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Steelers vs. Ravens Preview: AFC North Battle Heats Up
SportsGrid
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11/15/2024
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Sports
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00:00
The Pittsburgh Steelers hoping for the same on Sunday in the
00:09
AFC North battle for that top spot against the Baltimore
00:13
Ravens. However, unlike what we saw in Philly in the Steel
00:17
City, the home team is not favored. In fact, the flock a
00:22
full field goal favorite. That incredibly significant number
00:26
of three on the road in Pittsburgh. Forty-eight and a
00:30
half the total for a Ravens and Steelers game. What happened to
00:34
the game? I love but the field goal in terms of that favored
00:38
side for Baltimore Joe. Let's start there. Is the number two
00:43
large? Is the correct team favored or do you feel it is
00:46
fitting for what we will see on Sunday? So, a couple of things.
00:52
He's got a lot of trends working in in this game and we
00:55
know that the underdog always covers this game always in all
01:00
likelihood will win out. It's been like that forever. The
01:04
numbers are ridiculous. You got Tomlin at home as an underdog
01:08
is outside of the Ravens is absurd but now you just his
01:13
battles with Harbaugh over the years. Whoever is the underdog
01:17
in this series usually ends up not only covering but winning
01:20
outright here. We also have a Ravens team that is nine and
01:24
one to the over Ben. Their games average fifty-seven points.
01:29
That's two and a half more than any other team right now in the
01:33
NFL. They are a scoring machine. They can score thirty on
01:38
everyone and at the same time with that secondary, guess what
01:41
they'll give up. Thirty to everyone that they play in
01:45
Pittsburgh has been absolutely great. I will give it to Russell
01:49
Wilson. I'll give it to Arthur Smith. Maybe that is the
01:53
biggest surprise to me so far Ben is that Arthur Smith
01:57
actually created some balance with this offense. Didn't make
02:00
it all about the running game and the ability to be able to
02:04
stretch the field with Pickens. This game is a dead over. There
02:07
is no way I'm sweating out an under with Ravens Pittsburgh
02:11
and it feels crazy to say that in November. It does. The
02:14
Baltimore Ravens have gone over in nine of ten games as Joe
02:18
mentioned and he mentioned also the average margin they are
02:21
going over the expected outcome by 9.3 points per game. So
02:27
again, it's not like this is Navy or Army in this college
02:31
football season where the totals were thirty-seven and a
02:33
half and they're scoring 45 points to begin the Ravens have
02:37
played in games, including a short week Thursday night game
02:41
last week that featured a total of fifty-two and a half and it
02:44
with a combined sixty-nine nice points, but for the
02:49
Pittsburgh Steelers, when you look at what Russell Wilson has
02:52
done in his three starts in a Steelers uniform, of course,
02:56
they have won all three. They have gone over in all three.
03:00
They have gone over in four consecutive games. This the
03:04
highest total of the year though for Pittsburgh, which
03:07
already goes over the highest total of their season, which
03:10
was last week 45 and a half against the commanders and it
03:14
was nearly over by double digits. Joe to your point just
03:18
quickly about the underdog in this matchup. We share the
03:21
trend yesterday courtesy of Stucky. Maybe some of you know
03:23
him from social media doing some work with the Action Network.
03:27
I do believe that in this matchup, but of course, John
03:30
Harbaugh and Mike Tomlin Tomlin in the Steel City for 18 years
03:34
now Harbaugh in the Charm City for seventeen seasons since
03:38
Harbaugh arrived in Baltimore in 2008 when the Ravens have
03:43
been a field goal favorite or more and a matchup against the
03:47
bitter rivals that are the Steelers. They are oh ten and
03:52
two against the spread. They have never covered a number
03:56
when laying at least a field goal in the Steelers this year
04:00
are perfect three and oh outright as an underdog and yet
04:05
Joe when you look at the numbers Baltimore despite
04:08
trailing Pittsburgh by a half game in the division is a minus
04:11
260 favorite to win the AFC North. Is that number slightly
04:15
skewed if we expect the Steelers to be live on Sunday
04:19
at home? It absolutely is then because what is that number if
04:23
they win this game? It ain't gonna be that and not even
04:27
remotely close. We listen eight three and one against the
04:31
number as a home underdog since 2021 with teams that weren't
04:35
half as good offensively as this one. They are live been at a
04:39
good price.
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