:26Obviously, the history of these teams, the Steelers have won eight of the last 10, and

00:29there's a lot of low-scoring games involved, but I think most people are looking at that

00:34game from just a couple of weeks ago and thinking, how could it be any different?

00:38I think the loss of Zay Flowers and the Steelers' inability to have any kind of punch in their

00:43offense, and this is not just a George Pickens thing.

00:47Joe, you and I talked about this.

00:48There are multiple issues here with this offense.

00:52Russ is the king of the throwaway pass now.

00:56If he doesn't find something he likes, he chucks it.

00:58He's not running, really, with any kind of regularity now.

01:04I don't think they helped Najee Harris out at all in the way that he needs to be helped

01:07out.

01:08A lot of very predictable short yardage and first-down runs do not allow him any space

01:14at all.

01:15So I expect a low-scoring game here, though.

01:19So nine and a half, when it's low-scoring, I'd shy away from that.

01:24I could see the Ravens covering here, but the Steelers, with that number historically

01:31under Mike Tomlin, that's a lot of points to lay.

01:34I'd be afraid to lay those points, especially when I'm expecting an under kind of game.

01:40What's the number here, Mike?

01:42I said earlier, if the Ravens get really past 21, I don't think the Steelers have a shot

01:46to win the game.

01:47Not that you're still covering to a certain extent, but if they want to win this game,

01:52there was a stretch, I was telling Joe, for a four-year span, where only once did either

01:57team get to 20.

01:58The Steelers won a 2019 game, but for four straight years, everything was under 40.

02:02So that's the only game script for the Steelers to win this thing.

02:06Agreed, but you know what's going to happen.

02:09They'll fail in the red zone, and Chris Boswell, who's basically the team MVP this year, will

02:13be out there kicking field goals.

02:15So 21 to 13 is probably a good number, where you're under the Ravens' almost cover, but

02:21not quite.

02:23That's really the heart of it, and the three of us talk about this a lot.

02:27If you're expecting an under game, you can't lay this level of points.

02:30You want the Ravens 20 to 10, and you want to thread the needle on an under and a cover,

02:35be my guest.

02:36It's just a very difficult thing to do.

02:38This is the game, guys, that amongst all of them, and it's not my fandom speaking, I'm

02:44having the toughest time on props, player props, because I expect so many unders.

02:50You can certainly bet unders on Najee or Derek Henry, whose number is all the way up to 100.

02:56The Steelers have been pretty good in containing him historically, but he did get over that

03:01number the last time they played.

Category

Transcript

Recommended