Week 8 DFS Strategy: Optimal Running Back Picks This Week

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00:00Let's talk DFS plays here and we'll start with the running back pricing because Derrick

00:08Henry at 9,200 while steep, where can I find relief in the running backs?

00:14I don't know if I can, maybe I pivot to wide receiver.

00:16I'll let you walk us through it.

00:17Start at Derrick Henry.

00:18I'm going to start Derrick Henry and it all begins and ends with Derrick Henry, a heavy

00:22minus what minus 250 to score a touchdown today.

00:26That's who he's been.

00:27You're better off betting the first touchdown score for Derrick Henry potentially today

00:31or the last, you get three to one odds on that.

00:34That's much better than just scoring a touchdown or maybe two touchdowns.

00:37You never know is the Cleveland Browns.

00:39But what I will say is this Derrick Henry is certainly a guy you can still in cash games

00:43invest in.

00:44He's one of the better guys to invest in.

00:46And as you mentioned, you know, it seems like a week, the way the schedule is set up, the

00:50way the pricing is delineated, that spending up on running back seems to be the right thing

00:54to do.

00:55I don't know whether it's a San Quentin Barkley, a Derrick Henry, or even a Joe Mixon who,

00:58if you look at Joe Mixon, you know, we talked about how good of a matchup this is for him.

01:02You can see he's priced in an elite fashion that tells you that, you know, everybody thinks

01:07this is going to be a very strong matchup for Mixon.

01:09So bet those overs when it comes to Mixon, the numbers are going to be better for him

01:13than they are for guys like Derrick Henry.

01:15Not much, but better pivot.

01:18Maybe Kareem Hunt, a guy who's been getting a lot of volume for a veteran.

01:21I don't think anything changes here against the Raiders this week.

01:24You've seen him be involved in the passing game as well, so you're going to see Kareem

01:27Hunt get a lot of touches.

01:29And I think the idea is just keep feeding the ball to Kareem Hunt until Isaiah Pacheco

01:34comes back in a couple weeks, and then you back off the veteran and you keep him as part

01:38of the offense, which will hurt Pacheco's values.

01:40So if you're looking to unload Pacheco for some now help, do it, because you're not guaranteed

01:45that all the workload goes back to Pacheco just when he's back on the field with the

01:49way Kareem Hunt has played.

01:50There's no guarantee.

01:51It could happen, but it might not.

01:53So understand that in your season-long leagues.

01:55Then Brees Hall, who I think is really underpriced, 7,900.

01:58To me, he's closer to these 9,000 guys, and I think that's because you look at the Patriots.

02:02They've given up some huge days to running backs here, and Brees Hall is certainly one

02:06of them.

02:07The Jets and Patriots in the Bill Belichick Bowl today, so that's very exciting there.

02:13Everybody's looking forward to that game.

02:14But I'd be looking again for Brees Hall to be very active.

02:18I think all these guys or some combination of them are really good.

02:20I'd also be looking back at Devon Achan and Rashad White, two other low-cost running

02:25backs, especially in those PPR formats, that now that two is back, I think that elevates

02:29Achan.

02:30We did a small ladder last week because the number was so low, it was 40.5 on Achan.

02:35We made it up to 100, but we got 75.

02:37So we did a pretty good job on that, still came out very positive.

02:41But I think at the same time today, he is relevant.

02:44Rashad White, even on DraftKings, especially relevant.

02:46I think he's got some touchdown equity, too, in that game against the Atlanta Falcons.

02:49So get out the money, spend it on running backs and DFS, I think that's probably the

02:54best call this week.

02:55But luckily, as we get to the wide receivers, you'll see there's definitely some budget

03:00relief, and it's going to be needed.

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