Navigating Courtland Sutton's Contract Incentives & Strategy

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00:00Many players working with incentives in their contracts Courtland Sutton is one Joe

00:05Talk to us how that affects this prop of 70 and a half receiving yards over or under and why?

00:10I'll take the over on the 70, but again to get to 82. I think it's gonna be tricky for him

00:15So what do we want to do?

00:16We would rather pivot to the receptions now the juice is gonna be a little heavier there

00:21So if you want to pair it with a touchdown, that's pretty good. That's the way to go here

00:25But you can get this number here

00:28Decent enough where once you pair it with the touchdown, you're in a much better situation

00:32So I would be looking for the over on the five and a half receptions

00:36Despite the fact that it's minus 130 you pair that with an anytime touchdown for Portland Sutton

00:40You can get that into the positive because I do think something will find the end zone today

00:44But in the search for this 80 plus that he needs for the two million dollars

00:49If he does fall short, at least you know where the ball is going to so what can we look for receptions targets?

00:56Maybe he falls short of the yardage. Maybe he doesn't maybe he gets us on one big play. Who knows?

01:00But the point is Courtland Sutton's gonna be getting the football in this game against Kansas Chiefs today

01:05That is what something we can invest in

01:07Alright, and Joe gets his five-year bonus of putting up with me. That's right. And now congratulations Joe. Give me a quarter of that

01:18Kyle Murray 28 and a half rushing yards. He has a reason to go over this

01:21He has a reason to get into the end zone Joe educate us

01:24Yeah, let me educate you this was the number that was on Friday was 20 and a half

01:28It's about a 40 and a half. So things people got wise to this number right away

01:32So what a difference just 24 hours really makes but I'm still going over. Anyway, Kyler Murray knows he's gonna

01:39$50,000 that's a lot of Call of Duty

01:44Sleeves t-shirt, like I don't know. What do you buy in Call of Duty like special weapons and things? I don't know

01:48I'm sure I'm no guy. What do you whatever it is?

01:51It buys a new PlayStation for him for the road to take with him whenever he travels we can keep this home one

01:57No, you know all the Kyler Murray jokes

01:59Let's go. Also the Russian touchdown for Kyler Murray. I'm looking forward to right now

02:03You can't find that but I imagine it's going to be in the low plus money range

02:07probably was anyone from plus 110 to plus 150 maybe in that range will be my guess and

02:13With Michael Carter playing running back. I think you will see Tyler Murray on some more design runs last week of the season

02:19Good numbers historically against San Fran. I think Kyler Murray's in a good spot today

02:24His name is Joey Joey Flacco

02:27235 and a half passing yards. Does he go over or under? What do you say Joey P? Oh

02:33Joe Flacco saving fantasy teams all the time. So last week he had 330 passing yards in New York

02:40And now he's gonna be home in the dome

02:42I mean, you know, it's just funny like it's been some up-and-downs if you look at the Joe Flacco game log

02:48168 against Pittsburgh Steelers. Okay. It's a good defense. It was first start of the year then against Jacksonville the last time 359

02:55359 and now it's week 18

02:57Okay, I like the over here

03:01In this game. I've made no bones about that

03:03I think this is a game that is going to be the gift that keeps on giving

03:08Points and fantasy and over and all of those DFS things we want to invest in. So is it gonna be pretty no

03:15But look Michael Pittman

03:17Downs Pierce me taking some shots on all these guys. It's not a bad idea

03:21Joe Flacco is gonna want to be out there throwing the football could be the last time throwing the football for Joe Flacco

03:26I don't know where he's gonna be next year. He doesn't know where he's gonna be next year

03:28all I know is Joe Flacco is a capable backup and

03:32He probably should be somewhere. We'll see where he lands in 2025

03:37All right, last but not least we take a sip of a Zack Chabonet

03:40358 and a half rushing yards over or under what says you

03:45I'm gonna go over this one, too. I like the Seahawks in this game

03:49What's like the Seahawks defense to just a throw that out there and DFS today?

03:53Against the backups of the Rams not playing Puka Nakua Cooper cup or Kyron Williams or or Matthew Stafford?

03:59Well, guess what? That's a good day for the Seattle Seahawks defense, which is super cheap

04:03They're in that low to mid range there because originally it was against the Rams right and when the pricing comes out

04:09They're not they put that pricing out right away

04:11They're not sure who's playing who's not so you can take advantage of that on the sites today, but 58 and a half

04:15I'm gonna go over. I expect Seattle to have a lead. I expect them to sit on it last game of the year

04:19So you don't have to worry about budgeting his carries

04:21I don't think you're gonna be auditioning anybody else, but this is a backfield next year

04:25We have to pay close attention to because Ken Walker every year as incompletes

04:28He's a really good running back at the same time

04:31Is he a running back that we can feel really good about in fantasy now?

04:34It's nice because you can get him in a discount and then take Charbonnet

04:37But if you don't get Charbonnet along with Ken Walker, you are really in a bad spot because you know

04:44There's gonna be six games where you're looking for another running back and that just seems to be the MO of Ken Walker

04:48So it's frustrating. It's disappointing

04:51Both these guys have talent. I think that next year maybe we'll get a little bit more clarity. Who knows maybe Seattle

04:57This is a different coaching staff. Maybe they'll look at Ken Walker and say, you know, we want to do something different

05:02But I think you're gonna see some heavy pivots back to some running backs this year after the years that

05:07Derek Henry, Saquon have had some other running backs

05:09Joe Mixon had a good season too where you know, I think teams are saying, you know

05:13If the quarterback plays gonna be inconsistent, we might have to get back to running the football. What a concept everybody

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